TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xee8e…0a7b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
847
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: CS2, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 57 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT78162%484 W · 297 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 781 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,025Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,025
Valorant: T1 vs VARREL (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$3,969Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,968.65
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,771Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,770.69
Valorant: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,737Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,737.16
Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)backed Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$29.14
Valorant: All Gamers vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,041Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,040.98
Valorant: GIANTX vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$584Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$300.6
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,194Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,194.1
Valorant: Trace Esports vs Nova Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alphabacked Nova Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,494Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$1,442.02
Valorant: Trace Esports vs Nova Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Nova Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,369Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,368.84
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$5,776Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+41%+$2,370.92
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$624Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$321.34
Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)backed Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$113.18
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18,419Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18,419.19
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$21.61
Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$1,749.99
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$5,997Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+169.2%+$10,148.44
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$7,239Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+120.5%+$8,726.09
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15,260Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+40.7%+$6,209.3
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10,205Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+53.1%+$5,422.25
Map Handicap: LEV (-1.5) vs Global Esports (+1.5)backed Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$73.36
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$4,889Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,888.92
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Global Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+93.8%+$216.37
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$6,960Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,959.82
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,860Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,859.87
Showing 25 of 781 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2673.1%19 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick62cpaid+23%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$8,550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,549.8
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12,687Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+61.5%+$7,805.63
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15,071Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+45.3%+$6,825.5
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6,799.99
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$28,966Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$8,285.75
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15,235Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$4,228.54
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$7,300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+37%+$2,699.98
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$6,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,100
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12,008Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,007.91
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$4,810Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,810.35
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,412Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$1,393.57
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$6,900Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$3,100
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$4,300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$5,700
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5)backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$456Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$224.47
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$5,900Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$4,099.95
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,365Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$1,892.67
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$3,800Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$6,199.93
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$1,293.99
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11,718Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$4,138.39
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15,600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4,399.96
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$2,750
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,466Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,465.99
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$3,800Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$6,200
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FOKUS (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffsbacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$6,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,200
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$5,488Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,488.24
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT2458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: SK Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,370Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,370
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$10.68
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffsbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$3,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,450
Game Handicap: ME (-2.5) vs PCIFIC (+2.5)backed Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,530Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,470
LoL: Barcząca Esports vs BOMBA Team (BO5) - Rift Legends Playoffsbacked BOMBA Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$31.5
Game Handicap: OZO (-1.5) vs PCIFIC (+1.5)backed Ozarox Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$696Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$695.64
LoL: Ozarox Esports vs PCIFIC (BO5) - TCL Playoffsbacked Ozarox Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12,415Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,414.62
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffsbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,900
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Play-Inbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,844Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,843.64
LoL: SU Esports vs PCIFIC (BO5) - TCL Playoffsbacked PCIFIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,573Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+276.1%+$4,344.16
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13,051Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+108.7%+$14,190.13
Game Handicap: TSW (-1.5) vs GAM Esports (+1.5)backed Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,650Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$2,349.95
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs GAM Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Asia-Pacific Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12,589Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$4,067.94
LoL: paiN Gaming Academy vs INTZ e-Sports (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffsbacked paiN Gaming Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$3,300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+203%+$6,699.88
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs GAM Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Asia-Pacific Qualifier Playoffsbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$140.27
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffsbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$7,480Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,479.96
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffsbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$7,100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$2,899.99
LoL: Winthrop University vs Citadel Gaming (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Seasonbacked Citadel Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$5,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,499.94
LoL: Shifters vs Galions (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffsbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$4,200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$5,799.97
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOUD (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffsbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.36
LoL: G2 Esports vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11,850Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3,150
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs MVK Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$749Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+44.7%+$334.65
LoL: Orbit Anonymo vs Lodis (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular Seasonbacked Orbit Anonymo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$4,300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$5,700
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$8,210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,210.14
All 24 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-57.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$2,220
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$3,150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+58.7%+$1,849.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 45.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,079Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+92.3%+$996
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$351.71
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.