TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FURIAof FURIA, 9z
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$836,112
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$966,865

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $836,112 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 690 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed 9z35c32,714$11,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,488.892,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked FURIA66c29,000$19,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,859.9925655.1%141 W · 115 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked FURIA48c25,316$12,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,183.7236453.8%196 W · 168 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5faf…1183backed 9z33c25,000$8,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,249.9910935.8%39 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked 9z60c16,366$9,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,770.9322468.8%154 W · 70 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick72cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed FURIA67c15,875$10,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,192.8246149.9%230 W · 231 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e8a…5f49backed 9z43c15,842$6,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,772.0510150.5%51 W · 50 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2439…a66dbacked 9z34c14,731$5,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,008.541258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf886…2620backed 9z46c14,357$6,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,549.6210359.2%61 W · 42 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed 9z48c14,240$6,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,866.3481843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae5e…13bebacked FURIA66c14,121$9,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,801.1320248.5%98 W · 104 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked FURIA65c14,000$9,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,9709855.1%54 W · 44 L+8.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+27.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed FURIA58c10,000$5,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,199.9417162%106 W · 65 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79be…b605backed 9z32c9,197$2,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,973.786245.2%28 W · 34 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed FURIA67c8,939$5,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,950.0211439.5%45 W · 69 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6aeb…12b2backed 9z41c8,760$3,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,564.432958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed 9z29c8,733$2,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,532.741649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed FURIA59c8,438$4,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,451.3512353.7%66 W · 57 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x13b8…d1afbacked FURIA39c8,000$3,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,879.982030%6 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-32.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked FURIA70c7,742$5,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,325.2225555.3%141 W · 114 L+1.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ce9…c3ccbacked 9z35c7,500$2,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,625540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-28.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce80…08edbacked FURIA67c7,355$4,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,427.0311947.1%56 W · 63 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed FURIA68c7,353$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,352.9419055.8%106 W · 84 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21d6…86fdbacked 9z34c7,234$2,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,459.524257.1%24 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed FURIA67c7,194$4,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,372.2423243.5%101 W · 131 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe100…4d41backed FURIA44c7,000$3,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,933.9837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-33.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked FURIA66c6,925$4,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,354.441,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96f7…d6aebacked FURIA42c6,884$2,858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,026.0722129.9%66 W · 155 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae2b…9cc3backed FURIA67c6,800$4,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,244.3421854.1%118 W · 100 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea1a…ac77backed FURIA68c6,400$4,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,047.921266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+23.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed FURIA67c6,304$4,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,092.364552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5565…47e1backed 9z4c6,144$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-34.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda91…30afbacked FURIA68c6,034$4,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,944.91683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick61cpaid+32.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked FURIA68c6,011$4,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,899.551,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed 9z31c5,917$1,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,816.1175450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa69d…509bbacked FURIA52c5,470$2,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,622.9419757.4%113 W · 84 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked FURIA71c5,227$3,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,515.695,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed 9z33c5,219$1,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,703.81,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc57f…1746backed 9z34c5,128$1,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,743.526352.4%33 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+22.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa39…bb64backed FURIA67c4,503$3,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,485.994151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked 9z33c4,475$1,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,45932542.2%137 W · 188 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed FURIA68c4,442$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,441.761,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked FURIA67c4,228$2,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,405.51,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8941…3126backed 9z44c4,196$1,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,853.1415132.5%49 W · 102 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-25.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd32f…1496backed FURIA59c4,112$2,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,675.3712759.1%75 W · 52 L+12.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb517…06ddbacked 9z50c4,000$1,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,982.276266.1%41 W · 21 L+6.5wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+22%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x568d…87d0backed FURIA70c3,793$2,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,146.3628943.6%126 W · 163 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked 9z33c3,636$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20053545%241 W · 294 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc50c…fe5dbacked FURIA75c3,599$2,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909.124660.9%28 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed 9z47c3,556$1,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,668.542,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked FURIA67c3,536$2,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,165.581,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked FURIA57c3,507$1,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,518.171,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed FURIA67c3,500$2,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,15545058.9%265 W · 185 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7b…02f8backed 9z61c3,280$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed FURIA68c3,226$2,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,032.1880740.3%325 W · 482 L-3.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3705…9677backed 9z34c3,188$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,092.373033.3%10 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed FURIA68c3,125$2,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00045646.9%214 W · 242 L-1.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdf7…a6c3backed 9z32c3,045$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.532240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x994d…3d8dbacked 9z26c3,040$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.5752834.3%181 W · 347 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe80c…f3e6backed 9z32c3,025$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.1541938.9%163 W · 256 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d2b…afc5backed FURIA63c3,004$1,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,118.6619659.2%116 W · 80 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3bae…885abacked 9z33c3,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99027658%160 W · 116 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b96…4389backed 9z38c3,000$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,13037557.3%215 W · 160 L-16.4wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed 9z32c3,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96078639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52f9…1fb2backed 9z34c2,941$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003447.1%16 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+29%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed 9z32c2,883$911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911.0461034.3%209 W · 401 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked 9z38c2,790$1,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,058.11,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f45…a77abacked 9z32c2,663$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852.2321251.4%109 W · 103 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked 9z11c2,642$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.677617.1%13 W · 63 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-54.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5733…4c87backed 9z35c2,586$905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905.245836.2%21 W · 37 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf56d…c3d9backed 9z27c2,559$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.464835.4%17 W · 31 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4214…db99backed FURIA66c2,490$1,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846.5911740.2%47 W · 70 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed FURIA67c2,437$1,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.721,08854.2%590 W · 498 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaed5…981dbacked 9z34c2,353$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80010451.9%54 W · 50 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked 9z54c2,255$1,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,209.611,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cbf…0eb4backed 9z32c2,250$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72037157.7%214 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee80…f34ebacked FURIA71c2,200$1,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63835460.7%215 W · 139 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked FURIA51c2,184$1,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,061.2438454.2%208 W · 176 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1572…7991backed FURIA65c2,120$1,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.596546.2%30 W · 35 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked 9z43c2,054$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885.3148948.9%239 W · 250 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked 9z32c2,044$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6541,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04cf…9f77backed FURIA67c2,029$1,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.575160.8%31 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed FURIA63c2,012$1,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.887047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33d3…bf38backed 9z49c1,990$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.110560%63 W · 42 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed 9z61c1,968$1,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,191.0646749.7%232 W · 235 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed FURIA67c1,927$1,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.935054.6%191 W · 159 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed FURIA61c1,883$1,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.7349646.6%231 W · 265 L+1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4f9…f4adbacked 9z55c1,875$1,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,023.9919047.9%91 W · 99 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfa8…cae6backed FURIA67c1,791$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.049158.2%53 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked 9z52c1,757$908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907.562,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf3a…fbfdbacked FURIA62c1,701$1,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.456854.4%37 W · 31 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed 9z29c1,691$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.1224054.6%131 W · 109 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3351…4e2dbacked 9z33c1,682$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5554158.5%24 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked FURIA61c1,659$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.175543.6%24 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked 9z37c1,570$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.692,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xecee…a577backed 9z27c1,495$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4008226.8%22 W · 60 L-7.3wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-39.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x611a…e171backed FURIA67c1,488$1,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.6417460.3%105 W · 69 L+0.7wins0.00per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed FURIA59c1,476$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.1988746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed 9z32c1,454$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.3637145.6%169 W · 202 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked FURIA62c1,443$898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.681751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.