Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x567d0ef4dbfb776edca3c6affbaf4229a3919c8242b0643fc845eb67d278fc55

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 26, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $298,550
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $310,572

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $298,550 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Under	15c	93,335$13,998 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,997.54	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ea…150fbacked Under	14c	10,000$1,450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,450	193	32.1%62 W · 131 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under	15c	10,000$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under	10c	9,802$1,011 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,011.14	1,224	43.4%531 W · 693 L	-7.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under	2c	5,718$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.7	213	14.1%30 W · 183 L	+14.3wins	+0.07per pick	7cpaid	+135.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Under	2c	4,952$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.03	265	34%90 W · 175 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	16c	4,888$766 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$765.51	1,560	43.8%684 W · 876 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under	15c	4,703$706 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$705.52	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	15c	2,740$422 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$421.8	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77fc…0eacbacked Under	15c	2,127$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320.29	105	18.1%19 W · 86 L	-7.3wins	-0.07per pick	25cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaf7a…0c40backed Under	20c	2,078$416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$415.51	42	16.7%7 W · 35 L	-2.8wins	-0.07per pick	23cpaid	-62.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcfe6…6049backed Under	6c	2,070$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126	113	16.8%19 W · 94 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under	9c	1,937$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.27	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under	12c	1,623$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.09	413	31%128 W · 285 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe270…eab5backed Under	6c	1,390$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.12	241	36.9%89 W · 152 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under	15c	1,227$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.07	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	21c	1,185$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248.78	1,262	47.5%600 W · 662 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bd3…88f5backed Under	17c	1,176$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	90	28.9%26 W · 64 L	-10.0wins	-0.11per pick	40cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	16c	1,031$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.5	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Under	3c	1,000$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	226	43.4%98 W · 128 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ec6…d9edbacked Under	5c	999.99$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	216	31%67 W · 149 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3bc…46f8backed Under	13c	775.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	48	27.1%13 W · 35 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	+35%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under	12c	750.5$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.06	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed Under	14c	714.28$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	345	33.6%116 W · 229 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under	8c	684.07$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.04	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ebb…8220backed Under	8c	625.86$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	282	24.1%68 W · 214 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under	17c	588.98$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.74	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…67fdbacked Under	16c	500$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	320	46.6%149 W · 171 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under	16c	499.98$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	957	39.5%378 W · 579 L	-18.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd3f…b7c9backed Under	15c	438.66$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	53	28.3%15 W · 38 L	-4.3wins	-0.08per pick	36cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under	10c	385.61$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.18	695	34.8%242 W · 453 L	-48.8wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Under	12c	346$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.06	722	47.2%341 W · 381 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Under	6c	312$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.4	589	26.8%158 W · 431 L	-30.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under	14c	300$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.86	1,421	47.8%679 W · 742 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x51af…8720backed Under	17c	300$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-53.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x004d…47e0backed Under	17c	294.12$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	121	28.9%35 W · 86 L	-14.5wins	-0.12per pick	41cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0823…ec6abacked Under	24c	264$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.36	431	39%168 W · 263 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Under	13c	252.68$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.09	732	34.6%253 W · 479 L	-22.2wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Under	5c	235.91$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.36	432	30.1%130 W · 302 L	-17.6wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-41%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under	15c	215.83$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.41	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbec0…9bddbacked Under	10c	212.03$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.22	626	33.9%212 W · 414 L	-28.6wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c37…d887backed Under	16c	208.94$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.43	104	27.9%29 W · 75 L	-11.8wins	-0.11per pick	39cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1c95…01c4backed Under	16c	208.94$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.43	104	27.9%29 W · 75 L	-11.8wins	-0.11per pick	39cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1f67…4869backed Under	17c	205.88$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4e4b…6cbdbacked Under	16c	205.63$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.9	105	27.6%29 W · 76 L	-12.0wins	-0.11per pick	39cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7710…8417backed Under	16c	