TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,362,884
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,529,332

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,362,884 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 621 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe22a…2703backed Under43c1,162,790$499,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499,997.811338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over57c792,800$450,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341,866.1874752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c6a…0f47backed Under44c657,849$289,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289,453.771546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+26%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over75c348,582$261,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86,878.084,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed Over35c86,649$30,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,321.6622348.4%108 W · 115 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over74c81,438$60,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,879.922,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x987b…df43backed Over38c77,610$29,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,118.172360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Over56c73,715$41,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,137.2230054%162 W · 138 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over55c72,596$39,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,017.263,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over59c72,149$42,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,603.31,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Over57c54,980$31,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,786.375335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed Over72c50,000$36,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,00017840.4%72 W · 106 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over46c41,090$18,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,303.771,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Over35c35,714$12,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,214.2919644.9%88 W · 108 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under66c29,583$19,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,507.472,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Over62c22,510$14,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,487.5933843.5%147 W · 191 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ec6…d9edbacked Over76c19,999$15,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,799.8421631%67 W · 149 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-37.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60fe…f557backed Under44c16,797$7,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,458.861533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-31.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over56c15,389$8,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,771.0337242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under62c12,976$8,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,047.362,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over60c11,865$7,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,744.0177152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over56c11,714$6,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,154.2910836.1%39 W · 69 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+32.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over54c11,354$6,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,212.6449441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeed5…1a33backed Under65c10,905$7,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,1001145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Over56c10,834$6,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,758.7531545.4%143 W · 172 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcaef…c642backed Over40c10,250$4,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,1506813.2%9 W · 59 L+0.1wins0.00per pick13cpaid-47.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over68c10,195$6,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,304.783,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over47c10,110$4,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,324.571,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over35c10,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,50011443%49 W · 65 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf298…ada5backed Under61c10,000$6,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,1006943.5%30 W · 39 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Under1c10,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Under65c9,673$6,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,328.5313259.1%78 W · 54 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d3…e1dfbacked Under61c9,672$5,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,9008354.2%45 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Over43c9,080$3,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,135.218633.3%62 W · 124 L-0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb746…c8bbbacked Under62c8,065$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e36…8463backed Over56c7,182$4,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,161.232119%4 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick30cpaid-9.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf29a…3122backed Under43c7,055$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00016637.3%62 W · 104 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x384f…58adbacked Under23c6,615$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5005350.9%27 W · 26 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Over57c6,000$3,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,58016258.6%95 W · 67 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over59c5,517$3,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,270.472,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Under28c5,363$1,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,491.738333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x910d…0d1cbacked Over39c5,128$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,128.214548.9%22 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over55c5,094$2,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,306.792,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under62c4,598$2,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,850.762,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75e9…2b3abacked Over63c4,491$2,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,656.973740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Over56c4,464$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,964.2120560%123 W · 82 L+17.0wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Over56c4,225$2,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,859.1943737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Under62c3,995$2,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,486.051,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc32…92d2backed Under47c3,977$1,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,862.310355.3%57 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b9f…2087backed Under6c3,642$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.845318.9%10 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick9cpaid+115.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over56c3,571$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,571.4359453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over67c3,419$2,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,113.991,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed Over40c3,250$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,95020547.3%97 W · 108 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f6f…d024backed Under62c3,167$1,963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,963.2777433.1%256 W · 518 L-0.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over62c3,052$1,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,161.392,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over53c3,013$1,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,414.262,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ede…4284backed Over39c3,000$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,83018738%71 W · 116 L+0.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Over56c2,976$1,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,309.5223857.6%137 W · 101 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over56c2,883$1,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,266.691,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under33c2,870$956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955.641331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under21c2,598$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.481,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf055…02b5backed Over39c2,563$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,563.2826644%117 W · 149 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa608…1b35backed Over51c2,562$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2623336.4%12 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed Under1c2,500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2517827.5%49 W · 129 L+0.3wins0.00per pick27cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed Over71c2,491$1,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.2963544.4%282 W · 353 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over70c2,420$1,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.894,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under64c2,328$1,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,481.411,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ff…81a0backed Over68c2,327$1,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.497364.4%47 W · 26 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+1.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under63c2,298$1,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,437.9550243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over71c2,294$1,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.171,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Over36c2,268$812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,455.9448441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x72bc…c332backed Under62c2,205$1,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,367.0520334%69 W · 134 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x458a…7c32backed Under24c2,183$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.870%0 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over76c2,065$1,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.9838745%174 W · 213 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Under1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2025125.1%63 W · 188 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under65c2,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3001,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4154…e7a8backed Over38c2,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,24029633.4%99 W · 197 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Over36c1,997$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,277.1892038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over56c1,835$1,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.341,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under61c1,775$1,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,082.581,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Over56c1,762$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.263823.7%9 W · 29 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2792…c4f6backed Over56c1,761$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.953727%10 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed Over39c1,750$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,070.1352744.4%234 W · 293 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over56c1,743$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.8325865.9%170 W · 88 L+40.1wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+54.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over64c1,620$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.731,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf695…409fbacked Under61c1,580$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9646221%13 W · 49 L-7.9wins-0.13per pick34cpaid-57.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc0df…5974backed Under65c1,538$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00021442.5%91 W · 123 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…c850backed Over39c1,538$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.4630140.5%122 W · 179 L+1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e0a…b9ccbacked Under65c1,500$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97519850.5%100 W · 98 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Over38c1,500$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.9926940.9%110 W · 159 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over64c1,496$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.391,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over70c1,486$1,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.787651.1%448 W · 428 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57b4…b46bbacked Under61c1,450$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884.810059%59 W · 41 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xaaa0…e78abacked Over66c1,439$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.758950.6%45 W · 44 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over35c1,429$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928.5789443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46ca…ac4cbacked Under28c1,424$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.993342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-29%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Under2c1,417$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8958926.8%158 W · 431 L-30.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-44.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over68c1,357$916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.344,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Over39c1,341$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.9851032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77ac…5750backed Over75c1,326$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.064772.3%34 W · 13 L+10.7wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+50.8%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.