TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x48e2…6d30

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
221
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Premier League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT11933.6%40 W · 79 L-6.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 119 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.94
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.66
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.74
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.96
Brazil to score first vs. Norway?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$62.56
Brazil vs. Norway: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$53
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$57.44
Will France win on 2026-07-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$44.79
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.26
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 Croatia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
United States to score first vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49.96
Belgium to score first vs. Senegal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$55.17
Showing 25 of 119 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT3234.4%11 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick30cpaid-13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Will Henan FC win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+405%+$40.5
Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$65.78
Will NEOM SC win on 2026-05-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45.82
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$47.7
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.25
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41.69
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+300%+$78
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-05-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+83.8%+$51.09
Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will NEOM SC win on 2026-05-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.82
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-05-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.9
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+221.9%+$55.15
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.45
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$21.25
Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$21.25
Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Valencia CF vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+60%+$59.91
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+95.3%+$50.53
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+80.8%+$44.46
Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Villarreal CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.68
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.09
Will RCD Mallorca vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$81.53
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.05
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.95
All 16 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$53.08
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+412.2%+$163.5
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$72
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+143.7%+$35.92
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.99
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.45
Will FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.45
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.24
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$11.94
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+24.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+300%+$30
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$51
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$26.52
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.18
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.37
Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.25
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$89.41
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.66
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.34
Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.32
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+96.2%+$14.01
All 12 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+300%+$30
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Will Pisa SC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+65.7%+$81.41
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Will US Cremonese vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30.43
Will US Lecce win on 2026-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.92
Will US Lecce vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+253.9%+$72.9
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.05
All 10 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+28.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$48.33
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.