CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54e133e26795655e469df67a34218fabf17fb822af2514c052435da326ac7204
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spiritof Aurora Gaming, Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,992,296
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,140,996
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,992,296 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,008 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89dd…f662backed Aurora Gaming | 34c | 478,592$162,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162,441.45 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Spirit | 57c | 397,630$228,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169,287.37 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Aurora Gaming | 42c | 183,977$77,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77,935.36 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | +19.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Spirit | 68c | 120,000$81,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,723.79 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1610…ae49backed Aurora Gaming | 14c | 112,476$15,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,621.19 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x594d…059dbacked Aurora Gaming | 14c | 103,440$14,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,481.56 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Aurora Gaming | 43c | 100,000$43,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,000 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Spirit | 57c | 91,667$52,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,416.67 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Aurora Gaming | 19c | 64,133$12,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,342.15 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Aurora Gaming | 33c | 51,544$17,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,126.11 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Spirit | 56c | 40,000$22,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,599.97 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Aurora Gaming | 15c | 39,540$5,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,780.72 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…c65dbacked Aurora Gaming | 1c | 35,555$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.55 | 133 | 15.8%21 W · 112 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…5ae1backed Spirit | 57c | 35,088$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,087.72 | 129 | 55%71 W · 58 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Spirit | 57c | 34,649$19,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,899.12 | 223 | 54.7%122 W · 101 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Spirit | 57c | 34,561$19,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,861.4 | 376 | 46.3%174 W · 202 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47b3…039cbacked Spirit | 57c | 32,189$18,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,769.63 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked Aurora Gaming | 43c | 30,000$12,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,899.98 | 256 | 55.1%141 W · 115 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Spirit | 56c | 27,695$15,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,168.58 | 150 | 53.3%80 W · 70 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Aurora Gaming | 34c | 25,888$8,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,676.37 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Aurora Gaming | 32c | 24,957$7,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,891.1 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Aurora Gaming | 24c | 23,607$5,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,627.66 | 364 | 53.8%196 W · 168 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Aurora Gaming | 45c | 21,174$9,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,521.21 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47a8…52f9backed Aurora Gaming | 44c | 20,589$9,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,059.19 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Aurora Gaming | 19c | 20,000$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Aurora Gaming | 20c | 19,594$3,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,897.03 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Aurora Gaming | 30c | 19,327$5,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,838.51 | 421 | 42%177 W · 244 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce80…08edbacked Spirit | 58c | 17,011$9,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,157.98 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff8…5e5dbacked Spirit | 59c | 16,949$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,949.15 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed Aurora Gaming | 6c | 15,960$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Aurora Gaming | 14c | 15,630$2,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,188.18 | 231 | 45.9%106 W · 125 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…1183backed Aurora Gaming | 34c | 15,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.99 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Aurora Gaming | 42c | 14,543$6,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,108.06 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Aurora Gaming | 15c | 14,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed Aurora Gaming | 19c | 11,951$2,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,270.72 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…18a4backed Spirit | 57c | 11,111$6,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,777.53 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55a3…8cc2backed Aurora Gaming | 22c | 10,307$2,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,226.72 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…b72bbacked Aurora Gaming | 13c | 10,042$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Spirit | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,300 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed Spirit | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400 | 171 | 62%106 W · 65 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Aurora Gaming | 32c | 9,855$3,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,130.54 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Spirit | 71c | 8,791$6,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,513.32 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Spirit | 57c | 8,713$4,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,736.01 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…d02bbacked Aurora Gaming | 22c | 8,676$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950.4 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d8…f6b6backed Aurora Gaming | 18c | 8,237$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512.23 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Aurora Gaming | 29c | 8,217$2,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,392.72 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Spirit | 56c | 8,000$4,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,520 | 303 | 40.3%122 W · 181 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Aurora Gaming | 31c | 8,000$2,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,501.25 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…01a8backed Aurora Gaming | 13c | 7,954$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.95 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Aurora Gaming | 12c | 7,886$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.35 | 327 | 32.4%106 W · 221 