TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Senegal (-4.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Senegalof Senegal, Iraq
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$104,832
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$107,705

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,832 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc291…5d74backed Senegal45c8,160$3,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,502.064,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Senegal49c8,156$3,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,173.914,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac1c…d8b5backed Iraq62c8,100$5,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,021.9214734%50 W · 97 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Senegal23c4,738$1,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,647.12,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95f7…5541backed Iraq48c3,684$1,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,768.4410544.8%47 W · 58 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13e4…8b89backed Senegal39c3,208$1,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,951.8220253.5%108 W · 94 L+12.5wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Iraq63c3,187$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00065948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa77…15a5backed Senegal65c3,053$1,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,068.7110562.9%66 W · 39 L+9.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+12.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xae76…2763backed Senegal8c3,010$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,769.218626.3%49 W · 137 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Iraq67c2,797$1,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,873.991,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Iraq39c2,415$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.151,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Iraq42c2,276$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.191,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Iraq41c2,107$862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862.491,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x74cb…1688backed Senegal32c1,871$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,269.974566.7%30 W · 15 L+13.1wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+83.4%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Iraq65c1,535$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992.882,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8de2…8483backed Iraq43c1,308$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.058537.6%32 W · 53 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-23.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Senegal39c1,021$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.2953629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68e3…109bbacked Senegal10c900$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8102623.1%6 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd1…ec0ebacked Senegal11c894.79$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.793933.3%13 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid+19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Iraq43c868.98$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.331,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Iraq70c788.97$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.971,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Iraq53c783.05$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.3839039%152 W · 238 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64f4…b38ebacked Senegal39c769.49$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.494544.4%20 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08ff…32ebbacked Senegal58c731.63$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.110550.5%53 W · 52 L-8.1wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-28.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Senegal56c714.29$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.299358.1%54 W · 39 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Senegal42c606$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.3237237.4%139 W · 233 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Senegal7c600$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55847127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Senegal38c579.03$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3591,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Iraq68c578.24$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.279149.2%389 W · 402 L+28.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Iraq40c524.22$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.31,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Iraq52c522.75$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.7385550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x848d…9867backed Iraq74c500$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36819351.8%100 W · 93 L+0.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed Iraq32c467.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.7613552.6%71 W · 64 L+25.9wins+0.19per pick33cpaid+129%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Iraq49c449.41$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.2187237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Senegal30c440.5$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.3583153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x203a…ada4backed Senegal63c361.92$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.911457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd169…8ff6backed Senegal35c350$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.517241.3%71 W · 101 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x03b8…b4aebacked Iraq61c327.41$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.1423353.2%124 W · 109 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3162…087bbacked Senegal8c326.25$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.152733.3%9 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc820…49debacked Senegal32c309.3$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.35666.1%37 W · 19 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+20.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e89…3e0abacked Senegal10c300$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27026716.1%43 W · 224 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05e0…e2cbbacked Iraq40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12013247%62 W · 70 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Iraq70c288.59$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.538,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked Senegal56c267.86$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.8616753.9%90 W · 77 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd970…bbbabacked Senegal38c263.26$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.2219356%108 W · 85 L+34.7wins+0.18per pick38cpaid+61%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xa42f…b629backed Senegal38c263.26$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.228453.6%45 W · 39 L+10.8wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+45.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1985…51abbacked Senegal38c263.26$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.2212156.2%68 W · 53 L+19.7wins+0.16per pick40cpaid+69.1%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x153a…af29backed Senegal38c263.26$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.229862.2%61 W · 37 L+20.5wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+56.8%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x03c9…d8c1backed Senegal38c263.26$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.2213158.8%77 W · 54 L+26.4wins+0.20per pick39cpaid+82.8%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x09b0…a3b6backed Senegal38c263.26$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.2214260.6%86 W · 56 L+25.7wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+49.