TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf055…02b5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
510
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Premier League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 54 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT26644%117 W · 149 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 266 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$2,020Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+497%+$10,039.85
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+215%+$859.84
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$4,591Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+66.1%+$3,032.92
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$2,085Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,085
France vs. England: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
France vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$1,955.56
Will France vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$2,099Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,099
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+151.6%+$2,425.16
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
France vs. Spain: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$1,028.57
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$168.9
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,600
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$1,081.48
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+74.1%+$1,185.8
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$266.04
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+135.3%+$2,164.71
Showing 25 of 266 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT12043.3%52 W · 68 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 120 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$162.5
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs Team Falcons (+3.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs Team Falcons (+3.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$899Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+135.9%+$1,220.79
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$154.55
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$466.67
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$264.04
Showing 25 of 120 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid+41.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+1,419.4%+$709.7
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.42
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+215.6%+$1,509.39
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Spread: Spurs (-14.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+100.9%+$353.08
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$2,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,400
Spread: Knicks (-12.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+118.3%+$413.91
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Hornets vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+56.3%+$112.5
Bucks vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+31.1%+$62.27
Celtics vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 18 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$184.62
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$200
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$288.24
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+300.8%+$1,353.57
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$80.77
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+2.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+203%+$203.03
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN Freecs (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$300
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$1,200
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Oh My God (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$300
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+156.4%+$156.41
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+52%+$260.11
All 17 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Asian League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. Kawasaki Frontale: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$300
Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Vissel Kōbe win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$208.47
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$184.62
Will FC Mito Holly Hock vs. Gamba Ōsaka end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+241.2%+$482.47
Spread: Kashima Antlers (-1.5)backed Kashima Antlers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Cerezo Ōsaka win on 2026-08-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$338.3
Vissel Kōbe vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Spread: Sanfrecce Hiroshima (-1.5)backed Kawasaki Frontale · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+72.5%+$217.41
Will Kashima Antlers vs. FC Tōkyō end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. Nagoya Grampus end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-05-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Will Cerezo Ōsaka win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Spread: Sanfrecce Hiroshima (-1.5)backed Kyōto Sanga FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Will JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. Kashima Antlers end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 17 picks, newest first.
Bundesligalast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-32.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hannover 96 vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.71
Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. 1. FC Nürnberg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
Will Holstein Kiel win on 2026-08-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Hannover 96 vs. 1. FC Nürnberg: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
SV Darmstadt 98 vs. SC Paderborn 07: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Spread: SV 07 Elversberg (-1.5)backed SV 07 Elversberg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$214.52
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$275
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$264.04
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$223.77
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$364.29
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$336.27
All 16 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+21.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+186.1%+$372.17
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Hull City AFC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$480.39
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$371.43
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$208.47
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)backed Burnley FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$336.27
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$275
Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+138.8%+$277.53
Fulham FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$340
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+44.9%+$44.93
All 14 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+101.4%+$304.06
Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$315
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$300
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+85.6%+$85.63
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$127.87
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 10 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$161.54
Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+94.9%+$759.23
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+127.6%+$510.56
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,800Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+55.5%+$998.53
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie Alast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-2.5)backed FC Internazionale Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$719.51
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$500
SS Lazio vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$244
Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)backed US Lecce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+112.8%+$112.77
All 4 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+189.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+189.9%+$949.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+37%+$111.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Darryn Peterson be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$499.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.