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Aurora Gaming | 30c | 7,865$2,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,392 | 325 | 42.2%137 W · 188 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Aurora Gaming | 13c | 7,413$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.67 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Aurora Gaming | 31c | 7,065$2,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,172.32 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe111…685abacked Aurora Gaming | 14c | 7,000$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.28 | 175 | 40%70 W · 105 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Aurora Gaming | 13c | 7,000$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Spirit | 69c | 7,000$4,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,180 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Aurora Gaming | 19c | 6,823$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.09 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Aurora Gaming | 26c | 6,772$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760.28 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Aurora Gaming | 44c | 6,715$2,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,954.43 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Aurora Gaming | 21c | 6,337$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.19 | 257 | 47.5%122 W · 135 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed Spirit | 57c | 6,221$3,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,675.05 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x289b…ded5backed Aurora Gaming | 26c | 6,136$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb4…00eabacked Spirit | 68c | 5,862$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,861.82 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…bb53backed Aurora Gaming | 30c | 5,855$1,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,756.5 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +139.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Aurora Gaming | 32c | 5,650$1,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,831.96 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Aurora Gaming | 31c | 5,580$1,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,736.2 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…bb64backed Spirit | 55c | 5,576$3,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,509.2 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Aurora Gaming | 29c | 5,573$1,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,634.59 | 421 | 54.6%230 W · 191 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0446…7097backed Spirit | 75c | 5,435$4,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa0…e20fbacked Spirit | 66c | 5,412$3,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,854.83 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Aurora Gaming | 16c | 5,275$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.23 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Aurora Gaming | 30c | 5,170$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.62 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed Aurora Gaming | 44c | 5,100$2,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,244.01 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | -16.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Aurora Gaming | 45c | 5,070$2,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,265.24 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3c…d370backed Spirit | 57c | 5,065$2,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,178.1 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Aurora Gaming | 18c | 5,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d29…0206backed Aurora Gaming | 14c | 5,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96f7…d6aebacked Spirit | 56c | 4,833$2,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,108.19 | 221 | 29.9%66 W · 155 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Aurora Gaming | 16c | 4,518$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.44 | 696 | 24%167 W · 529 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked Aurora Gaming | 19c | 4,500$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.59 | 215 | 22.3%48 W · 167 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 4,500$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.99 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed Aurora Gaming | 43c | 4,500$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,934.98 | 371 | 57.7%214 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc927…a3c2backed Aurora Gaming | 14c | 4,291$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.01 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Aurora Gaming | 44c | 4,209$1,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,831.56 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…3964backed Spirit | 63c | 4,042$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,491.77 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…b3bbbacked Aurora Gaming | 20c | 4,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 291 | 27.5%80 W · 211 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed Aurora Gaming | 13c | 4,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.34 | 858 | 51.6%443 W · 415 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca0d…0a9bbacked Aurora Gaming | 11c | 3,996$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e3…706fbacked Spirit | 76c | 3,963$3,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.35 | 179 | 67.6%121 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c4…7433backed Aurora Gaming | 12c | 3,943$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.97 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Aurora Gaming | 32c | 3,879$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.34 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Aurora Gaming | 36c | 3,874$1,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.29 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Spirit | 75c | 3,687$2,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.13 | 664 | 46.4%308 W · 356 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63f5…09ddbacked Aurora Gaming | 4c | 3,640$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 4cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Aurora Gaming | 12c | 3,636$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.65 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Aurora Gaming | 15c | 3,600$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec5…3193backed Spirit | 56c | 3,590$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590.13 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +123.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Aurora Gaming | 14c | 3,571$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 184 | 42.9%79 W · 105 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Aurora Gaming | 44c | 3,531$1,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,553.62 | 137 | 60.6%83 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Aurora Gaming | 33c | 3,509$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172.11 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3this page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5)Aurora Gaming won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+6.5)Aurora Gaming won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5Over won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5)Spirit won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+6.5)Spirit won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5Under won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)Aurora Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.