Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-05-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57fb36ff9b21a46ba4dd9a681b9294cef207b780502a51b8b12b06b02a0c86f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,482
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,576
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,482 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 43c | 2,451$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 2,294$1,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,446.19 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 11c | 1,504$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.34 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 56c | 1,126$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.14 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 28c | 620.36$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.25 | 1,749 | 50.7%887 W · 862 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x068b…2106backed No | 72c | 581.94$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 49c | 529.02$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.53 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked Yes | 56c | 416.88$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.43 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 49c | 397.35$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.72 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 56c | 349.53$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.79 | 935 | 35.2%329 W · 606 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ef…c822backed No | 70c | 342.31$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 44c | 340.24$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.68 | 60 | 20%12 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed No | 14c | 296.6$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.09 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 41c | 296.21$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.26 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 24c | 294.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.19 | 105 | 22.9%24 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed No | 43c | 278$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.54 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 40c | 267$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.2 | 729 | 44.2%322 W · 407 L | -29.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 40c | 263$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.8 | 593 | 42.5%252 W · 341 L | -28.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked No | 73c | 233.83$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 58c | 224$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.92 | 219 | 53.9%118 W · 101 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 55c | 212.13$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.66 | 1,035 | 41.6%431 W · 604 L | -33.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed No | 58c | 201.93$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.12 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2062…6be2backed No | 48c | 187.5$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -5.9wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 42c | 182.23$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.19 | 245 | 48.6%119 W · 126 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed No | 57c | 139.22$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.6 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 28c | 122.33$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.08 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Yes | 27c | 115.11$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.11 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 28c | 103.05$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.2 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 51c | 102.61$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.19 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…6d30backed No | 49c | 101.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 100.75$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.53 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 46c | 100.3$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.14 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…e471backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6779…2ff6backed No | 72c | 83.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73e2…264cbacked Yes | 51c | 79.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.14 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…363dbacked Yes | 29c | 72.41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.41 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dd…345cbacked Yes | 34c | 64.12$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.52 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca1d…aaa8backed Yes | 29c | 63.66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Yes | 39c | 62.79$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.6 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 60c | 59.42$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.65 | 377 | 59.4%224 W · 153 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed No | 52c | 59.2$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 60c | 58.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x274e…1d72backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 26cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1,319 | 56.7%748 W · 571 L | +64.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 152 | 40.1%61 W · 91 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 70c | 49.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed No | 68c | 47.42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -9.0wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -49%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 29c | 47.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 162 | 52.5%85 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Yes | 28c | 39.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd00f…84f1backed Yes | 54c | 38.89$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3b…380cbacked Yes | 29c | 38.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.05 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed No | 71c | 32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 39c | 30.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 62c | 26.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaac2…3551backed Yes | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…c61cbacked No | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 74cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-05-03?this page
- Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-05-03?No won
- Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.