TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7087…8c57

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
156
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: WNBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 53 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT7335.6%26 W · 47 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Estoril Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Alexander Blockxbacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.65
Bloomfield Hills: Michael Zheng vs Adam Waltonbacked Michael Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+365.2%+$227.06
Palermo: Francesca Jones vs Jennifer Ruggeribacked Francesca Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$93.66
Livesport Prague Open: Lilli Tagger vs Sara Bejlekbacked Sara Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.51
Estoril Open: Nuno Borges vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.73
Generali Open: Kilian Feldbausch vs Ignacio Busebacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+151.8%+$67.43
Tampere: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Otto Virtanenbacked Otto Virtanen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+123.2%+$237.19
Estoril Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Stan Wawrinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.16
Generali Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Raphael Collignonbacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Zug: Dylan Dietrich vs Tomas Barriosbacked Tomas Barrios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.25
Estoril Open, Qualification: Orlando Luz vs Clement Taburbacked Clement Tabur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Susan Bandecchi vs Xinyu Gaobacked Susan Bandecchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.86
Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Sebastian Baezbacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.47
Iasi Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Mayar Sherifbacked Yulia Putintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Croatia Open: Damir Dzumhur vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Iasi Open: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Paula Badosabacked Paula Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$185.71
Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Andrea Pellegrinobacked Andrea Pellegrino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Swiss Open: Jerome Kym vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+77.3%+$77.3
Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+105.7%+$113.14
Cordenons: Maxim Mrva vs Franco Roncadellibacked Maxim Mrva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.64
Cordenons: Max Alcala Gurri vs Lorenzo Angelinibacked Lorenzo Angelini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.47
Swedish Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Luciano Darderibacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.87
ITF Nova Gorica: Michael Gloeckler vs John Hallquist Lithenbacked Michael Gloeckler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.54
Istanbul 2: Alexandra Shubladze vs Isabella Shinikovabacked Isabella Shinikova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.08
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3517.1%6 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
France vs. Spain: France O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$567Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$566.7
Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.13
France vs. Morocco: France O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
France vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+900%+$729.81
United States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+265.6%+$145.52
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.84
Brazil vs. Norway: Norway O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.06
Spread: France (-2.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Canada vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.61
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: United States (-1.5)backed Bosnia and Herzegovina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
England vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$214.46
Brazil vs. Japan: Japan O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.88
Will New Zealand vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
New Zealand vs. Belgium: New Zealand O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$191.01
Uruguay vs. Spain: Spain O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Cabo Verde O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.12
Norway vs. France: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$311.73
Czechia leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.22
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT2020%4 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-23.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.18
Will Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Anyang end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.69
Will FC Anyang win on 2026-07-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$470.62
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.59
Will Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-07-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: Chengdu Rongcheng FC O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$241.78
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.29
Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-07-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.75
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.57
Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Liaoning Tieren FC (-1.5)backed Liaoning Tieren FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$127.26
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Henan FC: Yunnan Yukun FC O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$143.46
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-06-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.75
Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-06-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.25
Spread: Yokohama F·Marinos (-1.5)backed Shimizu S-Pulse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.52
Will Gamba Ōsaka win on 2026-06-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.4
All 20 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT110%0 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Djurgardens IF win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.35
Will Odense BK win on 2026-07-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.23
IF Elfsborg vs. IK Sirius: IF Elfsborg O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
IF Elfsborg vs. IK Sirius: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Molde FK win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.03
Will Kristiansund BK win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.55
Spread: Tromsø IL (-1.5)backed Hamarkameratene · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.04
Mjallby AIF vs. Vasteraas SK: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.33
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-07-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.37
Vasteraas SK vs. Degerfors IF: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will BK Hacken win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.07
All 11 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-53.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.58
Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$49.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+167.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indiana Fever vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+167.9%+$250.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+141.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Summer League: Denver Nuggets vs. Portland Trail Blazersbacked Portland Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+141.8%+$141.75
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.