Valorant · resolved market
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-2.5) vs FUT Esports (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x863a21ee8a0c61b3ce5bf96df947ca5b1693744e05d9b64666c0e442ba817b37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Vitalityof Team Vitality, FUT Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,524
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,800
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,524 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9a4…8427backed Team Vitality | 48c | 720.75$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.75 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed FUT Esports | 46c | 508.2$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.77 | 339 | 42.2%143 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked FUT Esports | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x662b…73a8backed Team Vitality | 54c | 372.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x841d…f06ebacked FUT Esports | 51c | 287.15$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.73 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed FUT Esports | 50c | 220.75$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.38 | 201 | 60.2%121 W · 80 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked FUT Esports | 52c | 218.75$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.75 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…99a5backed Team Vitality | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x683b…c863backed FUT Esports | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +34%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed FUT Esports | 48c | 49.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-2.5) vs FUT Esports (+2.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-2.5) vs FUT Esports (+2.5)Team Vitality won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5Under won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)Team Vitality won
- Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London PlayoffsTeam Vitality won
- Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 WinnerTeam Vitality won
- Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 WinnerTeam Vitality won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.