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x3968…85b5backed Senegal38c263.26$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.2210761.7%66 W · 41 L+20.4wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+66.4%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x5a65…e883backed Iraq38c260.59$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005749.1%28 W · 29 L-6.9wins-0.12per pick61cpaid-22.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xda33…cd9abacked Senegal22c214.37$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.168651.2%44 W · 42 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Senegal37c211.57$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.222,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Iraq68c203$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.0477051.3%395 W · 375 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Senegal7c200$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1861,00544.3%445 W · 560 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Senegal10c200$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18029529.8%88 W · 207 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab73…a3e1backed Iraq38c200$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid+114.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x06df…3b05backed Senegal7c199.97$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.9715034.7%52 W · 98 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98b8…4ab2backed Senegal35c199.46$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.6510133.7%34 W · 67 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Senegal8c192.63$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.621,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x425e…ecfabacked Senegal38c184.5$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.3911360.2%68 W · 45 L+22.2wins+0.20per pick41cpaid+63.7%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x7e47…b3d0backed Senegal9c171.11$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.1120819.7%41 W · 167 L+0.3wins0.00per pick20cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c86…6a80backed Senegal8c168.12$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.6714839.9%59 W · 89 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8227…013dbacked Iraq60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006328.6%18 W · 45 L-5.9wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-50.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe9f6…f7e6backed Senegal30c166.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.666744.8%30 W · 37 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7160…cce2backed Senegal30c166.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.6610354.4%56 W · 47 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7572…6156backed Senegal9c161.46$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.86385.3%2 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-55.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Senegal63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7343246.8%202 W · 230 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Iraq64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10041331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed Senegal32c154.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.160821.9%133 W · 475 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cce…4b52backed Senegal38c150.74$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.7321938.8%85 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7886…ec60backed Iraq71c132.51$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.084452.3%23 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbbc…3122backed Iraq76c131.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+35.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe270…eab5backed Senegal53c124$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.7124136.9%89 W · 152 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bda…8254backed Senegal11c119.04$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.4210335.9%37 W · 66 L-0.5wins0.00per pick36cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9d1…6194backed Senegal38c113.63$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.4520056%112 W · 88 L+12.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+21.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Iraq68c111.6$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.8945548.6%221 W · 234 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked Senegal42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5823838.7%92 W · 146 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Iraq68c92$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.5629556.6%167 W · 128 L+19.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x305e…b28bbacked Iraq59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5026133.3%87 W · 174 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe00e…ea73backed Senegal43c78$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.4610732.7%35 W · 72 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e62…79f1backed Iraq67c62.33$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.7626449.2%130 W · 134 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9991…36b8backed Senegal56c60.27$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6719257.8%111 W · 81 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Iraq67c56.07$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5712653.2%67 W · 59 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2160…4c78backed Senegal38c51.15$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.7112359.3%73 W · 50 L+5.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed Iraq68c50.69$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3531853.1%169 W · 149 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Senegal50c50.57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2922643.4%98 W · 128 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b49…9bdcbacked Senegal38c47.61$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.521764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+31.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5663…f2e5backed Iraq68c44.21$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0618761%114 W · 73 L+18.3wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+23.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x189e…5aaebacked Iraq68c44$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9241551.8%215 W · 200 L+21.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Senegal56c41.29$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.221,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Iraq68c38.82$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.430547.2%144 W · 161 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4787…db20backed Iraq68c37.38$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4219754.3%107 W · 90 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x750c…d430backed Senegal69c37.38$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5717540.6%71 W · 104 L-9.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51fb…9b84backed Iraq62c37$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9415235.5%54 W · 98 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Iraq66c35$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0122258.6%130 W · 92 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9892…fd59backed Senegal36c34.05$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7946243.5%201 W · 261 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf03a…1b78backed Senegal65c30.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.921782.4%14 W · 3 L+5.1wins+0.30per pick53cpaid+59.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x408c…2e26backed Senegal63c30.33$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.225754.4%31 W · 26 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.