TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$255,635
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$270,604

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $255,635 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2c33…0563backed Under74c65,080$48,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,920.8174752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over23c58,884$13,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,645.884,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ebb…8220backed Over26c11,633$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00028224.1%68 W · 214 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x96ef…b406backed Under76c11,277$8,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,670.353464.7%22 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed Under74c10,779$7,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,794.7917949.2%88 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ec6…d9edbacked Over3c9,999$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9721631%67 W · 149 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-37.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over10c7,893$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.5149441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over21c7,029$1,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,473.493,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc23e…98a4backed Over26c5,769$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5004531.1%14 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Over26c5,555$1,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,455.4132029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4154…e7a8backed Over27c4,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.9929633.4%99 W · 197 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over15c3,032$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.8310836.1%39 W · 69 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+32.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1bb1…eac3backed Over7c3,000$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.515920.1%32 W · 127 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over9c2,837$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.0951514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over14c2,699$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.462,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Over17c1,785$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.645731.6%18 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over26c1,754$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.811,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over24c1,585$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.291,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd044…a6febacked Over26c1,432$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.363633.3%12 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over25c1,424$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.321,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under74c1,310$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.873,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over26c1,151$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.672,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fdd…d385backed Under76c1,125$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.0521349.8%106 W · 107 L-10.9wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Over9c1,037$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Over11c893.5$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.6458926.8%158 W · 431 L-30.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-44.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Over9c794$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.7571638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe392…c023backed Under72c767.62$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.9927543.6%120 W · 155 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d33…80a6backed Under73c688.72$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.724829.2%14 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbec0…9bddbacked Over15c644.75$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7762633.9%212 W · 414 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2792…c4f6backed Over17c527.11$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.293727%10 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7087…8c57backed Over10c506.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503517.1%6 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over13c426.81$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.381,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ced…0feebacked Under73c411.01$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.0119957.3%114 W · 85 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over14c409.41$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.482,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over27c399.99$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.3490840.9%371 W · 537 L-64.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xddfc…cd9ebacked Over16c385.07$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.956043.3%26 W · 34 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40d8…9fdabacked Over8c383$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1425741.6%107 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb126…f338backed Over26c376.43$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998630.2%26 W · 60 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over17c364.29$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.117431.1%23 W · 51 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe512…5751backed Over28c361.45$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007926.6%21 W · 58 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over13c345.57$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.318,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Over30c333$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.937237.4%139 W · 233 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over16c329.19$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5338437%142 W · 242 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over12c310.1$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.524,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over13c305.46$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.011,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over17c305$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.354425%11 W · 33 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over8c301.2$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2545120.6%93 W · 358 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over10c292$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.522,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Over17c288.35$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.933823.7%9 W · 29 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ead…52adbacked Under79c275.3$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.34751.1%24 W · 23 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+26.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4884…237cbacked Under73c274.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.510055%55 W · 45 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee0c…3e4dbacked Under73c272.11$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.1118158.6%106 W · 75 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e8e…9665backed Under74c268.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.8228444.4%126 W · 158 L+1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under70c263.14$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.9444539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over8c251.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.311,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x74b2…e69fbacked Over11c230.28$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-33.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x751f…e4ddbacked Over9c210$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8787938.6%339 W · 540 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaaa0…e78abacked Over12c209.63$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.168950.6%45 W · 44 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Over10c208.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2052217.4%91 W · 431 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc20…8ed3backed Under74c202.62$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.629659.4%57 W · 39 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed Under74c200.15$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.1615655.1%86 W · 70 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa681…8b89backed Over26c200$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.627028.9%78 W · 192 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x218b…625abacked Under74c200$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538048.8%39 W · 41 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over9c199.98$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.446525.4%118 W · 347 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e89…3e0abacked Over26c190.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5026716.1%43 W · 224 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over22c189.29$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1223736.3%86 W · 151 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1597…6edebacked Over16c186.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.947029.1%137 W · 333 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd928…f5c0backed Under74c186.14$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.845164.7%33 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over8c185$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.541,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over15c150$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.51,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over24c150$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.91,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3016535.2%58 W · 107 L+15.3wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+32.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over8c148.52$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.861,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa43…10c0backed Over10c146.72$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142326.1%6 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91d8…9e8dbacked Over32c142.62$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4550146.1%231 W · 270 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff19…3ebebacked Over16c141.07$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.431850%9 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+35.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc2a4…895bbacked Over23c138.72$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.492737%10 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-39%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over23c129.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.587651.1%448 W · 428 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under78c127.65$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.962,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d46…26d8backed Under73c121.65$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.855867.2%39 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe62…edeebacked Over26c114.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.59450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Under74c114.42$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8273234.6%253 W · 479 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ff…3506backed Over26c100.66$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2611840.7%48 W · 70 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Over26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6341444.9%186 W · 228 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Over26c97$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2288852.7%468 W · 420 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61b6…cd69backed Over15c95.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.33145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11f4…12dabacked Under72c90$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.847766.2%51 W · 26 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over23c80$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.081,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3496…8fc4backed Over26c78.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2917034.7%59 W · 111 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd19…e070backed Over26c77.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207132.4%23 W · 48 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4de…846bbacked Under73c70$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.113271.9%23 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick73cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04ed…0adfbacked Over18c61.18$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.231361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7ac…427fbacked Over26c57.04$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8922445.5%102 W · 122 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dfb…f1b7backed Over22c46.89$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.278234.3%268 W · 514 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4214…105dbacked Under72c41.41$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.413759.5%22 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x328c…6715backed Under74c40.38$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.385459.3%32 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over27c40.16$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7248328%135 W · 348 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe270…eab5backed Under79c40$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5224136.9%89 W · 152 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over26c39.02$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1486455.3%478 W · 386 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7a6…aed7backed Under72c34.32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5216556.4%93 W · 72 L-17.5wins-0.11per pick67cpaid-19.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.