TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. Morocco: France O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$679,612
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$743,545

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $679,612 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 488 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x224a…a3d5backed Under43c198,684$85,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85,823.6177152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f03…766dbacked Over58c86,207$50,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,206.93925.6%10 W · 29 L-5.0wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-45.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under52c77,019$40,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,195.194,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over55c71,915$39,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,377.642,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over56c53,581$30,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,581.0712254.1%66 W · 56 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4301…f601backed Under42c20,000$8,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,399.962931%9 W · 20 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-26.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under44c19,997$8,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,798.8153448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Over31c13,025$4,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,002.9717544%77 W · 98 L+9.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under45c12,966$5,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,862.971,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54ce…9f80backed Under45c12,000$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,399.989551.6%49 W · 46 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Under45c11,856$5,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,335.2720724.6%51 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under0c11,760$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.762,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under44c10,399$4,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,544.242,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over54c10,158$5,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,675.178,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Under45c10,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,499.987859%46 W · 32 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Under45c10,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,499.9838026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4608…d049backed Under45c10,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,499.948458.3%49 W · 35 L+9.7wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+19.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under45c9,130$4,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,108.4846550.3%234 W · 231 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x580e…38cdbacked Over55c9,091$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,090.9116739.5%66 W · 101 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over55c8,178$4,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,666.41,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over58c8,009$4,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,363.7823942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x158d…9c64backed Over59c7,429$4,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,062.3713454.5%73 W · 61 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over55c7,224$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,223.7636247.2%171 W · 191 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed Over55c6,940$3,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,12312825.8%33 W · 95 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-54.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over49c6,483$3,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,313.72,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19d0…2101backed Over59c6,340$3,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,599.125863.8%37 W · 21 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under45c6,129$2,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,776.883,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under51c6,075$3,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,082.254,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under44c6,000$2,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,64074447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd914…0d9abacked Over50c5,980$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,979.698028.8%23 W · 57 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-33.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Over55c5,909$3,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,659.0916747.3%79 W · 88 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under51c5,743$2,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,904.012,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa66e…f4bebacked Over55c5,690$3,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,560.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18e4…e2bbbacked Over52c5,664$2,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,718.953447.1%16 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Over55c5,555$3,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,499.7532029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over55c5,284$2,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,377.82,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over46c5,200$2,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,829.9643248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Over39c5,190$2,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,165.8858049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7609…6c4ebacked Under45c5,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,249.985646.4%26 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Over55c4,999$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,249.7622139.8%88 W · 133 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under49c4,912$2,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,392.822,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Under45c4,691$2,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,111.0740655.7%226 W · 180 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0e1…b9b4backed Over56c4,464$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,964.297146.5%33 W · 38 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x910d…0d1cbacked Under46c4,348$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0004548.9%22 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under53c4,337$2,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,308.926841.8%112 W · 156 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62e0…32dfbacked Over46c4,320$1,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,331.717345.1%78 W · 95 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x351a…0302backed Over58c4,310$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,810.343132.3%10 W · 21 L-6.1wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-43.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Over56c3,879$2,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,706.614221.4%9 W · 33 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf3a6…71bdbacked Over55c3,786$2,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,703.627140.8%29 W · 42 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over52c3,672$1,909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,762.562,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed Under43c3,596$1,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,546.288938.2%34 W · 55 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f7…1b34backed Over57c3,449$1,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,483.0122436.6%82 W · 142 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7e3cbacked Over57c3,423$1,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,471.781330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b57…5d9abacked Over58c3,404$1,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,429.728156.8%46 W · 35 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae2d…2bc4backed Under61c3,391$2,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,054.589752.6%51 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over55c3,227$1,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,452.152,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf33d…a537backed Over56c2,679$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,178.578530.6%26 W · 59 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under44c2,500$1,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,108.073,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe991…48b1backed Over55c2,364$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.6433641.7%140 W · 196 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under45c2,235$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.1197742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd255…4676backed Under43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86021450.5%108 W · 106 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under44c2,000$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8701,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Over56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88032642.9%140 W · 186 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed Over37c1,951$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,229.48530.6%26 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under45c1,822$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.13,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over55c1,818$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.1830465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc17e…d497backed Over55c1,818$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.183839.5%15 W · 23 L+6.4wins+0.17per pick23cpaid+98.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb3ac…1ce0backed Over55c1,818$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.189100%9 W · 0 L+3.2wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+63%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x502e…5442backed Over56c1,786$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.7116746.7%78 W · 89 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba57…1e84backed Over56c1,765$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.627560%45 W · 30 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under47c1,761$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.623,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3fe…46d0backed Over57c1,754$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.393030%9 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x435c…8079backed Over57c1,754$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.391163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+39.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34ec…f538backed Under53c1,727$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$918.235137.3%19 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a8c…ba13backed Over56c1,699$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.74854.2%26 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under46c1,653$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.1961750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under44c1,397$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.253,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under43c1,345$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.71,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5345…38dcbacked Over57c1,345$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.332100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3911…6689backed Over39c1,300$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7931833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-27.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd8f…761dbacked Over55c1,260$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5675648.2%27 W · 29 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+21.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Over59c1,213$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.743246.8%202 W · 230 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d64…ba4abacked Under43c1,177$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.082646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeaa…95d6backed Over56c1,114$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.294932.7%16 W · 33 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb82d…c40dbacked Over56c1,088$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.855257.7%30 W · 22 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e9b…a0ecbacked Over55c1,056$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.083754.1%20 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-21.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe1e3…0009backed Over54c1,033$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.0720532.2%66 W · 139 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf400…2f56backed Over57c1,010$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.363953.8%21 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under45c1,008$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.811,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb893…35d6backed Over54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46010652.8%56 W · 50 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44046546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab6b…521bbacked Over57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43018426.1%48 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked Under44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44030345.2%137 W · 166 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc423…03b9backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1040912%49 W · 360 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ca1…3378backed Under43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4305630.4%17 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-33%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over56c999.99$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44028337.1%105 W · 178 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Under45c999.99$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.9923729.1%69 W · 168 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc93…7687backed Over40c979.95$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.971631.3%5 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dca…ed09backed Over40c958.15$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.893053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2225…8509backed Over48c938.43$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.986550.8%33 W · 32 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.