La Liga · resolved market
Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b2b44862c9a676d44edae746c9b1ed71ded3352bfc5a1a3a6739695dbe99411
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,413
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,119
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,413 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 62c | 3,337$2,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.95 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 3,047$1,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.86 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 36c | 2,747$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 41c | 1,037$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 378 | 29.4%111 W · 267 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +10.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x26ce…6da3backed Yes | 49c | 785.71$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked No | 22c | 552.83$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.01 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a6…6ea4backed Yes | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7549…c7e8backed Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf97e…dff7backed No | 53c | 377.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 51c | 343.38$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.46 | 354 | 42.7%151 W · 203 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…301cbacked No | 74c | 330.46$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.46 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd19…3fb8backed No | 9c | 300$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Yes | 35c | 276.12$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 97 | 22.7%22 W · 75 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 60c | 271.89$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.81 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 57c | 253.45$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.4 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…40e8backed Yes | 34c | 205.88$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 33c | 199.92$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.98 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…1069backed No | 51c | 186.29$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.28 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 43c | 179.45$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.29 | 95 | 28.4%27 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…8f93backed No | 11c | 160$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.6 | 96 | 11.5%11 W · 85 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a81…b80bbacked Yes | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | +11.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…2935backed No | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Yes | 48c | 148.44$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.25 | 178 | 59.6%106 W · 72 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed No | 51c | 120$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked Yes | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ff…d56cbacked Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 50c | 96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 214 | 57.5%123 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63aa…8b6fbacked Yes | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 50c | 67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 504 | 49.8%251 W · 253 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked No | 50c | 61.8$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.9 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Yes | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x297d…8941backed Yes | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Yes | 47c | 61.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd1…7495backed Yes | 49c | 59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 51c | 58.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc93…b91dbacked No | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf255…3561backed Yes | 49c | 54.66$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Yes | 52c | 48.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed No | 52c | 46.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 48c | 44.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 68.1%47 W · 22 L | +10.1wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0cff…db9cbacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 46c | 40.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.74 | 444 | 24.1%107 W · 337 L | -50.1wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf875…256cbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28e9…277fbacked Yes | 50c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed No | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Yes | 70c | 30.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed No | 67c | 30.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…4d3ebacked No | 52c | 29.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked No | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4168…6ffabacked Yes | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d49…7cc0backed No | 49c | 22.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0be3…0893backed Yes | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b91…27dcbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 59c | 19.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 240 | 48.3%116 W · 124 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 3.5Under won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)Real Betis Balompié won
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-2.5)Real Betis Balompié won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.