TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,325
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,032

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,325 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7b0f…4633backed Under45c1,766$800 inWon+$965.835158.8%30 W · 21 L+7.1wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+30.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over31c1,145$350 inLost-$349.732,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over54c1,087$587 inLost-$587.062,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x957e…3621backed Over33c601.72$200 inLost-$20022147.1%104 W · 117 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over46c471.64$215 inLost-$214.751,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19b6…faa7backed Under76c394.72$300 inWon+$94.729248.9%45 W · 47 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b6b…f392backed Under37c369.34$136 inWon+$233.341662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+25.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfaa…43e2backed Under77c259.74$200 inWon+$59.7428134.5%97 W · 184 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ad1…de9bbacked Under80c218.64$175 inWon+$43.735269.2%36 W · 16 L+7.0wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+25.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under62c211.58$131 inWon+$80.48,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under24c200$49 inWon+$151.52,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed Over70c183$129 inLost-$128.8617533.7%59 W · 116 L-12.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-36.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over73c183$134 inLost-$134.473536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x62d6…54e8backed Over30c168.67$50 inLost-$506235.5%22 W · 40 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over64c156.47$100 inLost-$99.81,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over38c155.86$59 inLost-$59.172,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x53a1…b1b0backed Under65c153.95$100 inWon+$53.9517959.2%106 W · 73 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ef…b630backed Under23c138$32 inWon+$106.255236.5%19 W · 33 L+8.0wins+0.15per pick21cpaid+51.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under47c133.47$63 inWon+$70.334,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf110…218ebacked Under76c131.95$100 inWon+$31.955457.4%31 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over22c113.52$25 inLost-$251,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x702a…26f9backed Over27c111.11$30 inLost-$30385.3%2 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick14cpaid-66.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x04ab…c326backed Over52c107.31$56 inLost-$5613149.6%65 W · 66 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x575c…b6ebbacked Under75c105.39$79 inWon+$26.352100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Under41c92$37 inWon+$54.7465036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3432…4ee4backed Over22c91.36$20 inLost-$205020%10 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick21cpaid+17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb652…64fbbacked Over23c86.96$20 inLost-$207611.8%9 W · 67 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over19c85.58$16 inLost-$16.2487237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Over20c70.7$14 inLost-$14.0329813.8%41 W · 257 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick12cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under77c69.87$54 inWon+$16.073,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Under78c68.18$53 inWon+$158439.3%33 W · 51 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under58c59.58$35 inWon+$24.962,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Under78c50$39 inWon+$111,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under78c50$39 inWon+$112,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Over22c50$11 inLost-$1117747.5%84 W · 93 L+11.7wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6903…b2edbacked Under70c47.98$34 inWon+$14.244566.7%30 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over28c45$13 inLost-$12.71,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0386…e196backed Under60c33$20 inWon+$13.217229.1%50 W · 122 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over40c33$13 inLost-$13.21,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d3a…b386backed Over48c31.16$15 inLost-$156046.7%28 W · 32 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked Over47c26.86$13 inLost-$12.6920968.4%143 W · 66 L+21.5wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+14.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Under67c25$17 inWon+$8.2541444.9%186 W · 228 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over75c20.5$15 inLost-$15.381,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e90…ce0dbacked Under54c20.21$11 inWon+$9.216147.5%29 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26e4…a102backed Under53c19$10 inWon+$9771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+24.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.