TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,241,667
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,226,718

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,241,667 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 740 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under35c423,164$147,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147,617.84,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over66c151,235$99,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,463.4174752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe549…2d54backed Over62c132,336$82,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,287.6315552.3%81 W · 74 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed Under35c76,000$26,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,599.8717949.2%88 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d06…7910backed Over65c61,528$40,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,528.4514343.4%62 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over65c54,591$35,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,230.552,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over65c44,616$28,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,663.431,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Under38c42,990$16,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,336.220844.7%93 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e2…9dcbbacked Over65c30,860$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,860.079045.6%41 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over65c25,686$16,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,991.082,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6afc…f7ddbacked Under16c23,525$3,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,759.155044%22 W · 28 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-25.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over63c22,368$14,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,279.542345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over65c16,960$11,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,933.368,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4582…619ebacked Over64c15,700$10,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,651.978735.6%31 W · 56 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-36.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under33c14,699$4,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,810.642,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under33c12,439$4,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,144.211,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over79c12,264$9,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,550.193,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1280…6b24backed Over65c12,210$7,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,273.461861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Under36c10,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,60018740.6%76 W · 111 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5faf…1183backed Over65c10,000$6,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,5009823.5%23 W · 75 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-33.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Under35c10,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,50038026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Over64c10,000$6,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,599.9953448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under35c10,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,499.9974447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under36c9,170$3,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,265.2150243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Under36c9,000$3,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,209.9948441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under35c8,993$3,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,119.141,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Under36c8,769$3,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,129.0247643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under35c8,342$2,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,952.331,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under35c8,212$2,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,889.191,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under35c8,172$2,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,878.081,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x938e…0459backed Over65c7,692$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,692.31366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x208c…6b98backed Over62c6,424$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,424.129846.9%46 W · 52 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under30c6,145$1,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,832.171,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under19c6,113$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,169.572,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under35c6,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10022451.3%115 W · 109 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under35c6,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10019038.9%74 W · 116 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under35c6,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.9647144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under34c5,583$1,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,909.271,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51b3…3989backed Over65c5,520$3,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9326660.6%40 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked Under38c5,500$2,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,09017632.4%57 W · 119 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Over67c5,216$3,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,738.8538734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed Over64c5,000$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8005841.4%24 W · 34 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-26.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc229…1b74backed Over65c5,000$3,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7508858%51 W · 37 L+10.4wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+27.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Under35c4,800$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,679.9944144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Under36c4,800$1,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,711.9847442.8%203 W · 271 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45ad…55b7backed Over65c4,600$2,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6106459.4%38 W · 26 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under36c4,389$1,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,587.671,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under38c4,347$1,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,673.4336235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x969a…59ddbacked Under35c4,081$1,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,428.339247.8%44 W · 48 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x819b…d996backed Over62c4,014$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,514.4814546.9%68 W · 77 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7516…8bebbacked Under35c4,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40011657.8%67 W · 49 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc82f…66a7backed Over64c4,000$2,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.9733235.5%118 W · 214 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under38c3,949$1,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500.6542541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56c8…7cc8backed Under38c3,905$1,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,48412241%50 W · 72 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa0b8…e424backed Under36c3,884$1,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,398.245947.5%28 W · 31 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under35c3,716$1,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,310.292,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under34c3,599$1,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,236.252,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x944e…8c94backed Under35c3,333$1,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,166.5514348.3%69 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf285…ab24backed Over79c3,200$2,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6729253.3%49 W · 43 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+19.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under36c3,056$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10065948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23b0…13a3backed Under38c3,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14015128.5%43 W · 108 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Under31c3,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92022643.4%98 W · 128 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Over52c2,904$1,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,386.934553.3%24 W · 21 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+25.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed Under35c2,860$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.9825537.6%96 W · 159 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under35c2,857$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9967447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under22c2,845$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.492,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over71c2,740$1,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.7235244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0c0…5837backed Over66c2,565$1,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.337167.6%48 W · 23 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+3.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Under14c2,441$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.6322933.6%77 W · 152 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3673…2d13backed Under35c2,416$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.65457.4%31 W · 23 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbf3…70e3backed Under37c2,400$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87613952.5%73 W · 66 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x426d…6885backed Over63c2,381$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.957844.9%35 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-11.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Under32c2,194$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.2519744.2%87 W · 110 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1da…27bdbacked Under39c2,192$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8554472.7%32 W · 12 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over58c2,066$1,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.1864446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd116…be32backed Over65c2,000$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7101338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick59cpaid-44.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8716…57c8backed Under37c2,000$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73032647.9%156 W · 170 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under35c2,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70070648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed Under35c2,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70011755.6%65 W · 52 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under13c1,949$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.552,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under34c1,947$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.5784844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under29c1,918$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.9130626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed Under45c1,908$859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858.6714342.7%61 W · 82 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf9d…ee2dbacked Over65c1,848$1,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.933158.1%18 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa698…db5ebacked Over63c1,778$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.857962%49 W · 30 L+7.7wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+13.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed Over65c1,750$1,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.531152.7%164 W · 147 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under33c1,738$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.4169534.8%242 W · 453 L-48.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5ea8…b084backed Over65c1,689$1,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.2523240.5%94 W · 138 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Over63c1,621$1,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.8725339.5%100 W · 153 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31c1…bc19backed Over63c1,587$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.36457.8%37 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over63c1,587$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.333544.5%149 W · 186 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab77…da8bbacked Over65c1,554$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.855236.5%19 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc128…2217backed Over65c1,538$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.4625228.2%71 W · 181 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d7c…a9b9backed Over65c1,538$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.4619645.9%90 W · 106 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe00…e985backed Over65c1,538$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.4617950.3%90 W · 89 L+12.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+10.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d64…3940backed Over65c1,538$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.463467.6%23 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under36c1,534$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.513,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0373…4057backed Over65c1,500$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52510855.6%60 W · 48 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe270…eab5backed Under23c1,450$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.224136.9%89 W · 152 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under35c1,428$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.871638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.