Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1a3b1afbe75dea786e28c97fae80f6b1b4489f89fd1497a347976d2e9916ca6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Vitalityof Team Vitality, FUT Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,168
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,389
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,168 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89dd…f662backed Team Vitality | 36c | 31,542$11,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,080.28 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked FUT Esports | 63c | 20,000$12,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,600 | 292 | 55.8%163 W · 129 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Team Vitality | 38c | 12,942$4,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,024.04 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed FUT Esports | 66c | 7,500$4,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,944.64 | 241 | 45.2%109 W · 132 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65c1…2988backed FUT Esports | 61c | 5,646$3,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,444.07 | 258 | 55.4%143 W · 115 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcadf…1f60backed FUT Esports | 62c | 4,042$2,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500.93 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed FUT Esports | 63c | 4,000$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520 | 199 | 60.3%120 W · 79 L | +17.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf876…1deebacked Team Vitality | 39c | 2,613$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,595.81 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed FUT Esports | 62c | 2,500$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed FUT Esports | 62c | 2,132$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.69 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed FUT Esports | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed FUT Esports | 62c | 1,612$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.44 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed FUT Esports | 56c | 1,067$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.36 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1c…b465backed FUT Esports | 62c | 968$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.16 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x675c…4341backed Team Vitality | 53c | 562.13$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.13 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed FUT Esports | 63c | 404.92$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.89 | 257 | 56%144 W · 113 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…64c3backed Team Vitality | 39c | 384.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.62 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fb…1c4abacked Team Vitality | 55c | 341.47$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.66 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked FUT Esports | 58c | 315.17$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.78 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Team Vitality | 53c | 262.43$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.34 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked FUT Esports | 8c | 249.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…1365backed Team Vitality | 38c | 157.89$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.89 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +43%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed FUT Esports | 63c | 153.75$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.86 | 253 | 47%119 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fb…3f95backed Team Vitality | 38c | 140$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.8 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed FUT Esports | 63c | 127.55$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.36 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed FUT Esports | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 214 | 57%122 W · 92 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked FUT Esports | 62c | 95$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.9 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…5152backed Team Vitality | 37c | 81.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.34 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9632…a379backed FUT Esports | 62c | 78.12$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf561…f20dbacked FUT Esports | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7657…66ccbacked FUT Esports | 65c | 50.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.11 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6efa…a0a7backed FUT Esports | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked FUT Esports | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 556 | 37.6%209 W · 347 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked FUT Esports | 61c | 48.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d7…a1ffbacked FUT Esports | 62c | 48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b6…d353backed FUT Esports | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 251 | 46.6%117 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7afb…ff15backed Team Vitality | 35c | 47.44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.89 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…dd97backed FUT Esports | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed FUT Esports | 63c | 31.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 936 | 49.3%461 W · 475 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed FUT Esports | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfe27…fdeebacked FUT Esports | 64c | 23.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Team Vitality | 51c | 21.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 494 | 55.3%273 W · 221 L | +23.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…5facbacked FUT Esports | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8741…5b0abacked FUT Esports | 64c | 19.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6de2…d0e5backed FUT Esports | 54c | 19.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -6.6wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-2.5) vs FUT Esports (+2.5)Team Vitality won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-2.5) vs FUT Esports (+2.5)Team Vitality won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5Under won
- Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London PlayoffsTeam Vitality won
- Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 WinnerTeam Vitality won
- Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 WinnerTeam Vitality won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.