Fifa International · resolved market
Senegal vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Score in Second Half
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x360003fbfa4377c41edefb8df93ade61ef849bd8a6c4e335186959e478e0cb64
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,871
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,151
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,871 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked No | 75c | 1,685$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.33 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +8.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8a…76a2backed No | 76c | 1,310$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.96 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 25c | 843.54$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.53 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 25c | 592.79$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.2 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…d25cbacked Yes | 18c | 558.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 191 | 24.6%47 W · 144 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 21c | 393.85$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.05 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 11c | 325.24$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8db…7c68backed Yes | 24c | 305.1$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.22 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 23c | 254.02$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.42 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Yes | 25c | 244.13$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.03 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 23c | 182$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.86 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Yes | 23c | 167.57$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.54 | 264 | 49.2%130 W · 134 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb42e…d477backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b20…2f94backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 207 | 29%60 W · 147 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Yes | 24c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed No | 75c | 28.24$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 74c | 19.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfthis page
- Senegal vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Iraq 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Iraq 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Iraq 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 0.5Under won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 1.5Under won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 2.5Under won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 0.5Over won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 1.5Over won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5Over won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5Over won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5Over won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 5.5Under won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 6.5Under won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 7.5Under won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 8.5Under won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Senegal 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Senegal 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Senegal 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Senegal O/U 0.5Over won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Senegal O/U 1.5Over won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Senegal O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Iraq (-1.5)Senegal won
- Spread: Iraq (-4.5)Senegal won
- Spread: Senegal (-1.5)Senegal won
- Spread: Senegal (-2.5)Senegal won
- Spread: Senegal (-3.5)Senegal won
- Spread: Senegal (-4.5)Senegal won
- Spread: Senegal (-5.5)Iraq won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.