TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. Morocco: France O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$452,278
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$446,096

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $452,278 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 243 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under58c181,730$105,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75,870.734,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d06…7910backed Over57c111,877$63,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63,269.5714343.4%62 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over26c28,859$7,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,429.0511239.3%44 W · 68 L-10.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-26.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7e5e…7315backed Over28c28,116$7,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,872.546114.8%9 W · 52 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-46.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under72c25,000$18,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,999.9853448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over25c11,121$2,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,780.2565737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under79c9,073$7,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,860.064,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over31c8,338$2,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,598.672,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x013e…65ddbacked Over14c6,205$869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868.71442.9%6 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+48%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Over26c6,137$1,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,595.622139.8%88 W · 133 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over26c5,128$1,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,333.282,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under73c5,065$3,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,373.373,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over28c5,041$1,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,422.692,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ea6…180dbacked Under74c5,000$3,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3005356.6%30 W · 23 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Over26c4,670$1,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,223.291,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under43c4,584$1,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,602.571,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under73c4,446$3,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,200.4270244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over37c4,078$1,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,518.942,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under76c4,001$3,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$945.852,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under73c3,938$2,871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,067.192,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over24c3,801$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925.792,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under48c3,594$1,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,884.482,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under77c3,530$2,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.9426841.8%112 W · 156 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Over41c3,502$1,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,443.7841331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over37c3,189$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,175.398,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb223…cad8backed Over37c2,961$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1101030%3 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-38.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under76c2,919$2,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.242,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0c0…5b27backed Over16c2,799$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over25c2,477$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.8943248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x692b…b4f2backed Over25c2,459$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.824323.3%10 W · 33 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-33%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2970…e1c9backed Over16c2,333$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.3514351.7%74 W · 69 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3911…6689backed Over26c2,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5201833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-27.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ee3…a899backed Over16c1,907$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004235.7%15 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under74c1,907$1,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.913,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe002…152bbacked Over27c1,852$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003946.2%18 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+35.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf33d…a537backed Over26c1,845$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.828530.6%26 W · 59 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeaa…95d6backed Over26c1,786$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.474932.7%16 W · 33 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a44…d5a5backed Under73c1,734$1,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.0316549.1%81 W · 84 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under74c1,696$1,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.221,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x158d…9c64backed Over39c1,555$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.113454.5%73 W · 61 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over24c1,425$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.584,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Over27c1,415$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38231520.3%64 W · 251 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9920…8f8ebacked Over16c1,250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004235.7%15 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8907…a996backed Over19c1,241$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.411030%3 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-42%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over28c1,187$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.3623942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fcd…9293backed Over26c1,154$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30013531.9%43 W · 92 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae2d…2bc4backed Under47c1,139$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.019752.6%51 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Over17c1,136$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.0822846.1%105 W · 123 L-0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over25c1,122$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.5875729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5006…48cabacked Under74c1,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26018248.9%89 W · 93 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under73c1,000$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27046546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Over25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25061752%321 W · 296 L-13.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4931…6f58backed Over54c999.99$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.995545.5%25 W · 30 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xab6b…521bbacked Over28c999.99$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28018426.1%48 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ef…b630backed Under18c996.81$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.385236.5%19 W · 33 L+8.0wins+0.15per pick21cpaid+51.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Under73c994.67$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.5636350.1%182 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under53c908.97$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.9632656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6e0e…229ebacked Over26c851.04$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.271060%6 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.27per pick33cpaid+139.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x00da…6afdbacked Over25c812$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2031855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+34.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200e…33f2backed Over25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006013.3%8 W · 52 L-0.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fc9…01e1backed Over25c784.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011020%22 W · 88 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8443…2988backed Over28c767.86$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2159331.2%29 W · 64 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f5b…315ebacked Over26c746.77$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.161414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-55.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over29c682.41$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.891,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1071…169bbacked Over54c648.15$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3502462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over26c601.77$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.341,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over25c555.98$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.533,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Over21c550.27$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.917122.5%16 W · 55 L-0.2wins0.00per pick23cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over23c545.29$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.361,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Over19c535.11$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.6742755.5%237 W · 190 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d87…db7abacked Over27c518.52$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401225%3 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-24%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbcf…20aebacked Over23c503.04$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.3825639.1%100 W · 156 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3686…ce81backed Under75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe84a…02febacked Under74c500$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13012056.7%68 W · 52 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+25.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd59c…bb63backed Over52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2601752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under74c500$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13017052.9%90 W · 80 L+13.0wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x12f5…5ac4backed Over27c500$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1351225%3 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick30cpaid+45.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb75c…975cbacked Under58c499.99$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2106735.8%24 W · 43 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd90d…97e5backed Over27c499.99$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1357521.3%16 W · 59 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick17cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Under72c450$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.9865036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb17d…02f1backed Over27c427.96$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1155549.1%27 W · 28 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c97…eb24backed Over25c419.74$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.941136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe4e…d0c6backed Over44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17611035.5%39 W · 71 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Under72c400$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11231156.6%176 W · 135 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under78c399.73$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.4973536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbbc…560dbacked Over28c392.86$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-37.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Over54c392.59$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21243246.8%202 W · 230 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7087…8c57backed Over26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003517.1%6 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under75c376.51$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.011,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over24c366.8$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.031,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed Under43c348$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.3613552.6%71 W · 64 L+25.9wins+0.19per pick33cpaid+129%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x87ad…fd81backed Over29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003520%7 W · 28 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under74c341.58$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.821,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd360…2eabbacked Over26c340.38$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.522355.6%124 W · 99 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under74c338.98$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.873,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1318…0af2backed Over25c333$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.25128.3%1 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.25per pick33cpaid-85.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb10d…4ba0backed Over25c332.51$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.135740.4%23 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46f9…9f14backed Over17c318.12$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.084032.5%13 W · 27 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4193…dd33backed Over29c313.38$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.8820%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under61c300$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.681,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.