TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x662b…73a8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
284
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Valorant, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 52 out of 100; worst NBA at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT27236%98 W · 174 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 272 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$3,335Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,335.18
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,454Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,453.6
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will France vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,300
England vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+91.6%+$1,832.81
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$880Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$880
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,585Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,585.36
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+678.9%+$2,715.42
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$1,030.49
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+383.8%+$1,535.22
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+102%+$816.16
Spread: France (-1.5)backed Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,500
Showing 25 of 272 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+70.3%+$492.29
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+203%+$406.06
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$150.88
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.59
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$650
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.35
All 10 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-2.5) vs FUT Esports (+2.5)backed Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+86.1%+$172.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.