TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Senegal vs. Iraq: Senegal O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$301,578
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$340,771

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $301,578 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 233 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under49c74,057$36,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,650.434,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe734…4f0cbacked Over50c20,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,0008325.3%21 W · 62 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-28.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x70ef…e6ddbacked Over48c20,000$9,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,399.9610840.7%44 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Over48c15,000$7,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,799.9753448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under51c13,108$6,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,655.311,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over50c11,280$5,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,597.654,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8013…2a30backed Over49c10,319$5,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,262.661070%7 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+27.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Over49c10,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,10021937%81 W · 138 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Under49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,90038026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,90074447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over71c7,892$5,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,258.462,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over50c7,273$3,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,646.7523942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9da7…8d0fbacked Under50c6,229$3,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,114.67450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over49c5,733$2,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,902.822,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50014445.8%66 W · 78 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Over50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50022943.7%100 W · 129 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,499.9786452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb470…aa7bbacked Under50c4,090$2,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,045.17520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-67.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5faf…1183backed Over50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0009823.5%23 W · 75 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-33.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under33c3,985$1,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,323.724,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under19c3,069$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.061,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over76c2,750$2,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.6965737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0189…5861backed Over50c2,222$1,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,11117636.4%64 W · 112 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc128…2217backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00025228.2%71 W · 181 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00067447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e3f…6deebacked Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0003754.1%20 W · 17 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+44.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under50c1,902$956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.462,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over59c1,860$1,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.792,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under51c1,839$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.231,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9124…f819backed Over58c1,731$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.886947.8%33 W · 36 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under51c1,707$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867.623,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under36c1,611$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.852,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe98c…8792backed Under48c1,547$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.59150.5%46 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe20f…6ccebacked Over46c1,507$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.5218435.3%65 W · 119 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb673…d240backed Under51c1,400$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7143525.7%9 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under51c1,325$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.953,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over60c1,277$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.748,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd70b…dcb1backed Over50c1,205$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.510359.2%61 W · 42 L+9.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+22.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over46c1,200$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6481,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7bb…a9f7backed Over50c1,140$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5701553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca2f…1f50backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5002161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe533…ab29backed Over60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40011638.8%45 W · 71 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+19.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x472c…5ae2backed Over49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51010562.9%66 W · 39 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x06f0…ad99backed Over57c974.49$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.4917948%86 W · 93 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ab…ff89backed Under51c882.35$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4509334.4%32 W · 61 L-0.4wins0.00per pick35cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under38c849.96$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3193,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over49c827.97$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.752,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under52c821.44$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.131,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under52c807.54$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.931,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under50c806.43$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.2170648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over51c805.11$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.812,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Over50c801.73$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.7310448.1%50 W · 54 L+8.3wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f2a…46babacked Over50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4001650%8 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Under20c728.73$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.2279149.2%389 W · 402 L+28.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Under20c688$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.3877051.3%395 W · 375 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under51c664.89$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.661,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed Under50c661.17$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.5925454.7%139 W · 115 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x426d…b976backed Over50c640.63$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.383458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe2ef…5a1cbacked Under50c603.66$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.8310142.6%43 W · 58 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Over53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28235229.3%103 W · 249 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Over50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30022951.1%117 W · 112 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+24.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a14…c927backed Over50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3004450%22 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Over50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30018051.1%92 W · 88 L+12.8wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Over51c588.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.2411645.7%53 W · 63 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under50c580.97$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.4976551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Over50c505.48$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.9147127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6fa…546bbacked Over50c503.02$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.0213754.7%75 W · 62 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked Over49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25513155%72 W · 59 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Over49c485.85$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.8336350.1%182 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x354b…4744backed Over52c480.77$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.7711443.9%50 W · 64 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84a3…44dcbacked Over47c421$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.132650%13 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d87…a82bbacked Over48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.671163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+30.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x50e3…3792backed Over49c409$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.595549.1%27 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20045038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b02…f3d9backed Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20022449.1%110 W · 114 L+20.3wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9cd6…77dabacked Over50c398.9$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.913329.3%39 W · 94 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ef2…3c33backed Under51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20018247.8%87 W · 95 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3752…2f08backed Under48c379.98$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.3919750.3%99 W · 98 L-1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Under10c333.08$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.672247.2%341 W · 381 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Over52c330$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16028326.5%75 W · 208 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-29.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x59a8…eb4ebacked Over48c312.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.516946.7%79 W · 90 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over50c292.01$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.332,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3daf…19ebbacked Over52c290$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.253436%192 W · 342 L+12.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1028…d62cbacked Under51c280.39$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1431850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbb8…bbc7backed Over50c280$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1401172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+44.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfd05…51dabacked Under51c280$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.81952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34df…3eecbacked Over50c280$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1401747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e3…31f7backed Under51c280$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.81637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2fdb…ea94backed Under51c280$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.81414.3%2 W · 12 L-5.1wins-0.36per pick50cpaid-71.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x2920…6fdabacked Over50c280$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1401855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73f7…fef9backed Over50c280$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1401361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+23.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e62…79f1backed Under14c274.29$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5426449.2%130 W · 134 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over63c268.62$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.5959453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa76c…a1babacked Under51c260.2$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.71540%6 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5a4…445ebacked Under51c260.2$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.72045%9 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd942…31e5backed Under51c260.2$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.72343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4712…7b92backed Under51c260$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.61711.8%2 W · 15 L-5.7wins-0.34per pick45cpaid-75.7%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x582e…eb81backed Over50c260$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1301450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5eb9…6f30backed Over50c260$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1302334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-30.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06b5…ac8bbacked Over50c260$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1301457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+29.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.