TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc50c…fe5d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
101
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: CS2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 54 out of 100; worst Champions League at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT4660.9%28 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,663Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,662.74
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,027Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,026.79
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,852Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,852.25
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,260
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+89.3%+$2,677.77
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$295.9
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,690Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$909.12
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,218Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+159.4%+$1,941.54
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$479.51
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,479Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$404.42
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,373Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$2,441.33
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$988Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$465.15
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,283Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,282.58
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,890Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+154.5%+$4,464.52
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$795Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$794.66
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$183
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,105Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$284.47
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$153.84
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$180.81
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+64.1%+$512.62
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+218.7%+$519.98
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,030Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,030
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$735Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$315
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$441Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+60%+$264.63
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT4245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Aurora vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winnerbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$438Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$437.6
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$326Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$326
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$734Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+115.3%+$846.46
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winnerbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$983Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$983.05
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$481Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$481.13
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$671Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$670.81
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,081Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,080.56
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,678Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,677.79
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$347.11
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$294.88
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+214.1%+$624.8
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.79
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$514Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$267.85
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$478Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+70.5%+$336.53
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$188.9
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.75
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$643Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+61.5%+$394.91
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$975Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+36.6%+$357.4
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$986Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+36%+$355.1
Dota 2: PlayTime vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$617Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$817.47
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$984Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+44.1%+$433.75
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$388
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$433Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$176.94
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+180.8%+$307.36
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+15.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$9,155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,154.65
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$6,195Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+54.8%+$3,396.9
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$566Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$141.5
England vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$428Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$142.67
Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$224
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$208.13
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$119.25
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$315
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,533Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$1,247.44
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
All 10 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,665Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$896.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$951Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+33.3%+$317.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,054Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,053.92
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.