TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa6d1…dd97

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
80
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: CS2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 54 out of 100; worst Valorant at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT6448.4%31 W · 33 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 64 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+437.6%+$87.53
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Algeria 0 - 0 Austria?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
Will England win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)backed Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.4
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-2.5)backed Curaçao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)backed Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Spread: Morocco (-2.5)backed Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$14.06
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$12.88
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$18.33
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Showing 25 of 64 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$35.22
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+200%+$40
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+174.8%+$39.18
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 9 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+301.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+301.2%+$90.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.