205.44$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.87	105	27.6%29 W · 76 L	-12.0wins	-0.11per pick	39cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc08f…fbe2backed Under	16c	205.38$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.86	105	27.6%29 W · 76 L	-12.1wins	-0.11per pick	39cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x751f…e4ddbacked Under	15c	203.53$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.13	879	38.6%339 W · 540 L	+8.3wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0619…d801backed Under	12c	200$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	120	13.3%16 W · 104 L	-6.8wins	-0.06per pick	19cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcdcd…ea10backed Under	16c	199.56$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.93	134	28.4%38 W · 96 L	-14.9wins	-0.11per pick	39cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xea74…76a7backed Under	16c	199.19$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.87	134	28.4%38 W · 96 L	-14.9wins	-0.11per pick	39cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8581…a2d5backed Under	16c	197.56$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.61	134	28.4%38 W · 96 L	-14.7wins	-0.11per pick	39cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdceb…47d9backed Under	16c	197.44$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.59	134	28.4%38 W · 96 L	-14.9wins	-0.11per pick	39cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xaff6…b357backed Under	16c	194.88$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.18	135	28.1%38 W · 97 L	-15.1wins	-0.11per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5e89…3e0abacked Under	16c	187.5$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	267	16.1%43 W · 224 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under	21c	176$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.96	2,793	46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ac5…bb42backed Under	13c	156.85$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.83	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Under	15c	137.17$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.58	307	48.2%148 W · 159 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under	15c	134.99$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.46	848	44.3%376 W · 472 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1840…6798backed Under	16c	134.63$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.54	131	30.5%40 W · 91 L	-8.4wins	-0.06per pick	37cpaid	-11%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9892…fd59backed Under	16c	125$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	462	43.5%201 W · 261 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b89…a4cdbacked Under	16c	125$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	56	35.7%20 W · 36 L	-3.7wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Under	22c	124$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.28	406	49.8%202 W · 204 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed Under	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	65	16.9%11 W · 54 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10ad…827cbacked Under	12c	100$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.2	129	33.3%43 W · 86 L	-8.0wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	217	22.1%48 W · 169 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd661…2750backed Under	12c	100$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.49	130	38.5%50 W · 80 L	+9.1wins	+0.07per pick	31cpaid	+29.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a52…0c6fbacked Under	13c	85.27$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	59	42.4%25 W · 34 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b4d…51a0backed Under	16c	83.44$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.35	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-1.5wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc93d…23d5backed Under	15c	81.26$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.19	212	43.4%92 W · 120 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-17%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under	16c	81$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.96	403	43.7%176 W · 227 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	16c	63.74$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.13	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xae55…2aa1backed Under	16c	62.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	44	40.9%18 W · 26 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6444…672ebacked Under	23c	44.99$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.35	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-3.5wins	-0.20per pick	56cpaid	-48.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Over	80c	32.17$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.43	1,045	29.3%306 W · 739 L	-10.8wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa712…982cbacked Over	79c	30$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.3	152	53.3%81 W · 71 L	+7.3wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 1.5this page
Senegal vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Senegal vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Senegal vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Senegal vs. Iraq: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Senegal vs. Iraq: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Senegal vs. Iraq: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
Senegal vs. Iraq: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Senegal vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Senegal vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Senegal vs. Iraq: Iraq 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Senegal vs. Iraq: Iraq 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Senegal vs. Iraq: Iraq 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Senegal vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 0.5Under won
Senegal vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 1.5Under won
Senegal vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 2.5Under won
Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 0.5Over won
Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5Over won
Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5Over won
Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5Over won
Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 5.5Under won
Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 6.5Under won
Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 7.5Under won
Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 8.5Under won
Senegal vs. Iraq: Senegal 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Senegal vs. Iraq: Senegal 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Senegal vs. Iraq: Senegal 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Senegal vs. Iraq: Senegal O/U 0.5Over won
Senegal vs. Iraq: Senegal O/U 1.5Over won
Senegal vs. Iraq: Senegal O/U 2.5Over won
Spread: Iraq (-1.5)Senegal won
Spread: Iraq (-4.5)Senegal won
Spread: Senegal (-1.5)Senegal won
Spread: Senegal (-2.5)Senegal won
Spread: Senegal (-3.5)Senegal won
Spread: Senegal (-4.5)Senegal won
Spread: Senegal (-5.5)Iraq won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event