CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41ce8a58b097d31faafc9b3037038c4030a443c5081dd5d16b1f489d11c15f66
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TheMongolzof TheMongolz, Monte
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,077,950
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,424,580
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,077,950 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,304 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89dd…f662backed Monte | 57c | 77,818$44,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,199.95 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1610…ae49backed TheMongolz | 55c | 74,508$40,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,546.04 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Monte | 33c | 65,240$21,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,526.64 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Monte | 34c | 60,000$20,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,399.92 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Monte | 34c | 59,320$20,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,168.91 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9854…6bf2backed TheMongolz | 59c | 49,949$29,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,726.77 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Monte | 34c | 44,469$15,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,119.32 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a21…fb6cbacked TheMongolz | 58c | 41,384$23,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,414.58 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6adc…bebabacked TheMongolz | 43c | 41,271$17,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,524.67 | 136 | 33.1%45 W · 91 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8d…65e7backed Monte | 34c | 40,000$13,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,599.95 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked TheMongolz | 66c | 39,809$26,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,684.9 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Monte | 45c | 38,419$17,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,175.17 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Monte | 34c | 34,205$11,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,629.61 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Monte | 34c | 29,297$9,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,960.89 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe40e…9770backed Monte | 45c | 27,890$12,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,415.43 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6a…4119backed TheMongolz | 65c | 27,745$17,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,747.74 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d25…ce70backed Monte | 38c | 26,528$10,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,177.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed TheMongolz | 50c | 24,900$12,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,333.4 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x381b…4d74backed TheMongolz | 66c | 21,070$13,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,163.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked TheMongolz | 66c | 20,000$13,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,799.99 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…80c3backed TheMongolz | 66c | 19,697$13,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,696.97 | 333 | 59.8%199 W · 134 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed Monte | 43c | 17,950$7,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,780.47 | 371 | 57.7%214 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6902…b4cabacked TheMongolz | 67c | 15,672$10,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,171.64 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Monte | 34c | 15,111$5,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,137.89 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e618backed TheMongolz | 67c | 15,000$9,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,010.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e6…d471backed TheMongolz | 66c | 15,000$9,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…5ae1backed TheMongolz | 67c | 14,925$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,925.37 | 129 | 55%71 W · 58 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked TheMongolz | 66c | 12,467$8,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,238.76 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae5e…13bebacked TheMongolz | 63c | 12,267$7,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,561.41 | 202 | 48.5%98 W · 104 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked TheMongolz | 66c | 12,169$8,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,137.48 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ac…2f1ebacked TheMongolz | 58c | 12,114$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,113.85 | 277 | 51.6%143 W · 134 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked TheMongolz | 42c | 12,000$5,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,959.97 | 223 | 54.7%122 W · 101 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…ffc1backed TheMongolz | 48c | 11,288$5,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,852.91 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Monte | 33c | 10,318$3,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,376.36 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked TheMongolz | 55c | 10,239$5,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,648 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Monte | 34c | 10,100$3,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,434 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed TheMongolz | 66c | 10,000$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,400 | 421 | 42%177 W · 244 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed TheMongolz | 62c | 10,000$6,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,800 | 177 | 37.3%66 W · 111 L | -16.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Monte | 34c | 10,000$3,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,369.98 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Monte | 34c | 10,000$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,399.91 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed TheMongolz | 67c | 9,812$6,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,276.6 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29e6…3365backed TheMongolz | 66c | 9,044$5,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,075.03 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed TheMongolz | 66c | 9,000$5,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,045.6 | 170 | 62.9%107 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Monte | 44c | 8,950$3,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,938.54 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Monte | 35c | 8,823$3,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100.99 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked TheMongolz | 67c | 8,711$5,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,889.05 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked TheMongolz | 66c | 8,334$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,833.56 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Monte | 60c | 8,065$4,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,871.28 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed TheMongolz | 35c | 8,000$2,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,216.13 | 303 | 40.3%122 W · 181 