TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfd66…f510

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 52 out of 100; worst CS2 at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT2642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,208.9
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$380
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,920Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,920
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$680Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$679.99
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,260Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$540
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,580Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+153.2%+$2,419.99
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,290.18
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,513Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,512.83
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$245
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,020
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,890Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$1,610
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Stagebacked HEROIC Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$357
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs RUSTEC - Map 1 Winnerbacked RUSTEC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.33
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$250
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs RUSTEC - Map 2 Winnerbacked RUSTEC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$432Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$432.29
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$396Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+203%+$803.99
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,020Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$979.96
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Betclic Apogee Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Betclic Apogee Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.52
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG - Map 2 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$470
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$800
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffsbacked Lavked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.08
Counter-Strike: illwill vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 Winnerbacked ex-Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,545Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$837.3
Counter-Strike: NIP vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Counter-Strike: illwill vs fnatic (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffsbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$917Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+113.6%+$1,040.95
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs Just Players (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffsbacked Tricked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.3
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,879Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,878.96
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,705Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+46.6%+$795
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$408
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$314.98
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO3) - Asia Masters Group Abacked CTBC Flying Oyster Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.69
Game Handicap: G2N (-1.5) vs Partizan Sangal (+1.5)backed G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$210
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Weibo Gaming Youth Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming Youth Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.14
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$640Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$640
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$619.99
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$645Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$855
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$1,319.99
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$320
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,086Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+115.7%+$2,413.97
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$306
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 3 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,340Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$659.99
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 3 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+300%+$1,050
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$791Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$791
Game Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)backed Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$504
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$561Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$560.5
Game Handicap: SHG (-1.5) vs GAM Esports (+1.5)backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.65
Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$580
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,140Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$860
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,003Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$925.8
All 24 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-8.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-4.5)backed Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,321Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,321
Phoenix Mercury vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 172.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,296Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$4,654
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-08-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$109.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-08-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$6,081Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$5,392.81
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.