TailMyPicks
Market

Fifa International · resolved market

Senegal vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$278,180
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$301,711

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $278,180 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under71c24,090$17,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,870.444,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over48c19,063$9,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,148.9877152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under78c15,792$12,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,531.362,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Over48c15,000$7,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,199.9653448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Under79c10,000$7,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1007550.7%38 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,8003,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over21c9,981$2,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,091.5965737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over22c9,629$2,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,087.024,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8e2…ec79backed Over38c5,096$1,934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,933.788723%20 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over16c4,889$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802.84,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over48c4,151$1,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,981.31,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43e3…43f7backed Under52c2,115$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.3823230.2%70 W · 162 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Over9c2,045$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.0261750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under52c1,859$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894.092,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Under52c1,818$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872.6413860.9%84 W · 54 L+10.7wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under52c1,754$919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834.792,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3cb…ac21backed Under51c1,733$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849.1213151.1%67 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Under57c1,571$899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.0416357.1%93 W · 70 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under56c1,503$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.5711558.3%67 W · 48 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd33a…1fe2backed Over15c1,276$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.3610929.4%32 W · 77 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd86e…45cebacked Under52c1,260$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.848856.8%50 W · 38 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over18c1,200$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.661,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over15c1,113$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.772,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over47c1,064$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50067447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49070648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under52c926.45$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.572,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Under53c925.49$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.5811445.6%52 W · 62 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Under53c923.8$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.221,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c03…f8bebacked Under63c838.7$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.197548%36 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda20…cb8dbacked Under50c790.7$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.358151.9%42 W · 39 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8056…9507backed Under64c763.41$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.8310940.4%44 W · 65 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under72c762.38$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.136250%181 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6faf…de48backed Over28c712.77$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020224.8%50 W · 152 L-15.8wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under50c691.83$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.771,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over13c682.88$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.512,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over36c648$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.281,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Over17c588$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9641331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06f0…ad99backed Under53c560.38$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.3817948%86 W · 93 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2540…6becbacked Over15c533.2$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9824540.4%99 W · 146 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf998…13f5backed Under52c519.23$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.2327454%148 W · 126 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a58…b808backed Over49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24522835.5%81 W · 147 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc86b…6e26backed Over34c500$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16915040.7%61 W · 89 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Under52c499.99$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24037754.4%205 W · 172 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Over49c489.3$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.0836350.1%182 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa084…7cabbacked Over44c454.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008552.9%45 W · 40 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Over15c450$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.595037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over38c443.78$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.578,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88c5…2909backed Under52c438$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.248549.4%42 W · 43 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Over50c394$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1975356.6%30 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under52c300$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.81,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under52c300$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1451,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Over38c283.66$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.1873234.6%253 W · 479 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under73c278.91$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.673536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over19c272$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.771,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…67fdbacked Under52c270$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.632046.6%149 W · 171 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e64…7308backed Under51c254.99$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.951656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61e7…afddbacked Over27c251.22$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.734020%8 W · 32 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+31.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed Under53c244.03$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.4921937.9%83 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under52c232.41$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.551,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under53c226.62$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.651,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Under73c210.85$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.9337458.8%220 W · 154 L+18.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd28…374abacked Over48c209$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.3213251.5%68 W · 64 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3a6…dff7backed Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009136.3%33 W · 58 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under52c203.47$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.611,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a55…fd0dbacked Over50c202.04$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.027850%39 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5222…f6e0backed Over10c202.02$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012144.6%54 W · 67 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.152455%288 W · 236 L+2.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7e34…63f7backed Under80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4028164.1%180 W · 101 L+16.0wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xed85…fbd6backed Under52c195$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+32.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x13c1…3d52backed Over49c195$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over19c194.36$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.291,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ef2…3c33backed Under52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3118247.8%87 W · 95 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89df…f8d0backed Under55c182.64$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.6414245.8%65 W · 77 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under51c180.06$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.231,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under74c173.03$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.7534056.5%192 W · 148 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bea…a7e6backed Over32c162.16$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7917659.7%105 W · 71 L+25.3wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+36.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x9e16…4698backed Under52c161.04$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.6411355.8%63 W · 50 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over10c160$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58cf…6b6fbacked Over10c150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158562.4%53 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Over45c137.64$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.9495739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Over47c137$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.3915246.7%71 W · 81 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf676…b039backed Under51c131.07$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.2318448.9%90 W · 94 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8c8…a89ebacked Under51c129.54$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.881030%3 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-41.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0936…fb00backed Over49c129.25$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.988264.6%53 W · 29 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over28c128.44$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4748328%135 W · 348 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7210…521fbacked Over47c125.53$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598158%47 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd38c…371ebacked Over16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020133.8%68 W · 133 L+14.0wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+33.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under52c120.61$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.572,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bda…8254backed Over27c120$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9310335.9%37 W · 66 L-0.5wins0.00per pick36cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under74c118.65$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.331,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe43c…dffbbacked Over44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked Under59c110.02$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.1116753.9%90 W · 77 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under52c109.76$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.173,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Under51c107.83$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.4432837.2%122 W · 206 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc7e…06a2backed Under52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4814946.3%69 W · 80 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5de3…3ad2backed Over10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106737.3%25 W · 42 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9e7…377dbacked Under53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479253.3%49 W · 43 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x491c…b765backed Over17c99.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1721955.3%121 W · 98 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9b…ebe7backed Under52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.154860.4%29 W · 19 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.