Fifa International · resolved market
Senegal vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0dca95ae987b594c625be392c19ffb4cfc16fe8bd25d5ca377b3247a4b47fd79
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,390
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,151
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,390 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40b9…a596backed Under | 1c | 5,300$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…7c16backed Under | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.99 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6adf…4f5bbacked Over | 79c | 4,000$3,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.65 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 77c | 3,969$3,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.87 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x735c…55edbacked Under | 1c | 3,500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 98 | 35.7%35 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 78c | 3,059$2,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.98 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 1c | 2,546$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.05 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Under | 23c | 1,900$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437 | 311 | 52.7%164 W · 147 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 77c | 1,412$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.53 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3baf…7d44backed Under | 2c | 1,333$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 270 | 32.2%87 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e97…8ffabacked Under | 2c | 1,250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 251 | 25.1%63 W · 188 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 78c | 1,136$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.26 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Under | 3c | 832$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 536 | 29.9%160 W · 376 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 77c | 639.96$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.57 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 21c | 512$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.52 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Under | 23c | 499.98$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.99 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 22c | 494.15$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.14 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 77c | 476$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.48 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0728…40f4backed Under | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 162 | 25.9%42 W · 120 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 21c | 212.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.39 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 8c | 133.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a0…aee2backed Over | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 121 | 40.5%49 W · 72 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 78c | 128.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.48 | 631 | 52.9%334 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 22c | 110.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 22c | 109$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Under | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 462 | 43.5%201 W · 261 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb83e…9f42backed Over | 79c | 82.72$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.47 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…1950backed Over | 78c | 68$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.06 | 174 | 32.8%57 W · 117 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee0c…3e4dbacked Over | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 181 | 58.6%106 W · 75 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 77c | 60.46$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe01e…db1fbacked Over | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82d1…880ebacked Over | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 77c | 48.82$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…2888backed Over | 78c | 48$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 272 | 27.6%75 W · 197 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c28…eb7fbacked Over | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x436d…dadebacked Over | 78c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7187…4859backed Over | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a6e…f66dbacked Over | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Over | 77c | 16.36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.76 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Over | 77c | 15.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.59 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Senegal vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- Senegal vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Iraq 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Iraq 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Iraq 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 0.5Under won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 1.5Under won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 2.5Under won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 0.5Over won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 1.5Over won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5Over won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5Over won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5Over won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 5.5Under won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 6.5Under won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 7.5Under won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 8.5Under won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Senegal 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Senegal 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Senegal 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Senegal O/U 0.5Over won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Senegal O/U 1.5Over won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Senegal O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Iraq (-1.5)Senegal won
- Spread: Iraq (-4.5)Senegal won
- Spread: Senegal (-1.5)Senegal won
- Spread: Senegal (-2.5)Senegal won
- Spread: Senegal (-3.5)Senegal won
- Spread: Senegal (-4.5)Senegal won
- Spread: Senegal (-5.5)Iraq won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.