Fifa International · resolved market
Lionel Messi: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4721049a0f3db3a80e57aafc6ffae65470e6c63d36fac076aedc5a088878eed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $995,580
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,078,229
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $995,580 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 706 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 67c | 331,180$223,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107,992.92 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 33c | 107,244$35,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,390.38 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 32c | 100,000$32,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,999.94 | 213 | 43.2%92 W · 121 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Yes | 67c | 59,920$40,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,919.58 | 324 | 29.9%97 W · 227 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 32c | 55,000$17,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,849.9 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 33c | 45,189$14,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,761.35 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed No | 34c | 35,637$12,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,116.7 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb225…3d54backed No | 34c | 35,000$11,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,900 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x928b…ccf4backed No | 34c | 34,537$11,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,742.54 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 33c | 32,997$10,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,992.84 | 296 | 46.3%137 W · 159 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed Yes | 66c | 25,000$16,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,500 | 144 | 49.3%71 W · 73 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed No | 33c | 23,649$7,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,867.77 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 32c | 22,500$7,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,279.98 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 33c | 22,222$7,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,333.26 | 218 | 36.2%79 W · 139 L | -19.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb7…3cd4backed Yes | 68c | 22,127$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,126.81 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 67c | 21,496$14,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,122.51 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked No | 32c | 20,000$6,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,399.88 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x869a…0ac7backed No | 1c | 17,310$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e3…29ebbacked No | 33c | 16,594$5,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,553.66 | 131 | 63.4%83 W · 48 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5d…946ebacked Yes | 67c | 16,386$11,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,331.34 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa18c…d792backed No | 33c | 15,000$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,949.99 | 240 | 58.8%141 W · 99 L | +19.8wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 33c | 14,490$4,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,820.7 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 34c | 14,166$4,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,762.14 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Yes | 65c | 12,750$8,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,512.5 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Yes | 67c | 11,940$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,940.3 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed No | 33c | 10,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 176 | 42%74 W · 102 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 66c | 8,668$5,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,908 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 34c | 8,557$2,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,881.31 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 33c | 8,542$2,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,836.31 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 34c | 7,600$2,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,583.91 | 168 | 35.1%59 W · 109 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18e6…d83dbacked Yes | 66c | 7,531$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,530.53 | 126 | 16.7%21 W · 105 L | -12.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed No | 35c | 7,402$2,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,553.72 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bc…f454backed Yes | 68c | 7,353$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,352.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2f…d8c2backed Yes | 67c | 6,893$4,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299.35 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…8ec9backed No | 40c | 6,505$2,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,593.58 | 143 | 25.2%36 W · 107 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60c9…9e8abacked Yes | 66c | 5,989$3,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,036.13 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32f…ef80backed Yes | 67c | 5,970$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,970.15 | 116 | 41.4%48 W · 68 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…748bbacked Yes | 67c | 5,970$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,970.15 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 67c | 5,970$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,970.15 | 224 | 48.2%108 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…fa3abacked No | 34c | 5,882$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 162 | 60.5%98 W · 64 L | +22.3wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +29%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 67c | 5,798$3,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,928.34 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x442f…e7a2backed Yes | 65c | 5,000$3,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.99 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1305…46d2backed Yes | 65c | 4,724$3,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,653.23 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Yes | 66c | 4,292$2,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.42 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a79…b1a8backed Yes | 64c | 4,223$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522.65 | 77 | 29.9%23 W · 54 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb361…808ebacked No | 35c | 4,112$1,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428.92 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…55d6backed Yes | 67c | 3,731$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.34 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 33c | 3,705$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.52 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…62febacked Yes | 67c | 3,638$2,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70a6…a2ebbacked No | 33c | 3,500$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4527…b378backed No | 34c | 