TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6a53…70a1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
56
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: La Liga, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Blockx vs Jason Kublerbacked Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$10.76
Australian Open Men's: Giulio Zeppieri vs Rei Sakamotobacked Sakamoto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+48.2%+$6.5
ASB Classic: Elina Svitolina vs Xinyu Wangbacked Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$17.5
ASB Classic: Elina Svitolina vs Iva Jovicbacked Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+119.8%+$12.07
ASB Classic, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Mochizuki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$35.21
Brisbane International: Karolina Muchova vs Ekaterina Alexandrovabacked Alexandrova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$22.7
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Coleman Wong vs Gabriel Diallobacked Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$25.11
ASB Classic: Sofia Costoulas vs Kaitlin Quevedobacked Costoulas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+82.5%+$11.54
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+80.7%+$72.26
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+34.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick59cpaid-38.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+50.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-63%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Devils vs. Jetsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$23.62
Blue Jackets vs. Golden Knightsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$27.62
Islanders vs. Predatorsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10.71
Panthers vs. Canadiensbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$11.38
Sabres vs. Rangersbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+85.2%+$49.12
All 5 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+83.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-34.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wyoming Cowboys vs. Nevada Wolf Packbacked Wyoming Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$27.9
SMU Mustangs vs. Clemson Tigersbacked Clemson Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+35.7%+$13.39
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-9.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11.52
Holy Cross Crusaders vs. Lehigh Mountain Hawksbacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+26.2%+$5.17
All 4 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+93.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-37.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+72.4%+$9.05
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$32.55
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+78.6%+$10.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$14.74
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.