CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6526f70d15edfc8b2db0076c74973287e109085f3d5b07926def911557c6bcaa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spiritof Aurora Gaming, Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $483,449
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $594,081
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $483,449 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 350 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x73e3…1be9backed Spirit | 69c | 50,000$34,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,499.95 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Aurora Gaming | 15c | 42,166$6,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,408.5 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Spirit | 69c | 37,774$25,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,816.4 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | +19.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54c2…23adbacked Aurora Gaming | 31c | 25,548$7,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,920 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89dd…f662backed Aurora Gaming | 30c | 24,536$7,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,367.55 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd528…a2d2backed Spirit | 76c | 20,025$15,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,897.15 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Spirit | 78c | 19,856$15,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,414.23 | 224 | 68.8%154 W · 70 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Spirit | 69c | 12,132$8,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,760.98 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked Spirit | 69c | 11,600$8,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,595.99 | 256 | 55.1%141 W · 115 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe6…7027backed Spirit | 73c | 10,992$8,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,978.91 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Aurora Gaming | 32c | 10,626$3,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360.68 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…bb53backed Aurora Gaming | 31c | 10,524$3,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,262.3 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +139.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed Aurora Gaming | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Aurora Gaming | 32c | 8,496$2,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,714.22 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32c3…5b4ebacked Aurora Gaming | 31c | 7,051$2,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,185.81 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Aurora Gaming | 31c | 6,719$2,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,083.01 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Aurora Gaming | 26c | 6,628$1,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,734.38 | 231 | 45.9%106 W · 125 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Aurora Gaming | 31c | 6,593$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,069.76 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e71…e570backed Spirit | 75c | 6,522$4,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,623.72 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Aurora Gaming | 27c | 5,978$1,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,614.13 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked Aurora Gaming | 20c | 5,613$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.69 | 410 | 40%164 W · 246 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Aurora Gaming | 31c | 5,563$1,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,702.41 | 151 | 55%83 W · 68 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Aurora Gaming | 9c | 5,454$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.98 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Aurora Gaming | 31c | 5,426$1,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,682 | 325 | 42.2%137 W · 188 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked Spirit | 70c | 3,883$2,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.94 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Aurora Gaming | 26c | 3,722$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.72 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Aurora Gaming | 29c | 3,305$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.41 | 364 | 53.8%196 W · 168 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Aurora Gaming | 30c | 3,280$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.89 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc790…85b1backed Aurora Gaming | 10c | 3,003$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Aurora Gaming | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed Aurora Gaming | 36c | 2,928$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.53 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd487…c325backed Aurora Gaming | 17c | 2,846$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.04 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Aurora Gaming | 27c | 2,826$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.84 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b14…039bbacked Aurora Gaming | 32c | 2,729$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.27 | 118 | 71.2%84 W · 34 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a75…fc33backed Aurora Gaming | 31c | 2,455$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.14 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Aurora Gaming | 1c | 2,194$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x495d…68d8backed Spirit | 69c | 2,164$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.76 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Aurora Gaming | 31c | 2,118$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.02 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked Aurora Gaming | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 164 | 47%77 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Aurora Gaming | 31c | 2,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x884b…661cbacked Aurora Gaming | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 94 | 29.8%28 W · 66 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa18c…d792backed Aurora Gaming | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Aurora Gaming | 30c | 1,972$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.27 | 610 | 34.3%209 W · 401 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…6633backed Spirit | 73c | 1,900$1,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…f510backed Spirit | 70c | 1,800$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed Spirit | 64c | 1,750$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 858 | 51.6%443 W · 415 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x370d…a9e0backed Aurora Gaming | 11c | 1,739$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.74 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18f0…3d5ebacked Aurora Gaming | 4c | 1,705$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Spirit | 68c | 1,600$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Aurora Gaming | 23c | 1,581$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.68 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed Spirit | 79c | 1,576$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.7 | 405 | 58.8%238 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed