TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x274e…1d72

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
137
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Tennis, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 58 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT3732.4%12 W · 25 L+4.6wins+0.12per pick20cpaid+93.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ITF Bucharest: Valeriia Artemeva vs Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybasbacked Valeriia Artemeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Zagreb: Elmer Moeller vs Zsombor Pirosbacked Elmer Moeller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.99
Bordeaux: Alex Molcan vs Rei Sakamotobacked Alex Molcan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$206.99
Zagreb: Zsombor Piros vs Josip Simundzabacked Zsombor Piros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+1,566.7%+$564
Valencia: Alejandro Tabilo vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$324
Parma: Dominika Salkova vs Camila Osoriobacked Camila Osorio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$230.99
Bengaluru 2: Manish Sureshkumar vs Ilya Ivashkabacked Ilya Ivashka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+525%+$252
Parma: Federica Urgesi vs Viktorija Golubicbacked Federica Urgesi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Zagreb: Nerman Fatic vs Elmer Moellerbacked Nerman Fatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Bengaluru 2: Alastair Gray vs Manish Sureshkumarbacked Manish Sureshkumar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$439.99
Bengaluru 2: Keegan Smith vs Dominik Palanbacked Dominik Palan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$87
Tunis: Bernard Tomic vs Aziz Ouakaabacked Aziz Ouakaa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.67
Valencia: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Nicolas Alvarez Varonabacked Nicolas Alvarez Varona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$152
Francavilla: Facundo Acosta vs Henry Bernetbacked Henry Bernet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.99
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Federico Bondiolibacked Federico Bondioli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$329.99
Jiujiang: Lanlana Tararudee vs Sofya Lanserebacked Sofya Lansere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.1
Wuxi: Jason Jung vs Andre Ilaganbacked Jason Jung · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.1
Wuxi: Soon-Woo Kwon vs Kaichi Uchidabacked Kaichi Uchida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Jiujiang: Haruka Kaji vs Xinyu Gaobacked Haruka Kaji · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$1,169.88
Jiujiang: Hayu Kinoshita vs Kristiana Sidorovabacked Kristiana Sidorova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.73
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Pierluigi Basilebacked Pierluigi Basile · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,164.91
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Federico Bondioli vs Emilio Navabacked Federico Bondioli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$1,214.98
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Chris Rodeschbacked Chris Rodesch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$255
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Juan Martin vs Titouan Droguetbacked Juan Martin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$315.73
Wuxi: Mark Lajal vs Renta Tokudabacked Renta Tokuda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick27cpaid+54.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rio Ave FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.49
Rio Ave FC vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Spread: Gil Vicente FC (-1.5)backed Gil Vicente FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will Kayserispor vs. Eyüpspor end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$37
Will SC Braga vs. Estoril Praia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$38.5
Will Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Will Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Gençlerbirliği SK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Antalyaspor vs. Alanyaspor end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$35.5
Antalyaspor vs. Alanyaspor: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$36
Will Kocaelispor win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Kasımpaşa SK vs. Kocaelispor end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$35
Will FC Volendam win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
All 12 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,040
LoL: New Meta vs FENNEL (BO3) - LJL Regular Seasonbacked New Meta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.6
LoL: Estral Esports vs INTZ e-Sports (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffsbacked INTZ e-Sports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$62.01
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$38.5
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+203%+$33.5
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winnerbacked Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Game Handicap: VKS (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)backed Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
LoL: G2 Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$550
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Galions (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffsbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
All 10 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-30.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: TDK vs FC Famalicão Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stagebacked FC Famalicão Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$280
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stagebacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$259.89
Counter-Strike: Voca vs Wildcard (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #4 Playoffsbacked Voca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$34
Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$34
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 3 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.5
Counter-Strike: InControl vs girl kissers (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship North American Group Bbacked girl kissers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-29.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.3
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$32.5
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$35.5
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)backed Aston Villa FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
All 9 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick24cpaid+22.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$91
Dota 2: MOUZ vs 1win (BO3) - 1win Essence Group Abacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$55.45
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs REKONIX (BO3) - 1win Essence Group Bbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$840Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$840
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - 1win Essence Group Abacked Nemiga Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - 1win Essence Group Bbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$489Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$488.61
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs REKONIX (BO3) - 1win Essence Group Bbacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$36.5
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - 1win Essence Group Abacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$34.5
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs South America Rejects (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffsbacked Team Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
All 8 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick29cpaid+19.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+203%+$33.5
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)backed Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$29.88
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankeesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)backed San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.24
All 5 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick26cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$36
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Avalanche vs. Wild backed Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Flyers vs. Hurricanesbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Washington Mystics vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Austin FC vs. St. Louis City SC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 BIFA Cup: Dragon Xi vs Kokrajharbacked Kokrajhar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.