3,489$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb6…099fbacked No | 33c | 3,387$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.71 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…947abacked No | 33c | 3,035$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.8 | 188 | 43.1%81 W · 107 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…26e9backed Yes | 66c | 3,030$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.07 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce5…9ce1backed Yes | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa66c…cd67backed Yes | 67c | 2,985$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.07 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fb…e5fdbacked No | 34c | 2,941$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed No | 34c | 2,704$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.2 | 362 | 50%181 W · 181 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 23c | 2,574$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.76 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes | 65c | 2,512$1,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.37 | 302 | 14.6%44 W · 258 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Yes | 66c | 2,450$1,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833 | 432 | 48.4%209 W · 223 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed Yes | 66c | 2,379$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.89 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Yes | 66c | 2,307$1,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.48 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…a398backed Yes | 70c | 2,284$1,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb28…3694backed Yes | 63c | 2,200$1,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.99 | 179 | 50.3%90 W · 89 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0c…cfc9backed Yes | 67c | 2,068$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.59 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -7.2wins | -0.22per pick | 43cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 221 | 39.8%88 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 32c | 2,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.99 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed No | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.98 | 222 | 29.7%66 W · 156 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked No | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.98 | 335 | 55.5%186 W · 149 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed No | 31c | 1,997$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.1 | 333 | 50.5%168 W · 165 L | +24.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed No | 34c | 1,950$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.45 | 399 | 51.6%206 W · 193 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked No | 33c | 1,939$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.63 | 361 | 23.5%85 W · 276 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed No | 34c | 1,895$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.85 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd61…0002backed No | 36c | 1,750$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.99 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed No | 34c | 1,750$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.98 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked No | 37c | 1,598$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.94 | 188 | 48.9%92 W · 96 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7608…c6b6backed Yes | 66c | 1,508$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked No | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed No | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 331 | 49.5%164 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 67c | 1,495$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.35 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes | 67c | 1,493$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.41 | 585 | 30.9%181 W · 404 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…cc4bbacked Yes | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.54 | 111 | 65.8%73 W · 38 L | +15.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…6bb6backed Yes | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.54 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…3ee3backed Yes | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.54 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c0…5837backed Yes | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.54 | 71 | 67.6%48 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a6…6ea4backed Yes | 67c | 1,476$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.14 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5f…1695backed Yes | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.59 | 372 | 23.9%89 W · 283 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…dc43backed Yes | 67c | 1,457$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.72 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf271…acf2backed No | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 87 | 27.6%24 W · 63 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…ac88backed Yes | 67c | 1,425$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.24 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7d…8895backed Yes | 67c | 1,343$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.28 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…f0bfbacked Yes | 67c | 1,312$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.87 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 66c | 1,263$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.26 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 66c | 1,250$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.86 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 34c | 1,250$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 318 | 51.9%165 W · 153 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea0…68b1backed Yes | 65c | 1,250$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.49 | 84 | 25%21 W · 63 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf56d…9eeabacked Yes | 67c | 1,222$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.26 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 25cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Yes | 67c | 1,212$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.96 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsthis page
- Dailon Livramento: 1+ goalsNo won
- Dailon Livramento: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Jovane Cabral: 1+ goalsNo won
- Jovane Cabral: 1+ shotsYes won
- Jovane Cabral: 1+ shots on targetNo won
- Julián Álvarez: 1+ assistsNo won
- Julián Álvarez: 1+ goalsNo won
- Julián Álvarez: 2+ goalsNo won
- Julián Álvarez: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Lautaro Martínez: 1+ assistsNo won
- Lautaro Martínez: 1+ goalsNo won
- Lautaro Martínez: 1+ shotsNo won
- Lautaro Martínez: 2+ assistsNo won
- Lautaro Martínez: 2+ goalsNo won
- Lautaro Martínez: 3+ goalsNo won
- Lautaro Martínez: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Lionel Messi: 1+ assistsNo won
- Lionel Messi: 2+ assistsNo won
- Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsNo won
- Lionel Messi: 3+ goalsNo won
- Lionel Messi: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Nuno Jóia: 1+ goalsNo won
- Nuno Jóia: 1+ shotsNo won
- Nuno Jóia: 2+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.