La Liga · resolved market
Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x602eed1f60f349ecc300e731fe10d23f17d6be49c6c93861910ceffc3e237de7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,942
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,257
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,942 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Over | 76c | 13,084$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,084.19 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 24c | 7,669$1,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,822.77 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 26c | 5,126$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.97 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Over | 76c | 4,577$3,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.09 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Under | 3c | 3,570$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.1 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +8.6wins | +0.24per pick | 18cpaid | +156.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 23c | 2,622$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.38 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x804d…632fbacked Under | 7c | 2,409$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 24c | 1,855$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.49 | 354 | 42.7%151 W · 203 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…d4bfbacked Over | 70c | 1,510$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 24c | 1,152$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.86 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 481 | 53.6%258 W · 223 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 24c | 800$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 644 | 57%367 W · 277 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf277…9a5fbacked Over | 76c | 526.32$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.32 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 71c | 423$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.67 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Over | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 24c | 246$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.04 | 280 | 45.4%127 W · 153 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 24c | 243.89$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.53 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6b…68a0backed Over | 79c | 184.94$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.94 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 454 | 50%227 W · 227 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…d11dbacked Over | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 26c | 126.49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.28 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 24c | 101.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee74…abd9backed Over | 79c | 94.94$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +51%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff1…c554backed Over | 76c | 92.11$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa237…d59abacked Over | 76c | 80$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…4d3ebacked Under | 25c | 76.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Under | 17c | 61.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…874fbacked Over | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x274e…1d72backed Under | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb0…20b4backed Under | 25c | 43.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94ab…83f5backed Over | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 48 | 77.1%37 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b5c8backed Over | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Over | 75c | 39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9545…d6f7backed Over | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8c…880abacked Over | 76c | 26.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Over | 76c | 24.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 214 | 57.5%123 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20fe…884cbacked Over | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…a572backed Over | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 64 | 75%48 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e70…205ebacked Over | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Over | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 1.5this page
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 3.5Under won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)Real Betis Balompié won
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-2.5)Real Betis Balompié won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.