TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-7.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Spurs, Lakers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$194,297
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$197,621

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $194,297 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cb…28adbacked Lakers51c113,294$57,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57,507.9916846.4%78 W · 90 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Spurs49c80,000$39,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,799.991,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Spurs56c8,160$4,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,591.3725753.7%138 W · 119 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Spurs49c8,127$4,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,115.788,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Spurs50c7,830$3,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,919.64,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Spurs51c6,000$3,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,939.981,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ac4…3081backed Lakers44c5,194$2,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,285.446454.7%35 W · 29 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Spurs52c4,629$2,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,200.92,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Spurs55c4,246$2,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,930.672,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Spurs55c4,180$2,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,867.872,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Lakers49c3,893$1,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,907.572,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs52c3,717$1,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,772.694,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Spurs64c3,360$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,210.263,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Spurs50c2,921$1,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,460.711,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Lakers47c2,500$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,17546145.6%210 W · 251 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Lakers49c2,486$1,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,217.633,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f91…907fbacked Lakers48c2,268$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,088.646245.2%28 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Spurs49c2,217$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,121.315,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Lakers50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00015844.9%71 W · 87 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Spurs52c1,490$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.321,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Spurs51c1,375$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.929,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Lakers46c1,212$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.44,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed Spurs49c1,200$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.8616657.2%95 W · 71 L+10.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed Spurs57c1,154$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.456546.2%30 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa28f…d25ebacked Lakers19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1901910.5%2 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick20cpaid-68.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6cb…7b9bbacked Spurs57c991.68$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.843661.1%22 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Spurs49c845.6$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.263,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x13e9…7cd4backed Lakers50c822.27$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.841936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Spurs64c777.09$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.141,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Lakers50c752$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37649938.9%194 W · 305 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Spurs63c710.98$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.881,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcea6…67adbacked Lakers49c610$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.928448.2%137 W · 147 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed Lakers46c602.66$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2758041.3%33 W · 47 L-7.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Lakers49c541.13$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.6710138.6%39 W · 62 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Lakers46c524.65$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.472,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Spurs59c460.86$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.4963745.8%292 W · 345 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Spurs53c454.38$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.0931144.4%138 W · 173 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed Lakers49c445.67$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.3823250.4%117 W · 115 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Lakers47c433.32$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.662,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78a2…d0a5backed Lakers47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20018343.7%80 W · 103 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Spurs52c414.45$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.7588845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf263…e9c1backed Lakers50c400.1$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011145%50 W · 61 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Spurs51c375.06$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.052,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Lakers49c371.43$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18262347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb442…bed7backed Lakers50c360$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18012652.4%66 W · 60 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Spurs50c359.97$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.9730157.1%172 W · 129 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Spurs60c352.37$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.951,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcd4…c870backed Spurs55c344.38$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.772339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-30.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x839b…16b8backed Lakers49c323$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.272347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Lakers49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14762539.4%246 W · 379 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Lakers53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15928929.4%85 W · 204 L-13.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa35b…0eccbacked Lakers50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15024556.3%138 W · 107 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Spurs52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1442,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d4b…a250backed Lakers46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13834447.4%163 W · 181 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e47…a7abbacked Lakers51c294.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15049852.4%261 W · 237 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28b1…7a56backed Lakers50c288.08$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed Lakers48c261.77$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.96451.6%33 W · 31 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe00f…c254backed Spurs52c259.04$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.0119147.1%90 W · 101 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56be…57eebacked Spurs58c258$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10821143.1%91 W · 120 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Spurs56c252.57$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.5630454.9%167 W · 137 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Spurs50c251.41$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.871,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c9b…a556backed Spurs52c250$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12022953.7%123 W · 106 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Lakers16c248.52$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1730616.7%51 W · 255 L-36.5wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-37.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xae53…d80bbacked Spurs51c247.5$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5140952.1%213 W · 196 L+16.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Lakers49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x351b…4d06backed Lakers50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.665644.6%25 W · 31 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Lakers48c199.99$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9629346.4%136 W · 157 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Spurs61c162.69$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.161,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Lakers43c160.87$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.8259141.8%247 W · 344 L-26.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Lakers46c158.25$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.2793849.7%466 W · 472 L+36.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0e9…5112backed Spurs52c150$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7221749.3%107 W · 110 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Spurs50c135$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.539756.7%225 W · 172 L+21.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67c4…f0a4backed Lakers59c125$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.25922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-51.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8252…5c68backed Spurs50c113.46$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bdb…a90dbacked Lakers57c111$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.2716045%72 W · 88 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Spurs55c110$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.450347.9%241 W · 262 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2d2…5614backed Lakers49c108.16$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533234.4%11 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb43…9d70backed Lakers49c102.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508936%32 W · 57 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Lakers49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5052242.7%223 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x086f…8bc3backed Spurs52c102$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.562751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Spurs52c100.15$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.072,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09e3…48acbacked Lakers48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4814746.9%69 W · 78 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab08…8e1dbacked Lakers46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462528%7 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c6…c164backed Lakers45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452532%8 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-17.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9f7c…5a30backed Lakers47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7f83…a491backed Lakers48c99.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9912947.3%61 W · 68 L+12.3wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+19.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Spurs64c97.58$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5119232.8%63 W · 129 L-18.1wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-35.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6af7…937bbacked Lakers50c95.47$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e46…0742backed Spurs53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3423948.5%116 W · 123 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Spurs52c93.1$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.793,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc4…63f6backed Lakers23c90$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.153638.9%14 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-18.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c80…aa9abacked Spurs61c84.46$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.153141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-25.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe533…8d18backed Lakers47c84.44$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-30.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a53…70a1backed Spurs50c83.03$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.52850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+34.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Spurs50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4057250%286 W · 286 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07bd…5d79backed Lakers50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xedb5…ce8ebacked Spurs52c76.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9221756.7%123 W · 94 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f2d…241bbacked Spurs55c75.71$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.074546.7%21 W · 24 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1e5…5a2cbacked Lakers46c70$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.324653.3%131 W · 115 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x09d2…26aebacked Lakers50c65.98$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.996160.7%37 W · 24 L+7.8wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+31.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.