TailMyPicks
Market

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
9zof PARIVISION, 9z
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,835,871
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,142,401

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,835,871 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,421 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1136…0c2ebacked 9z45c180,000$80,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99,499.8414050.7%71 W · 69 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73e3…1be9backed PARIVISION55c102,113$56,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56,12021353.5%114 W · 99 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed PARIVISION54c55,000$29,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,699.8441649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked 9z45c40,940$18,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,551.487040%28 W · 42 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed PARIVISION56c40,000$22,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,40050254.2%272 W · 230 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked PARIVISION55c35,077$19,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,292.9515245.4%69 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe40e…9770backed 9z46c30,000$13,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,199.8717951.4%92 W · 87 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked PARIVISION55c25,000$13,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,749.9976657.8%443 W · 323 L+3.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed PARIVISION56c23,316$13,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,021.3540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-39.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked PARIVISION54c21,882$11,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,794.865,09555.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L+119.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed 9z47c21,278$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,277.7510361.2%63 W · 40 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed PARIVISION54c20,000$10,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,799.992227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-37.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x594d…059dbacked 9z46c18,124$8,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,840.672152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6978…9897backed PARIVISION34c16,605$5,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,65512449.2%61 W · 63 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked PARIVISION54c16,563$9,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,001.3341340.2%166 W · 247 L-2.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid+2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x96f7…d6aebacked 9z40c16,110$6,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,587.0922230.2%67 W · 155 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a4c…1f30backed 9z45c16,000$7,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,8003351.5%17 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed 9z48c15,625$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,12519554.9%107 W · 88 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed PARIVISION55c15,014$8,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,257.9623839.9%95 W · 143 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed PARIVISION51c14,552$7,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,472.2288242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed 9z55c13,599$7,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,088.671,43139%558 W · 873 L-41.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa39…bb64backed PARIVISION31c13,290$4,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,119.884151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked PARIVISION56c12,914$7,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,207.865351.9%339 W · 314 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked 9z69c12,747$8,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,951.5721754.8%119 W · 98 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c8d…65e7backed 9z43c12,303$5,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,012.944654.3%25 W · 21 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8cbf…0eb4backed 9z51c12,250$6,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,019.9537157.7%214 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed PARIVISION54c11,972$6,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,408.092,64551.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L+21.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2439…a66dbacked PARIVISION68c11,796$7,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,979.941258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked PARIVISION55c11,665$6,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,4457250%36 W · 36 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked 9z50c11,500$5,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,799.7325655.5%142 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed 9z44c11,425$5,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,397.7746349.9%231 W · 232 L-1.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed 9z46c10,870$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,869.819455.2%107 W · 87 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e23…e933backed 9z48c10,850$5,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,64912660.3%76 W · 50 L-0.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked PARIVISION35c10,440$3,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,643.452,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1032…c372backed 9z49c10,039$4,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,123.257157.7%41 W · 30 L+8.6wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+27.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7e5e…7315backed 9z40c10,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,00023043.9%101 W · 129 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5faf…1183backed 9z46c10,000$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,399.9910935.8%39 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed 9z44c10,000$4,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,599.9116449.4%81 W · 83 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed 9z70c9,968$6,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,990.2975550.6%382 W · 373 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked PARIVISION55c9,800$5,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,38936753.7%197 W · 170 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed PARIVISION54c9,326$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00033359.8%199 W · 134 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5031…1ffbbacked PARIVISION53c9,280$4,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,918.44163.4%26 W · 15 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed PARIVISION54c9,000$4,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,86067041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed PARIVISION54c8,947$4,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,831.535156.9%29 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked PARIVISION57c8,281$4,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,711.1945357.2%259 W · 194 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-5.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe96f…ff4bbacked PARIVISION57c8,208$4,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,713.12450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-30.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf886…2620backed PARIVISION34c7,948$2,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,689.610359.2%61 W · 42 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2266…138abacked PARIVISION30c7,183$2,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,154.84139%16 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed PARIVISION53c7,082$3,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,778.7646343.2%200 W · 263 L+1.