Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Senegal (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82751689b6b5bd320650496ea4f3b98351b09d10062fc1dd83b9d637ed55f72f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Iraqof Senegal, Iraq
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,397
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,274
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,397 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Senegal | 22c | 4,804$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.05 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03b8…b4aebacked Iraq | 72c | 2,792$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.06 | 233 | 53.2%124 W · 109 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Senegal | 12c | 2,226$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.7 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Iraq | 72c | 1,794$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.81 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d5…87cfbacked Senegal | 25c | 1,569$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.93 | 372 | 37.4%139 W · 233 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a65…e883backed Iraq | 77c | 1,128$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.08 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 61cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1eab…4822backed Senegal | 45c | 890$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 134 | 47.8%64 W · 70 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x939e…0a64backed Senegal | 27c | 736.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Iraq | 72c | 642.75$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.8 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Senegal | 2c | 600$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 471 | 27.8%131 W · 340 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e4…8b89backed Senegal | 32c | 508.29$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.65 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd8…7749backed Senegal | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 160 | 41.3%66 W · 94 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Senegal | 5c | 469$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b67…2ddfbacked Senegal | 14c | 451.85$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Senegal | 8c | 428.48$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x118c…3fffbacked Senegal | 49c | 409$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Iraq | 65c | 399.99$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.99 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Iraq | 49c | 392.16$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +31.0wins | +0.24per pick | 35cpaid | +118.1%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1e…9e97backed Senegal | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Iraq | 76c | 360.73$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.22 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e47…b3d0backed Senegal | 3c | 335$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 208 | 19.7%41 W · 167 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81ed…59f5backed Senegal | 6c | 309$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 608 | 21.9%133 W · 475 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Senegal | 6c | 276$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 650 | 36.9%240 W · 410 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Senegal | 45c | 266.98$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.05 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Senegal | 47c | 259.73$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.06 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…9a30backed Iraq | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 281 | 27.8%78 W · 203 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7886…ec60backed Iraq | 77c | 242.46$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.42 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Senegal | 14c | 234.89$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.98 | 536 | 29.9%160 W · 376 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…22dfbacked Senegal | 50c | 198.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54da…1facbacked Senegal | 10c | 176.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Senegal | 45c | 167.04$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe270…eab5backed Senegal | 39c | 166.87$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.72 | 241 | 36.9%89 W · 152 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…4244backed Iraq | 74c | 140$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 175 | 50.3%88 W · 87 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb42e…d477backed Senegal | 50c | 138.61$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2572…a8a7backed Senegal | 40c | 123.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa695…c8a4backed Iraq | 73c | 109.92$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.92 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabd7…a0cebacked Senegal | 20c | 100.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked Senegal | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 238 | 38.7%92 W · 146 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Senegal | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 200 | 31%62 W · 138 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c9…424fbacked Senegal | 41c | 97.09$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 98 | 40.8%40 W · 58 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Iraq | 64c | 90$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.37 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x054d…97c5backed Iraq | 77c | 90$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Senegal | 34c | 82.34$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.83 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Senegal | 23c | 77.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd59b…5c85backed Iraq | 77c | 65.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 149 | 73.2%109 W · 40 L | +17.6wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7f…25bdbacked Senegal | 45c | 62.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 209 | 32.5%68 W · 141 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…9024backed Senegal | 45c | 53.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 137 | 40.1%55 W · 82 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Iraq | 68c | 52.16$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.69 | 272 | 55.9%152 W · 120 L | +36.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Iraq | 61c | 44.77$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c0…f73abacked Iraq | 70c | 42.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1c…98e8backed Senegal | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Iraq | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4284…4e8cbacked Iraq | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…69eebacked Iraq | 60c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e0…ea50backed Iraq | 79c | 15.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.26 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +141.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Iraq | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Senegal (-5.5)this page
- Senegal vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Iraq 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Iraq 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Iraq 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 0.5Under won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 1.5Under won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 2.5Under won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 0.5Over won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 1.5Over won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5Over won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5Over won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5Over won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 5.5Under won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 6.5Under won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 7.5Under won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 8.5Under won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Senegal 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Senegal 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Senegal 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Senegal O/U 0.5Over won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Senegal O/U 1.5Over won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Senegal O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Iraq (-1.5)Senegal won
- Spread: Iraq (-4.5)Senegal won
- Spread: Senegal (-1.5)Senegal won
- Spread: Senegal (-2.5)Senegal won
- Spread: Senegal (-3.5)Senegal won
- Spread: Senegal (-4.5)Senegal won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.