Aurora Gaming | 33c | 1,553$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 419 | 38.9%163 W · 256 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…f5eebacked Spirit | 70c | 1,534$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.29 | 200 | 41.5%83 W · 117 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4d…5f4abacked Aurora Gaming | 31c | 1,503$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Spirit | 64c | 1,501$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.27 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee80…f34ebacked Spirit | 78c | 1,500$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 354 | 60.7%215 W · 139 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7829…cfd3backed Aurora Gaming | 31c | 1,500$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Spirit | 67c | 1,478$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.59 | 617 | 54.8%338 W · 279 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc96…d916backed Aurora Gaming | 31c | 1,441$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.59 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Aurora Gaming | 27c | 1,409$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.68 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85bc…a12abacked Spirit | 72c | 1,377$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.77 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Spirit | 68c | 1,369$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.07 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -8.9wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Aurora Gaming | 31c | 1,352$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.03 | 489 | 48.9%239 W · 250 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Aurora Gaming | 24c | 1,351$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.19 | 348 | 48.3%168 W · 180 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e83…81d1backed Aurora Gaming | 7c | 1,333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b75…4c6cbacked Aurora Gaming | 38c | 1,317$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.42 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf259…7592backed Aurora Gaming | 2c | 1,290$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Spirit | 71c | 1,271$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.21 | 284 | 53.5%152 W · 132 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bef…5e49backed Spirit | 74c | 1,265$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.48 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Spirit | 70c | 1,261$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.34 | 687 | 53.9%370 W · 317 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63f5…09ddbacked Aurora Gaming | 4c | 1,210$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.9 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 4cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…cc01backed Aurora Gaming | 24c | 1,199$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.76 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50f9…c327backed Spirit | 69c | 1,193$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.98 | 177 | 61%108 W · 69 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Spirit | 69c | 1,167$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.03 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Spirit | 71c | 1,091$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.06 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Spirit | 73c | 1,091$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.04 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2b…afc5backed Aurora Gaming | 33c | 1,084$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.68 | 196 | 59.2%116 W · 80 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x289b…ded5backed Aurora Gaming | 22c | 1,072$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.85 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Spirit | 70c | 1,039$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.46 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x146c…b807backed Spirit | 78c | 1,032$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.94 | 400 | 48.8%195 W · 205 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6f…b760backed Aurora Gaming | 12c | 1,027$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.25 | 316 | 47.5%150 W · 166 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…af49backed Aurora Gaming | 37c | 1,019$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.98 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c63…3cbbbacked Spirit | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 461 | 65.5%302 W · 159 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Spirit | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8cc…661ebacked Aurora Gaming | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…7f76backed Spirit | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 323 | 46.1%149 W · 174 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Aurora Gaming | 25c | 999.97$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc564…e89dbacked Spirit | 76c | 999.37$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.84 | 209 | 44.5%93 W · 116 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb20b…a3e1backed Aurora Gaming | 31c | 979.56$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.66 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb57d…07bfbacked Aurora Gaming | 21c | 952.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Aurora Gaming | 32c | 946$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.72 | 456 | 46.9%214 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Aurora Gaming | 19c | 931.24$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.5 | 90 | 31.1%28 W · 62 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4620…ea85backed Aurora Gaming | 39c | 918.77$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.14 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Aurora Gaming | 23c | 910.44$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.54 | 395 | 48.6%192 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed Spirit | 69c | 902.43$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.54 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Aurora Gaming | 4c | 859.89$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 388 | 68.3%265 W · 123 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Spirit | 69c | 852.42$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.25 | 386 | 50.8%196 W · 190 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Spirit | 72c | 847.42$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.81 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Aurora Gaming | 24c | 839.99$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 327 | 32.4%106 W · 221 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc5…d1a4backed Aurora Gaming | 31c | 827.71$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.59 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3Spirit won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5)Aurora Gaming won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+6.5)Aurora Gaming won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5Over won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5)Spirit won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+6.5)Spirit won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5Under won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)Aurora Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.