TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$57,321
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$65,503

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,321 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Over35c10,065$3,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,523.965,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over39c4,654$1,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,842.642,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdafe…c5b5backed Under65c3,816$2,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,475.922339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Over68c3,346$2,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,054.328549.5%141 W · 144 L+1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over59c3,250$1,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,332.825,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under67c2,980$1,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,993.5428455.6%158 W · 126 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5838…8ca6backed Under64c2,409$1,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,542.075152.9%27 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over34c2,283$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.182,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Under65c2,275$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,480.2321945.7%100 W · 119 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x858a…d869backed Under67c2,238$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Under66c2,081$1,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,363.761,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under41c2,000$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8292,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Over34c1,752$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,152.012,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under64c1,680$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,075.1727753.8%149 W · 128 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x206c…2b8dbacked Under65c1,488$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.076744.8%30 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under63c850.07$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.3419351.3%99 W · 94 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfec0…aeb9backed Under65c785$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.252642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3c92…c646backed Under67c746.27$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Over35c637.14$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.1425747.5%122 W · 135 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Under30c609.7$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.9135054.6%191 W · 159 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3085…7568backed Under54c600$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3245927.1%16 W · 43 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-30.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Over63c573.24$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.0691743.7%401 W · 516 L-35.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3812…e4b0backed Over35c571.43$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.4311242%47 W · 65 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under42c543.53$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.372,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under55c519.99$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.9922447.8%107 W · 117 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under42c500$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.611,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd561…9423backed Under72c500$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3605255.8%29 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5e8…fafcbacked Under64c500$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.921127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa113…bb53backed Under34c500$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1707353.4%39 W · 34 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+139.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf95e…53ffbacked Over68c499.99$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16019849.5%98 W · 100 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3135…f6c3backed Under40c498$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.1112748%61 W · 66 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa14b…4ff2backed Under64c490.58$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-30.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under66c468.55$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.2426650.8%135 W · 131 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over58c431.2$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.372,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x198c…7328backed Over34c430.85$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.361330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked Under67c423.04$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.1889248%428 W · 464 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a90…8d0bbacked Over55c400$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1801931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c41…6275backed Under54c390.82$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.0418432.6%60 W · 124 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe910…57eebacked Under66c334.66$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.5617043.5%74 W · 96 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Over36c302.29$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.6850051.4%257 W · 243 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc2b…d422backed Under35c282.49$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.8719152.9%101 W · 90 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x876b…d4a1backed Over67c260.4$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.9310452.9%55 W · 49 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x454b…5b8bbacked Over66c250$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x29db…19c3backed Under32c232.03$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.2512041.7%50 W · 70 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb980…516abacked Under44c228.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7029…1136backed Under63c217.1$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.7721351.2%109 W · 104 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3337…780bbacked Over66c213.27$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.272951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f3b…fb16backed Under66c207.93$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.9250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.983,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8feb…63fcbacked Under65c200$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1307846.2%36 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab20…cf93backed Under60c166.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004768.1%32 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick66cpaid0%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb4c…f815backed Over34c159.24$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.13161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcdd…0ecdbacked Under65c154.28$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10032956.8%187 W · 142 L-13.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea30…8a00backed Under65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-2.1wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe3b0…b4d1backed Over36c150$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9626650.8%135 W · 131 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x65b7…3798backed Under67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001020%2 W · 8 L-4.1wins-0.41per pick61cpaid-71.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x3c5b…93adbacked Under67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001650%8 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67ce…100fbacked Under69c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009753.6%52 W · 45 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed Under63c144$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.7237453.2%199 W · 175 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2284…e326backed Over70c138.08$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4317456.9%99 W · 75 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x69b9…a5d5backed Under43c131.36$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.2111354%61 W · 52 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Under67c130$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.166436.6%243 W · 421 L-35.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x41f4…ee16backed Under67c118.55$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.0258745%264 W · 323 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed Under64c112$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.6838835.8%139 W · 249 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Over68c111.36$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.641,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over39c110.5$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.722,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7be8…0f50backed Under68c110.25$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.972560%15 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Under63c109$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.6732139.9%128 W · 193 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Over50c108.13$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.949242.1%207 W · 285 L-17.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Under41c107$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.8921949.8%109 W · 110 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Under45c103.6$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.761,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Under54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5437339.7%148 W · 225 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Over36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6436057.5%207 W · 153 L+13.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9c5…7b85backed Under32c93.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd559…281fbacked Over69c86.54$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.834060%24 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c97…5c66backed Over35c85.71$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.713363.6%21 W · 12 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+22.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9f2a…3706backed Over35c83.68$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.394654.3%25 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6840…12c1backed Over52c76.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.922236.4%8 W · 14 L-4.5wins-0.20per pick57cpaid-43.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd85d…0f24backed Over52c76.51$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.511154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd3b…cea6backed Under67c75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.12352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0d1…82b1backed Under68c73.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502365.2%15 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e28…f043backed Under68c73.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010350.5%52 W · 51 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x846d…67b3backed Over69c72.48$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4724842.7%106 W · 142 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3548…0ebbbacked Under64c70.82$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e35…fe8cbacked Under66c68.12$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.961963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Over35c67.99$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3150056.6%283 W · 217 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e2d…fb60backed Over58c65.72$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.615241.4%63 W · 89 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa02…8b07backed Under64c62.3$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4049766.8%332 W · 165 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over34c61.88$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.92,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xce0a…2a11backed Under49c60.66$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011254.5%61 W · 51 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under64c60$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.460451%308 W · 296 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xffff…2bf0backed Over34c58.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.82450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb44…f556backed Over35c57.58$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.587258.3%42 W · 30 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf632…bcd4backed Over35c57.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.146663.6%42 W · 24 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Under65c55.08$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.81,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Under41c55$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.526048.5%126 W · 134 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed Over34c54.89$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.1834750.7%176 W · 171 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe803…b60ebacked Under65c51.83$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9132458%188 W · 136 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1627…9f2bbacked Over35c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.52030%6 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf064…54a4backed Under68c50$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343571.4%25 W · 10 L+4.9wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+14.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.