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…509bbacked TheMongolz | 43c | 8,000$3,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,560 | 197 | 57.4%113 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Monte | 34c | 7,700$2,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,617.97 | 238 | 48.3%115 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Monte | 31c | 7,310$2,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,244.95 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67c4…f0a4backed Monte | 25c | 7,124$1,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,790 | 139 | 37.4%52 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Monte | 47c | 6,965$3,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,242.97 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Monte | 44c | 6,937$3,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,070.39 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked TheMongolz | 50c | 6,835$3,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,386.86 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79be…b605backed Monte | 37c | 6,725$2,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,473.13 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed TheMongolz | 53c | 6,500$3,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,069.99 | 171 | 62%106 W · 65 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5045…914abacked TheMongolz | 61c | 6,480$3,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,527.2 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18f0…3d5ebacked TheMongolz | 45c | 6,313$2,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,459.66 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Monte | 53c | 6,258$3,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,336.16 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Monte | 34c | 6,151$2,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,091.51 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked TheMongolz | 66c | 6,120$4,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080.8 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2b…afc5backed TheMongolz | 49c | 6,059$2,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,098.61 | 196 | 59.2%116 W · 80 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd58…18f9backed Monte | 34c | 6,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.96 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6e…b0e0backed TheMongolz | 66c | 5,948$3,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,022.31 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed TheMongolz | 63c | 5,873$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,173.02 | 376 | 46.3%174 W · 202 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Monte | 39c | 5,666$2,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,209.57 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8add…fae8backed TheMongolz | 66c | 5,643$3,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,918.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +37%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf886…2620backed TheMongolz | 63c | 5,550$3,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,053.66 | 103 | 59.2%61 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked TheMongolz | 67c | 5,514$3,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,819.76 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd32f…1496backed TheMongolz | 60c | 5,486$3,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,187.02 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed TheMongolz | 56c | 5,276$2,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,333.37 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked TheMongolz | 65c | 5,031$3,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770.5 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked TheMongolz | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Monte | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 231 | 45.9%106 W · 125 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Monte | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Monte | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.99 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Monte | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.98 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x877c…02d9backed TheMongolz | 47c | 4,973$2,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,634.14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Monte | 34c | 4,861$1,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,652.74 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf0…72cebacked TheMongolz | 45c | 4,733$2,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,604.79 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c63…3cbbbacked TheMongolz | 66c | 4,697$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,596.97 | 461 | 65.5%302 W · 159 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Monte | 35c | 4,684$1,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,642.24 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Monte | 34c | 4,659$1,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,584.21 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…5bb7backed TheMongolz | 63c | 4,579$2,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,694.07 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked TheMongolz | 57c | 4,482$2,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,924.85 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed TheMongolz | 66c | 4,401$2,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.34 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked TheMongolz | 51c | 4,275$2,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,089.98 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked TheMongolz | 54c | 4,178$2,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,934.41 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Monte | 35c | 4,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed TheMongolz | 63c | 4,000$2,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,490 | 450 | 58.9%265 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed TheMongolz | 66c | 4,000$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360 | 454 | 55.1%250 W · 204 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…04b2backed Monte | 20c | 3,976$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.2 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed TheMongolz | 52c | 3,778$1,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,829.97 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Monte | 34c | 3,707$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.45 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e3…22cbbacked Monte | 39c | 3,685$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444.59 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8400…274cbacked TheMongolz | 66c | 3,636$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.36 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed TheMongolz | 63c | 3,595$2,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.11 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7553…65cabacked Monte | 45c | 3,500$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3this page
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 WinnerMonte won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: TheMongolz (-3.5) vs Monte (+3.5)Monte won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: TheMongolz (-3.5) vs Monte (+3.5)TheMongolz won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: TheMongolz (-3.5) vs Monte (+3.5)Monte won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5)Monte won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.