CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d08975d1c43bd486141de8fa6685496cd4454ee045b53e4ba4f530b9d35cd16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,494
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,364
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,494 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x41f7…60cfbacked Over | 55c | 1,801$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.77 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 34c | 1,145$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.72 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…50fcbacked Under | 53c | 928.02$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.85 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Under | 53c | 850.65$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.85 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 54c | 782.88$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.64 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x824f…b105backed Over | 47c | 635.42$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.42 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…bedfbacked Under | 52c | 499.99$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.99 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf94e…c832backed Under | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Over | 47c | 283.48$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.24 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 53c | 274.48$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.82 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x845a…5606backed Over | 47c | 249.98$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.49 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Over | 46c | 234.82$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.8 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd7…28d2backed Under | 53c | 220$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Over | 53c | 219.15$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eab…4822backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…2cfbbacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 132 | 40.9%54 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Over | 53c | 208.32$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.91 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5353…51b9backed Under | 50c | 202.58$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2b…d422backed Over | 50c | 177.44$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.72 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…8408backed Over | 47c | 176.6$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb70…0854backed Over | 47c | 146.75$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09b2…a017backed Under | 51c | 142.44$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.64 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bf…8ec8backed Under | 47c | 130$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 323 | 57.6%186 W · 137 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 47c | 120$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked Over | 54c | 107.41$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.41 | 302 | 36.8%111 W · 191 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Under | 52c | 104.17$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.17 | 249 | 35.7%89 W · 160 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1679…e5e1backed Under | 43c | 99.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…3535backed Over | 63c | 99.34$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c7…5864backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Under | 54c | 88.89$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf2…c145backed Over | 47c | 83.17$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Over | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a65…5864backed Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2284…e326backed Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b10…89b6backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3c…c98cbacked Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 46c | 31.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2a…0f79backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6cda…81d4backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Under | 38c | 30.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Over | 57c | 30.27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 260 | 48.5%126 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866f…77d3backed Under | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed Over | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…1fafbacked Over | 58c | 27.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -7.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf3…1eabbacked Over | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 248 | 41.1%102 W · 146 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…a552backed Over | 47c | 23.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Under | 54c | 18.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 39z won
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 1 Winner9z won
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: PARIVISION (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5)9z won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: PARIVISION (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5)PARIVISION won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)9z won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.