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Fifa International · resolved market

Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,033,471
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,041,353

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,033,471 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 376 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3496…8fc4backed Over27c332,401$88,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244,198.5617034.7%59 W · 111 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under71c242,948$173,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173,568.574,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under47c71,705$33,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,775.0874752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over45c48,013$21,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,454.253,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over39c37,422$14,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,761.061,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under55c29,323$16,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,099.732,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over50c25,459$12,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,675.8964446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over22c24,863$5,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,393.141,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Under78c20,124$15,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,696.3551032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under80c13,816$11,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,00065948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over16c12,503$1,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,511.031,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef04…f6e3backed Under42c10,968$4,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,576.434746.8%22 W · 25 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-28.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under74c8,937$6,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,568.491,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Over23c7,759$1,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,976.7616946.2%78 W · 91 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Under51c7,240$3,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,708.8634845.1%157 W · 191 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under45c7,224$3,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,261.5433740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under74c7,053$5,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,188.211,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Under33c6,061$1,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,994.8324533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf16e…43afbacked Under33c6,048$1,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9969525.3%24 W · 71 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x75f0…2b66backed Under3c5,417$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15029030.7%89 W · 201 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Under29c5,299$1,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,547.1121759%128 W · 89 L+13.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under52c5,260$2,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,756.461,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8077…ffefbacked Under18c5,206$937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$937.113935.9%14 W · 25 L+6.7wins+0.17per pick19cpaid+97.7%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under32c5,200$1,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,672.7842345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over48c5,047$2,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,624.2637242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under55c4,859$2,689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,688.82,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under1c4,444$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4421314.1%30 W · 183 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick7cpaid+135.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x51fc…128dbacked Under75c4,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0008452.4%44 W · 40 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over69c3,928$2,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,217.835244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Under26c3,911$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02536234%123 W · 239 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under74c3,547$2,629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,628.821,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Over51c3,515$1,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,724.343554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b85…55f5backed Under2c3,179$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.799912.1%12 W · 87 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+30.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under47c3,170$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.7673536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over47c3,159$1,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,683.954,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under63c3,047$1,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,905.452,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under33c3,032$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.6441331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Under73c2,864$2,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,096.6613461.9%83 W · 51 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d74…a37fbacked Under30c2,721$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.2720839.4%82 W · 126 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+33%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56e2…4a79backed Under79c2,695$2,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,136.576352.4%33 W · 30 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick57cpaid+12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under77c2,533$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,950.161,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under48c2,513$1,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1981,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over47c2,500$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,32511042.7%47 W · 63 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x725d…42b0backed Over67c2,500$1,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.993735.1%13 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under49c2,497$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,225.132,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under53c2,444$1,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,301.911,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over22c2,273$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,772.7389443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x771c…ec16backed Under9c2,250$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1985726.3%15 W · 42 L+7.3wins+0.13per pick14cpaid+149.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under50c2,128$1,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,061.831,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x72bc…c332backed Under72c2,022$1,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,457.2220334%69 W · 134 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over45c2,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,10059230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ec6…d9edbacked Over41c2,000$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,18021631%67 W · 149 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-37.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77fc…0eacbacked Over22c2,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,56010518.1%19 W · 86 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under59c2,000$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,18030626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a01…1a3cbacked Under1c1,994$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9424246.7%113 W · 129 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Under51c1,981$1,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,016.131,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under42c1,806$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.424,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Over34c1,799$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,192.1958926.8%158 W · 431 L-30.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-44.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Under30c1,667$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50022933.6%77 W · 152 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6787…6044backed Under66c1,600$1,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,058.792556%14 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe392…c023backed Under61c1,600$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.9827543.6%120 W · 155 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa23f…7f29backed Over63c1,438$906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.0615745.9%72 W · 85 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under74c1,408$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,046.691,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Under46c1,353$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.7487237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5425…d3e8backed Under70c1,300$914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$914.0915127.8%42 W · 109 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-32.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40b9…a596backed Over67c1,247$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.2820150.7%102 W · 99 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under58c1,194$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.562,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Under53c1,155$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.3979149.2%389 W · 402 L+28.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Under35c1,111$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.8518543.8%81 W · 104 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd5e…9d93backed Over23c1,100$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.035062%31 W · 19 L+10.7wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+73.1%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xd092…9a30backed Under56c1,075$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60028127.8%78 W · 203 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over25c1,032$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.6683153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under46c1,023$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.3146445.5%211 W · 253 L-1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under45c1,014$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.12,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Over24c1,000$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76017030%51 W · 119 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf285…ab24backed Over35c1,000$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6509253.3%49 W · 43 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+19.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d49…7cc0backed Under78c1,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78012862.5%80 W · 48 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Under67c999.99$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.9921166.4%140 W · 71 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e22…88a5backed Under52c961.54$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004763.8%30 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under49c933.37$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.8457541.7%240 W · 335 L-20.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbec0…9bddbacked Under57c932.05$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52762633.9%212 W · 414 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over39c873.69$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.592,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over71c845.78$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.7836539.7%145 W · 220 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under3c835.34$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6343737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12c4…ff8cbacked Under40c822.58$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33114655.5%81 W · 65 L+8.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under29c815.29$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.4336235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc20…8ed3backed Under69c783.75$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.529659.4%57 W · 39 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ca3…9613backed Under65c773.52$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50115257.9%88 W · 64 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under66c755.49$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50027951.6%144 W · 135 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Under33c754.95$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.830642.8%131 W · 175 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Under73c741$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.9370750.1%354 W · 353 L+25.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under35c736.48$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.422,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ced…0feebacked Under70c714.29$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50019957.3%114 W · 85 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x662b…73a8backed Under56c714.29$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40027236%98 W · 174 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe270…eab5backed Under43c699.99$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.7424136.9%89 W · 152 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79df…31d6backed Under30c699.43$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.833938.5%15 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under28c685.08$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.1125942.1%109 W · 150 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over44c653.99$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.2436250%181 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6673…6efbbacked Under5c649.05$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4512029.2%35 W · 85 L+11.0wins+0.09per pick20cpaid+41.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over51c627.98$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.911,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.