TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. Morocco: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$182,749
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$190,787

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $182,749 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5c1…0101backed Over1c14,036$197 inLost-$196.55151%26 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37f4…49afbacked Over2c11,146$202 inLost-$201.6619037.4%71 W · 119 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Over2c8,721$139 inLost-$139.372722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Over2c6,917$108 inLost-$107.9150%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4433…9d34backed Over2c5,184$101 inLost-$100.6878835.3%278 W · 510 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over2c4,917$88 inLost-$88.536031.7%114 W · 246 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Over2c3,526$57 inLost-$56.8678317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over2c3,357$64 inLost-$63.93,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over2c3,292$59 inLost-$59.258,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x529f…ffd4backed Over2c2,260$40 inLost-$39.743813.2%5 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick14cpaid-58.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9aa7…e3d9backed Over1c2,222$31 inLost-$31.11968.3%8 W · 88 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+73.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Over2c2,000$30 inLost-$3016946.2%78 W · 91 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7da4…dcbebacked Over2c1,500$30 inLost-$301915.8%3 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick11cpaid-16%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Over2c1,474$31 inLost-$30.5748937%181 W · 308 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefe9…7aaabacked Over2c1,209$18 inLost-$18.147412.2%9 W · 65 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-42.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over1c1,183$16 inLost-$15.853,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Over2c1,157$22 inLost-$21.6926841.8%112 W · 156 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over1c1,116$12 inLost-$12.381,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11d1…0b41backed Over2c1,000$20 inLost-$2046319.9%92 W · 371 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Over2c1,000$16 inLost-$1646546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2393…d54dbacked Over2c1,000$19 inLost-$1917625%44 W · 132 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc72…2888backed Over2c976.38$23 inLost-$23.4827227.6%75 W · 197 L-0.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bd8…f260backed Over2c789.47$15 inLost-$1537919.5%74 W · 305 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37a1…6691backed Over2c724.75$13 inLost-$13.0519125.1%48 W · 143 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+79.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over2c668.94$13 inLost-$13.242,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e91…91a4backed Over2c625$10 inLost-$103050%15 W · 15 L+4.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+18.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x431e…acdcbacked Over2c526.32$10 inLost-$1030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9b1…7064backed Over2c500$10 inLost-$10520%1 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick3cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf2f…06bebacked Over2c500$10 inLost-$104513.3%6 W · 39 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-32.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0cc9…616dbacked Over2c500$10 inLost-$106219.4%12 W · 50 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-50.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55be…fb40backed Over2c491.77$10 inLost-$108531.8%27 W · 58 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27b9…90d0backed Over5c265$13 inLost-$13.2516336.2%59 W · 104 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.