TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf3a6…71bd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
261
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: MLB, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 58 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT10157.4%58 W · 43 L+8.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 101 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$945Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+77%+$727.36
Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,195Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,195.11
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,370Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$3,110.4
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,077Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$1,550.17
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Soxbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,120.13
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+70.3%+$456.89
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16,285Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$15,646.58
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$772Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$712.48
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astrosbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,138Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,137.96
Texas Rangers vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,938Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,937.6
Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,791Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$2,905.35
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$602Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$533.92
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)backed Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.71
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.64
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$382Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+89.4%+$341.27
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,792Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$1,526.74
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$836Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$906.2
Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,888Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,888
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+122.3%+$177.46
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$420.4
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$173.81
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,387Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,386.59
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,900Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$5,100
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$31,289Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$31,289.24
New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$27,468Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$27,468.3
Showing 25 of 101 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT7140.8%29 W · 42 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 71 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$648Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$648.17
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.52
Lionel Messi: 1+ assistsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18,156Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7,060.61
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$54,565Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+119%+$64,916.15
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,799.99
France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20,920Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$20,920.38
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$431Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$431.16
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$481Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$480.58
France vs. Spain: France O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,114.43
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$3,750Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,749.77
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$2,795Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,795.41
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$2,550Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$6,894.65
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12,472Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,471.81
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$573Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$573.37
France vs. Morocco: France O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,082Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$1,703.62
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$822Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$821.9
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$499.94
Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24,780Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$24,779.74
United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$4,459Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,459.24
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,265Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,265.39
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$6,612Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,611.78
Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,207Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,206.59
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$4,479Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,478.85
Portugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,376Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,375.58
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$5,061Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,060.97
Showing 25 of 71 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT5657.1%32 W · 24 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-9.5)backed Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,050.3
Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,436Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+203%+$2,914.5
Indiana Fever vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 185.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,056Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+102%+$5,155.67
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 170.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$525Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$525.23
Spread: New York Liberty (-4.5)backed New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$571Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$570.8
Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 162.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,686Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+94.5%+$5,372.17
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-6.5)backed Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,327Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,326.74
Portland Fire vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 178.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,668Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+103.5%+$2,761.26
Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-5.5)backed Portland Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$58.76
Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 187.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$253.47
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-7.5)backed Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,241Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+95.9%+$3,108.86
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-5.5)backed Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$212.16
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-4.5)backed Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$756Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$924.27
Toronto Tempo vs. Portland Fire: O/U 186.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$244.92
Toronto Tempo vs. PortlandFirebacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,273Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$960.71
Spread: Portland Fire (-2.5)backed Portland Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,078Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,035.94
Toronto Tempo vs. Portland Fire: O/U 187.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$435Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$418.1
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 187.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.6
Las Vegas Aces vs. Indiana Feverbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,361Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,360.9
Las Vegas Aces vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 192.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,378Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,378.22
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-13.5)backed Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$490
Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.19
Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 169.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$742Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$742.28
New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,030Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$554.81
Spread: Chicago Sky (-4.5)backed Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$330.2
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+44.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dana White's Contender Series: Trent Miller vs. Douglas Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Douglas Rodrigues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,635Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,634.52
UFC 330: Jeremiah Wells vs. Myktybek Orolbai (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Jeremiah Wells · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$994Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+900%+$8,950.06
UFC Fight Night: Thomas Petersen vs. Valter Walker (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Valter Walker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$6,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$3,500
UFC Fight Night: Magomed Ankalaev vs. Bogdan Guskov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Bogdan Guskov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$23,764Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$23,764.24
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,122
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$72.8
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$768Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$579.21
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$63,028Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$63,027.97
Will Max Holloway win by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$4,252Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,251.78
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,232Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,334.7
Will Conor McGregor win by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$6,161Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+31.4%+$1,935.79
UFC 329: Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Elisha Ellison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$990Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$990
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16,102Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$4,272.09
UFC 329: Farid Basharat vs. John Garza (Bantamweight, Early Prelims)backed John Garza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$276.6
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,488Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,487.72
NBA Summer League: Memphis Grizzlies vs. Golden State Warriorsbacked Golden State Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$430.26
NBA Summer League: Memphis Grizzlies vs. Houston Rocketsbacked Memphis Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$180
NBA Summer League: Orlando Magic vs. Boston Celticsbacked Orlando Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+93.8%+$140.11
NBA Summer League: Miami Heat vs. Detroit Pistonsbacked Detroit Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$845Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$845.19
NBA Summer League: Atlanta Hawks vs. Memphis Grizzliesbacked Memphis Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.87
NBA Summer League: Chicago Bulls vs. LA Lakersbacked LA Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$582Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+56.9%+$331.13
NBA Summer League: Houston Rockets vs. Brooklyn Netsbacked Brooklyn Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$503.7
NBA Summer League: Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Dallas Mavericksbacked Dallas Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,811Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$2,304.52
NBA Summer League: LA Lakers vs. LA Clippersbacked LA Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.75
NBA Summer League: Golden State Warriors vs. Memphis Grizzliesbacked Golden State Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$5,139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,138.75
NBA Summer League: San Antonio Spurs vs. New York Knicksbacked San Antonio Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$663Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$460.44
All 12 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DEN vs. ATL: O/U 38.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20,639Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20,638.55
DEN vs. ATL: O/U 40.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$31,860Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$31,859.6
Buccaneers vs. Jets: 1H Moneylinebacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,161Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$1,628.56
Spread: Panthers (-1.5)backed Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$6,708Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,707.88
Panthers vs. Cardinals: O/U 35.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$33.99
All 5 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Larne FC vs. FK Crvena zvezda: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$28.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa win on 2026-08-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.