CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: illwill vs fnatic (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc32a24fa78d52ff8b3c0faa25deb911647f7dc1e059adbc1b3ba1bf4f88afb3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- fnaticof illwill, fnatic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $149,291
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $163,669
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,291 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 227 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked illwill | 52c | 30,000$15,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,600 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed fnatic | 48c | 30,000$14,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,599.99 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked illwill | 53c | 28,459$15,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000.66 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed illwill | 51c | 10,917$5,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,567.89 | 2,610 | 51.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L | +16.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed illwill | 49c | 9,662$4,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,707.09 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked fnatic | 46c | 9,000$4,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,866.72 | 364 | 53.8%196 W · 168 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed illwill | 51c | 6,500$3,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,314.98 | 665 | 51.9%345 W · 320 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked fnatic | 49c | 3,783$1,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,944.68 | 1,007 | 52.4%528 W · 479 L | +27.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked fnatic | 49c | 3,729$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,888.71 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed illwill | 51c | 3,281$1,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,673.47 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked fnatic | 49c | 2,101$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.49 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed fnatic | 50c | 2,100$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.3 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…6eacbacked fnatic | 52c | 2,081$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.28 | 203 | 58.1%118 W · 85 L | +22.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5c93…2079backed fnatic | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…b72abacked fnatic | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…f510backed fnatic | 47c | 1,958$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.95 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed illwill | 53c | 1,896$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,998 | 53.7%1,073 W · 925 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e20…a1aabacked fnatic | 75c | 1,651$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.15 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed fnatic | 50c | 1,648$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed fnatic | 49c | 1,441$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.36 | 805 | 42.2%340 W · 465 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked illwill | 1c | 1,372$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 110 | 2.7%3 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed fnatic | 46c | 1,331$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.46 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…4df8backed fnatic | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 183 | 56.3%103 W · 80 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb03b…4197backed fnatic | 50c | 1,192$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed fnatic | 66c | 1,160$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.7 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…9589backed illwill | 26c | 1,114$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.81 | 294 | 55.8%164 W · 130 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb888…b15bbacked illwill | 45c | 1,105$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed fnatic | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.75 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked fnatic | 49c | 1,025$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.7 | 239 | 52.3%125 W · 114 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed fnatic | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed fnatic | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.35 | 676 | 51.8%350 W · 326 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb12…6a81backed fnatic | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24c7…77c4backed fnatic | 46c | 999$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.46 | 188 | 46.3%87 W · 101 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94ad…bb7dbacked illwill | 7c | 988.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed fnatic | 50c | 947.4$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.7 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf38…848bbacked fnatic | 48c | 946.05$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.95 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked fnatic | 48c | 925$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481 | 1,621 | 44.8%726 W · 895 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed fnatic | 69c | 920.95$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.99 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa5…7059backed fnatic | 49c | 902.84$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.01 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3573…4b4dbacked illwill | 8c | 857.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.72 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed fnatic | 50c | 800$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.07 | 576 | 41.5%239 W · 337 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked illwill | 52c | 790$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.8 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed fnatic | 48c | 789.38$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.38 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf36e…f91cbacked fnatic | 56c | 750$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 297 | 39.4%117 W · 180 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea1c…921bbacked fnatic | 50c | 750$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed fnatic | 45c | 694.9$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.2 | 1,408 | 33.7%475 W · 933 L | +43.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d2…92c5backed illwill | 51c | 629$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.79 | 126 | 38.9%49 W · 77 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe4…d0f1backed fnatic | 46c | 612.8$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.91 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed fnatic | 45c | 602.25$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.24 | 177 | 58.2%103 W · 74 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked fnatic | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67c4…f0a4backed illwill | 44c | 600$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.29 | 139 | 37.4%52 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed illwill | 26c | 592.31$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.34 | 6,466 | 42.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L | -78.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…1f52backed illwill | 44c | 577.96$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 280 | 52.9%148 W · 132 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x202f…7b58backed fnatic | 48c | 577.79$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.79 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked fnatic | 48c | 575.9$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.47 | 236 | 58.5%138 W · 98 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed fnatic | 47c | 569.98$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.09 | 294 | 49.3%145 W · 149 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed fnatic | 51c | 560$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.65 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed fnatic | 50c | 556$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278 | 443 | 43.3%192 W · 251 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked illwill | 17c | 543.98$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.48 | 2,603 | 52.6%1,370 W · 1,233 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d5…180abacked fnatic | 45c | 543.07$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.55 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed fnatic | 48c | 520$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.4 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed fnatic | 48c | 507.92$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.12 | 114 | 34.2%39 W · 75 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed fnatic | 50c | 500.1$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.05 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffc7…2259backed fnatic | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab9…d821backed fnatic | 50c | 482$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked illwill | 15c | 476.78$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.36 | 4,897 | 37.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L | -245.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74bd…d371backed illwill | 52c | 472$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.44 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed illwill | 15c | 471.71$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.67 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed illwill | 41c | 470.79$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.32 | 2,491 | 41.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L | -114.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked illwill | 23c | 443.86$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.88 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x662a…150ebacked fnatic | 50c | 442.5$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.5 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…1550backed fnatic | 45c | 435$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.25 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed illwill | 53c | 430$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.9 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked fnatic | 50c | 420.3$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.15 | 137 | 60.6%83 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5283…b53cbacked illwill | 16c | 415.02$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…09e3backed fnatic | 46c | 414.35$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.75 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked illwill | 30c | 410.68$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.79 | 4,661 | 43.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed fnatic | 49c | 410.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.43 | 209 | 52.6%110 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed illwill | 43c | 392$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.56 | 587 | 43.4%255 W · 332 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6013…9826backed fnatic | 59c | 390.05$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.05 | 118 | 63.6%75 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed illwill | 11c | 343.46$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.62 | 486 | 35.4%172 W · 314 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…4771backed fnatic | 49c | 322.45$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.45 | 192 | 45.8%88 W · 104 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83ba…2404backed fnatic | 49c | 320.98$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.7 | 218 | 56%122 W · 96 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed fnatic | 47c | 314.66$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.8 | 1,605 | 52.6%845 W · 760 L | +57.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked fnatic | 50c | 302.6$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.3 | 633 | 41.9%265 W · 368 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1b…f055backed illwill | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed fnatic | 48c | 281.46$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.36 | 480 | 40%192 W · 288 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7900…3393backed illwill | 54c | 272.04$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.93 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f56…b78ebacked illwill | 19c | 269.79$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.26 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…768ebacked fnatic | 79c | 265.43$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.43 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -38%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa033…4938backed fnatic | 47c | 256$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.68 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb515…cd6bbacked fnatic | 50c | 255.62$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.81 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed illwill | 5c | 243.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…58f5backed illwill | 53c | 240.09$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.94 | 378 | 55.3%209 W · 169 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed fnatic | 56c | 240$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 161 | 49.1%79 W · 82 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed fnatic | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb63…e129backed fnatic | 52c | 227.37$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x623d…3aeebacked fnatic | 47c | 223.4$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.4 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked fnatic | 47c | 220$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.6 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed illwill | 45c | 211$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.95 | 485 | 43.1%209 W · 276 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: illwill vs fnatic (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: illwill vs fnatic - Map 1 Winnerfnatic won
- Counter-Strike: illwill vs fnatic - Map 2 Winnerillwill won
- Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs illwill (+1.5)illwill won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.