TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$90,736
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$96,237

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,736 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc308…7b09backed Over0c23,160$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.6331222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e6d…08a8backed Under65c14,090$9,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,895.981435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over36c4,849$1,738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,737.546,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under64c4,719$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,719.3224159.8%144 W · 97 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over10c3,386$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.561,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Over41c3,086$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2803729.7%11 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-26%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over14c2,902$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.181,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39f8…badabacked Over1c2,379$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.524652.2%24 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed Under65c2,315$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.61050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Over33c2,300$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75579650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over36c2,230$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.881,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over35c1,995$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.1166352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Under58c1,472$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.191,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef85…2c38backed Over37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3703647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Over35c1,000$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.5911145.9%51 W · 60 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Over38c774.32$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.4319959.3%118 W · 81 L+22.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8081…95cabacked Over6c771.17$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.521711.8%2 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-45.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over35c755$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.9356843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Under62c743.79$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.718235.7%65 W · 117 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6e1…06bbbacked Under64c627.11$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.1113757.7%79 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over36c618.86$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.1895651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd37…e117backed Over9c500$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.94531.1%14 W · 31 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dd7…28d2backed Under60c498$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.24443.2%19 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b2b…e5e7backed Under61c491.8$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.86347.6%30 W · 33 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-15.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa163…ce0abacked Under63c452.34$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.491872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+35.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc348…9f08backed Under62c405.25$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.252356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under62c400$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15222656.6%128 W · 98 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed Under63c385.35$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.4347948.6%233 W · 246 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over32c369.99$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.468838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over20c345.1$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.378,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over36c332.22$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.61,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Over4c328.29$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7820558.5%120 W · 85 L+19.6wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+26.3%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Under61c327.92$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.9218853.2%100 W · 88 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Under61c297.93$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.6818653.2%99 W · 87 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over39c291.05$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.5664948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over4c281.24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.576653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Over35c275$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.2513747.4%65 W · 72 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under60c266.81$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.4384443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x35c9…bc74backed Over38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10034661.6%213 W · 133 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Under59c260$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.612146.3%56 W · 65 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b37…17bdbacked Over40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012434.7%43 W · 81 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a60…7b81backed Over40c234.93$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.9740%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Over39c234.15$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.3221147.4%100 W · 111 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…c20dbacked Over38c210.53$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8017035.9%61 W · 109 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5894…c28ebacked Over14c196.55$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.33333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick17cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd35…c85ebacked Under61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.937347.9%35 W · 38 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb502…9d8bbacked Under63c158.59$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.5930055.7%167 W · 133 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over33c158.28$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.7925954.4%141 W · 118 L+34.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+68.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xdc59…df13backed Under64c155.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.8912363.4%78 W · 45 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca85…7453backed Over38c142.11$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546346%29 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over36c141.8$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.391,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd614…0fc0backed Under60c138.33$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.331266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+74.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaa8f…fd07backed Over10c134.49$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df4…4eacbacked Under63c126.67$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.8715154.3%82 W · 69 L+0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0af5…154cbacked Over38c117.16$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.523164.5%20 W · 11 L+5.3wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+27.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5c80…9564backed Under62c110$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.812159.5%72 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9422…f273backed Under63c98.26$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4519555.4%108 W · 87 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ec…a3adbacked Under62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.65650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+43.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9aca…61fdbacked Under62c80.08$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.433256.3%18 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5961…56dbbacked Over41c73.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3037848.9%185 W · 193 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Over39c71.15$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7555444.4%246 W · 308 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Over38c64.94$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6840548.4%196 W · 209 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7366…d1aabacked Over38c60.53$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2340%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over40c60$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2446346.4%215 W · 248 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Under65c57$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9561253.1%325 W · 287 L-20.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6d6…bb46backed Over38c55.26$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc798…a8e9backed Over38c53.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1624841.9%104 W · 144 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x630f…5501backed Over38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205461.1%33 W · 21 L+7.9wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+42.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Over20c50.92$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2662144%273 W · 348 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe299…761bbacked Over39c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.531540.3%127 W · 188 L-15.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over37c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.56150.8%31 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over37c49.49$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.111,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24cd…7637backed Under61c49.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.182100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x13ca…bf47backed Under61c49.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.18250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda55…ae5ebacked Under61c49.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.182100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+84%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d8b…125ebacked Under61c49.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.18250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0182…301cbacked Under61c48.96$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.964057.5%23 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb481…4db8backed Over37c39.65$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.671421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.23per pick45cpaid-52%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc059…a1edbacked Under60c35.73$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2912254.9%67 W · 55 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f5…61a6backed Under60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.33366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+19.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6196…1a64backed Under61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7925666.8%171 W · 85 L+16.7wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+9.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8bf7…b946backed Under61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.79366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d76…13b4backed Under61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.79540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-28%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa350…a39cbacked Under63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.75683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick52cpaid+55.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5aeb…42d4backed Over41c31.71$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1327539.6%109 W · 166 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2284…e326backed Under64c31.38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.381662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+25.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over38c29.62$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1710757%61 W · 46 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c37…a324backed Over40c28.35$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29d8…e1b3backed Over39c28.13$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8410548.6%51 W · 54 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfc2…d7c0backed Under60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x633c…d9e8backed Under60c19$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca07…6269backed Under60c17.91$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.16933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-49%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8bd4…6eafbacked Under62c17.06$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Under63c16.59$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.133556.7%190 W · 145 L+26.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 84. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.