TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x67c4…f0a4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
182
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Euroleague, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Euroleague at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT13937.4%52 W · 87 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 139 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs OG (BO3) - DraculaN Group Bbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,359Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,358.91
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs OG - Map 2 Winnerbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,667Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,667.18
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs OG - Map 1 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$490.42
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs 9INE (BO3) - DraculaN Group Abacked 9INE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$491Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$491.03
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$742Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$741.86
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$342Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+66.1%+$226.1
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$495Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$495
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,280Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+114.8%+$1,470
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$648Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$1,102.5
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$795Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$705
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,398Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$599.12
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+133.4%+$74.34
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,100.92
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$224.08
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,754Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,753.66
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$969Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$969.48
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$968Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,007.26
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$489.99
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,790Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,790
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$997Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+104.2%+$1,039.27
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.76
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.16
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.08
Counter-Strike: magic vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,203Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,203.03
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$713Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$712.75
Showing 25 of 139 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$288.75
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$880Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+184.1%+$1,619.59
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: Austria (-1.5)backed Jordan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.63
Argentina vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.4
Argentina vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$71.18
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$91
Argentina vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$67.69
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$22.93
France vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$7.97
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.49
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+203%+$84.34
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-51.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+53.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Fenerbahcebacked Zalgiris Kaunas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$984Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$983.73
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Fenerbahcebacked Zalgiris Kaunas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$4,134Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+80.3%+$3,321.04
Fenerbahce vs. Zalgiris Kaunasbacked Zalgiris Kaunas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$403Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+211.6%+$853.2
Olympiacos B.C. vs. FC Bayern Munchenbacked FC Bayern Munchen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. KK Crvena Zvezdabacked Zalgiris Kaunas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+61.3%+$36.93
Anadolu Efes vs. Paris Basketballbacked Paris Basketball · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$967Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+170.3%+$1,646.78
All 6 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+131.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+181.1%+$181.14
Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on January 5?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+81.8%+$79.36
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+76.3%+$610.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sydney FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.