TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$72,464
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$80,774

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,464 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Under50c14,916$7,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,458.2384144.8%377 W · 464 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a91…c6b1backed Over50c13,965$6,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,982.567656.6%43 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Under55c9,157$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0003525.7%9 W · 26 L-6.8wins-0.19per pick45cpaid-47.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Under50c8,780$4,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,3901450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over49c5,247$2,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,701.188351.8%43 W · 40 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50012132.2%39 W · 82 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under50c4,726$2,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,361.9414146.8%66 W · 75 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00020253.5%108 W · 94 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over49c2,429$1,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,248.144,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over51c1,569$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.6317731.1%55 W · 122 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Over50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7506645.5%30 W · 36 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-16.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5054…0aafbacked Over50c1,254$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.963253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over50c1,200$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59618650%93 W · 93 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under49c1,038$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.6865356.5%369 W · 284 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Under51c920$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.29751.5%50 W · 47 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over49c837.47$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.1149252.6%259 W · 233 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Over43c763.31$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.981030%3 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over47c762.98$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.131,66243.7%727 W · 935 L-23.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over50c734$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36728045.4%127 W · 153 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4af7…2381backed Over50c728.26$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.134845.8%22 W · 26 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+19.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over44c705$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.4561032.3%197 W · 413 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over47c678.87$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.683,46143%1,489 W · 1,972 L+31.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaac8…b6f1backed Under51c490.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25014549.7%72 W · 73 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6fa…546bbacked Over52c483.13$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.134766%31 W · 16 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5634…d81abacked Under50c400.2$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20048251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20012445.2%56 W · 68 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Under50c332.08$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.044753.2%25 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e68…16c7backed Over51c311.76$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.764146.3%19 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Under49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Over51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1479528.4%27 W · 68 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under47c292.88$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.0792345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Under50c235.44$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.725137.3%19 W · 32 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd679…91a0backed Over46c205$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+51.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88c5…2909backed Under50c178$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under48c162.37$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.941,18651.7%613 W · 573 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f0b…ed1abacked Under57c138.6$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7930%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x389a…cf3dbacked Under51c138$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.384660.9%28 W · 18 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+18.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under49c133.71$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.5275751%386 W · 371 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Under49c118$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.824845.8%22 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…e3c2backed Under29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-33.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Under57c101$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.5714759.2%87 W · 60 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5662744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Over51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4916936.1%61 W · 108 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04e5…070fbacked Under50c91.62$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.81450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf479…0fe3backed Over51c88.24$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.244143.9%18 W · 23 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under50c78.8$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.31,57751.4%811 W · 766 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Over52c75$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under48c75$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over47c66.99$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2510554.3%57 W · 48 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c3d…3681backed Over75c66.66$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.661060%6 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick77cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under49c63.08$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.12,34748.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L+1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over51c60.75$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7744840.4%181 W · 267 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304163.4%26 W · 15 L+8.6wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+62.5%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3014552.4%76 W · 69 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3548…0ebbbacked Over51c58.92$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.922272.7%16 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+29.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over56c57.47$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3937348.3%180 W · 193 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over47c57$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.9612470.2%87 W · 37 L+30.3wins+0.24per pick46cpaid+70%equal weight73+0.20 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2538748.1%186 W · 201 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a5c…d35cbacked Under50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8345949.7%228 W · 231 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc6d…9f36backed Over51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.02540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-33.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0249228.9%142 W · 350 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3169…6dccbacked Under54c46.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-27.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Under51c43.32$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226937.7%26 W · 43 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf504…132ebacked Under51c43.14$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Over47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5522157%126 W · 95 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over51c42$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5830842.9%132 W · 176 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9df2…99f5backed Over60c41.66$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.668843.2%38 W · 50 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf282…1637backed Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203441.2%14 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2059855.5%332 W · 266 L+32.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x31c8…9487backed Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2020541.5%85 W · 120 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6769…f8b9backed Over51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.226453.1%34 W · 30 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9698…311fbacked Under50c36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Under47c35.15$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6360147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe626…92b5backed Under54c33.33$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185451.9%28 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e7d…fa81backed Over61c33.16$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.931776.5%13 W · 4 L+5.7wins+0.33per pick43cpaid+89.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x32b5…b692backed Under50c32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165558.2%32 W · 23 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over62c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.420253.5%108 W · 94 L-0.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc709…809dbacked Over51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.411963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+28.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Over52c28.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8521457.5%123 W · 91 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf58…2bf4backed Under50c26.62$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.263135.5%11 W · 20 L-4.4wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-33.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Under52c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4824048.3%116 W · 124 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Over48c23.29$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1117960.3%108 W · 71 L+0.5wins0.00per pick60cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8684…bfaabacked Under49c20.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.052540%10 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17b6…af55backed Over50c20.3$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.152360.9%14 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b10…edb9backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101070%7 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5569…c927backed Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.28per pick50cpaid-61.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.