TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Bosnia-Herzegovina (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Qatarof Bosnia-Herzegovina, Qatar
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$33,153
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$31,804

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,153 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Qatar77c18,247$14,060 inWon+$4,186.814,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14eb…2e34backed Bosnia-Herzegovina29c6,986$2,000 inLost-$2,00027433.9%93 W · 181 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Bosnia-Herzegovina25c6,597$1,680 inLost-$1,680.361,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Bosnia-Herzegovina20c1,466$294 inLost-$293.882,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3705…9677backed Bosnia-Herzegovina26c1,269$336 inLost-$335.585223.1%12 W · 40 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x848c…2bf0backed Bosnia-Herzegovina10c1,021$102 inLost-$102.0522122.2%49 W · 172 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Bosnia-Herzegovina12c1,017$122 inLost-$121.983,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Bosnia-Herzegovina11c917.26$101 inLost-$100.920724.6%51 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e49…f1afbacked Bosnia-Herzegovina39c834.32$323 inLost-$322.645536.9%168 W · 287 L-26.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed Bosnia-Herzegovina12c650$75 inLost-$7560821.9%133 W · 475 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54da…1facbacked Bosnia-Herzegovina10c500$50 inLost-$5015341.8%64 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf067…5c6dbacked Bosnia-Herzegovina10c420$42 inLost-$4233915.9%54 W · 285 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Qatar49c400$196 inWon+$2042,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…67fdbacked Bosnia-Herzegovina12c300$36 inLost-$3632046.6%149 W · 171 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Qatar73c283.02$207 inWon+$76.4577152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Qatar77c230.22$177 inWon+$52.854,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8390…09f1backed Bosnia-Herzegovina12c200$24 inLost-$2414235.9%51 W · 91 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe368…e9edbacked Bosnia-Herzegovina27c185.19$50 inLost-$5024935.3%88 W · 161 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f0b…5720backed Bosnia-Herzegovina25c150$38 inLost-$3822052.3%115 W · 105 L+0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c7a…f376backed Bosnia-Herzegovina10c150$15 inLost-$159159.3%54 W · 37 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Bosnia-Herzegovina27c142.72$39 inLost-$38.531,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed Qatar71c119$84 inWon+$34.8825753.3%137 W · 120 L+23.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+17.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed Bosnia-Herzegovina30c117.12$35 inLost-$3530142.5%128 W · 173 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Bosnia-Herzegovina10c110$11 inLost-$1148147.8%230 W · 251 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe71a…cdc1backed Bosnia-Herzegovina27c107.41$29 inLost-$2912828.9%37 W · 91 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-7.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Bosnia-Herzegovina11c103$11 inLost-$11.3337237.4%139 W · 233 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a94…822cbacked Bosnia-Herzegovina10c100$10 inLost-$109248.9%45 W · 47 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd661…2750backed Bosnia-Herzegovina13c100$13 inLost-$1313038.5%50 W · 80 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+29.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb8a9…2948backed Bosnia-Herzegovina11c100$11 inLost-$1126042.3%110 W · 150 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7e2…8fb6backed Bosnia-Herzegovina26c99.99$26 inLost-$263053.3%16 W · 14 L+4.3wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+181.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9aa7…e3d9backed Bosnia-Herzegovina13c77$10 inLost-$10.01968.3%8 W · 88 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+73.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccbb…3bedbacked Bosnia-Herzegovina27c48.96$13 inLost-$13.228116%13 W · 68 L0.0wins0.00per pick16cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.