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed PARIVISION56c7,060$3,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,928.7178939.5%312 W · 477 L-3.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked PARIVISION38c6,658$2,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,519.487047.1%33 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d66…7799backed 9z45c6,188$2,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,395.732147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bef…5e49backed PARIVISION46c6,033$2,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,784.18256.1%46 W · 36 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+31.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed PARIVISION55c6,000$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,299.9972046.1%332 W · 388 L-2.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked 9z50c5,997$2,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,011.9538358.7%225 W · 158 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56db…797abacked 9z45c5,556$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,055.562100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+75.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfa6…6c6cbacked PARIVISION49c5,500$2,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7052356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9679…9315backed PARIVISION56c5,490$3,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0528053.8%43 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa927…8d9fbacked PARIVISION45c5,322$2,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,417.4334559.1%204 W · 141 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9368…80a3backed 9z48c5,095$2,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,649.494845.8%22 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb417…d931backed 9z44c5,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8006446.9%30 W · 34 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed PARIVISION48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40045859%270 W · 188 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed PARIVISION56c5,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,80046749.7%232 W · 235 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee8e…0a7bbacked 9z45c5,000$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7502673.1%19 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick62cpaid+23%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked PARIVISION56c5,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,799.996243.5%27 W · 35 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed PARIVISION55c5,000$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,749.9737946.4%176 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed PARIVISION55c5,000$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,749.9612653.2%67 W · 59 L+8.7wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f42…880dbacked 9z49c4,952$2,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,517.25560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+31.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed 9z45c4,949$2,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,698.22,36545.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L-58.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf393…9b65backed PARIVISION51c4,656$2,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,387.4810946.8%51 W · 58 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1610…ae49backed 9z45c4,644$2,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,538.8414047.9%67 W · 73 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+3.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x98e5…f069backed PARIVISION55c4,555$2,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,505.2514763.9%94 W · 53 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe916…7e93backed 9z44c4,545$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,545.453636.1%13 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked PARIVISION54c4,500$2,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,43028538.2%109 W · 176 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe111…685abacked 9z47c4,500$2,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,391.6217540%70 W · 105 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed PARIVISION56c4,500$2,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,519.9960248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf2a…5ae1backed PARIVISION56c4,469$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50012955%71 W · 58 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x33d3…bf38backed PARIVISION68c4,400$2,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,99210560%63 W · 42 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x77f6…dbd1backed PARIVISION55c4,182$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,30017240.7%70 W · 102 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed 9z46c4,157$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,256.8449251%251 W · 241 L-21.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f63…f247backed PARIVISION54c4,139$2,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,229.815052.7%79 W · 71 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbeb2…79eebacked PARIVISION42c4,008$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,679.861233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-42.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked PARIVISION52c4,000$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,08060540%242 W · 363 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed PARIVISION55c4,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,199.9729948.8%146 W · 153 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed 9z50c3,977$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,977.0515155%83 W · 68 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed PARIVISION31c3,972$1,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,228.57454.1%40 W · 34 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed PARIVISION55c3,849$2,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,117.0717249.4%85 W · 87 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed PARIVISION35c3,778$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,320.292,09241.6%871 W · 1,221 L-50.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed PARIVISION51c3,758$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90035236.4%128 W · 224 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked 9z58c3,710$2,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,542.971,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a57…7b0abacked 9z47c3,707$1,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,964.5322449.6%111 W · 113 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked 9z68c3,641$2,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,159.3223249.1%114 W · 118 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b7a…98eebacked 9z55c3,612$1,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,642.72250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41f7…60cfbacked PARIVISION34c3,584$1,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,234.038038.8%31 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd1b…e3b3backed PARIVISION56c3,571$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001070%7 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x018c…9794backed PARIVISION56c3,571$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002958.6%17 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a86…cc01backed PARIVISION51c3,298$1,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,681.986136.1%22 W · 39 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-28.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b90…f361backed PARIVISION55c3,266$1,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,796.341428.6%4 W · 10 L-4.3wins-0.30per pick59cpaid-45.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed 9z46c3,239$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,738.771,17854.5%642 W · 536 L-36.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d2a…ee9abacked 9z46c3,210$1,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,733.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.