TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1c37…a324

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
48
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Us Midterms, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Us Midterms at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1866.7%12 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ricardo Quaresma attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.64
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.53
Senegal vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.47
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.88
Spread: England (-2.5)backed Ghana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.01
Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.14
Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$2.99
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.26
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia O/U 1.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.36
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.15
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.32
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.86
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.23
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.61
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4.01
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.88
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.16
All 18 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+67.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestoneslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-27.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.74
Hurkacz vs. Ofner: Match O/U 40.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$16.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.34
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.66
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$10.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+63.6%+$22.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$16.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atmos Energy (ATO) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$18.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tayte Willows win the 2026 Cornwall-Meadowbank PEI Legislative Assembly by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Wang Cong vs. Tracy Cortez (Women's Flyweight, Early Prelims)backed Tracy Cortez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hanwha Life Esports win MSI 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.16
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.