TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2dd7…28d2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
260
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Champions League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 54 out of 100; worst Lol at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT11750.4%59 W · 58 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 117 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,015Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+53.6%+$1,080.92
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$489Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$336.13
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.38
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$79.34
Spread: England (-3.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+91.7%+$246.23
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,329.96
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$582Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$582
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,030Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,029.79
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$188
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+131.2%+$393.64
Norway vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$249.23
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$263
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$497.25
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$217
Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$488.89
Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$1,618.18
Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,968Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,968
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$395
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$301
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$278
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Showing 25 of 117 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT5536.4%20 W · 35 L-6.6wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-24.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Lol — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.86
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$75.05
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Game Handicap: WE (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+150%+$93
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$80
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.94
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$180.63
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$118
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$251.25
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$251.91
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$257
LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
LoL: AG.AL vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$490
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT4443.2%19 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$106.26
NBA Summer League: Denver Nuggets vs. Portland Trail Blazersbacked Denver Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
NBA Summer League: Portland Trail Blazers vs. Minnesota Timberwolvesbacked Minnesota Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$361Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$361.48
NBA Summer League: Utah Jazz vs. Chicago Bullsbacked Chicago Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
NBA Summer League: Phoenix Suns vs. Portland Trail Blazersbacked Phoenix Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+156.9%+$156.92
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$940Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+61.8%+$581.02
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 212.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$690Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$479.7
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$696Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$504
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$228.3
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$876Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$876
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$305
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$199.2
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,359Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+124%+$1,685.75
Jalen Williams: Points O/U 13.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$371Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$370.68
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$14.21
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.13
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$506Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$505.78
Spread: Knicks (-12.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.98
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$400.4
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$270
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 14.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$122.5
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.68
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$386Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$386
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$65.33
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.09
Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$137.1
Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$106
Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$132.02
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.98
Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$133.33
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$426Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$321.64
Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$140.77
Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+80.3%+$160.51
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
All 17 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.23per pick50cpaid-46.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Manchester City FC O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$32.87
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$376Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$361.25
Leeds United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Leeds United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Bruno Fernandes: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.2
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$95.81
West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$166
Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
All 11 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zhejiang Lions vs. Shanghai Sharksbacked Zhejiang Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+88.8%+$192.8
Shanghai Sharks vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Shenzhen Leopards vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Zhejiang Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Beijing Ducks vs. Shanghai Sharksbacked Beijing Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 4 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$150.88
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauffbacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$264.07
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: Real Racing Club O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO5) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.