Tennis · resolved market
ASB Classic: Elina Svitolina vs Xinyu Wang
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b8ed1fec5051dd29b8942d311b1bbba14f5662c60945ce173facb8468ed6137
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Svitolinaof Svitolina, Wang
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,949
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $127,106
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,949 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Wang | 22c | 12,316$2,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,770.4 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Wang | 6c | 6,691$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.46 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…e89abacked Wang | 11c | 4,432$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wang | 12c | 4,391$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.6 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Wang | 8c | 4,205$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.96 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Svitolina | 79c | 3,905$3,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.62 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | -14.5wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Wang | 8c | 2,013$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.6 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Wang | 19c | 1,854$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.22 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Wang | 15c | 1,237$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.03 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…e94ebacked Wang | 19c | 1,050$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Wang | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.88 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Wang | 10c | 996.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.66 | 237 | 31.6%75 W · 162 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed Wang | 19c | 931.58$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…b458backed Wang | 17c | 800$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57e6…c613backed Wang | 19c | 780$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…b12dbacked Wang | 24c | 551$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.94 | 74 | 27%20 W · 54 L | -8.6wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe44…1720backed Wang | 15c | 520$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | +398.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe30…c4b1backed Wang | 17c | 477.75$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +325.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Wang | 15c | 437.38$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.17 | 222 | 36.9%82 W · 140 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Svitolina | 79c | 434.18$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.07 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Svitolina | 80c | 421.08$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.22 | 218 | 43.1%94 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9549…b936backed Wang | 12c | 418.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f51…e179backed Wang | 13c | 412.59$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Wang | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 243 | 40.3%98 W · 145 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…7553backed Wang | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Wang | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Wang | 18c | 307.86$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.41 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Wang | 16c | 282.51$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.51 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Wang | 11c | 276.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Wang | 15c | 264.26$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.41 | 281 | 39.1%110 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Wang | 20c | 253$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 254 | 28%71 W · 183 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a53…70a1backed Wang | 8c | 213.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Wang | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x991e…3190backed Wang | 20c | 205.35$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.07 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e69…4ab2backed Wang | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Wang | 15c | 195.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 161 | 50.3%81 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca8…db1fbacked Wang | 14c | 181.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Wang | 18c | 181.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.07 | 276 | 27.2%75 W · 201 L | -25.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4f…3ae6backed Wang | 13c | 155.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc06c…2a86backed Wang | 18c | 152.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69f2…49b3backed Wang | 20c | 150$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0982…c283backed Wang | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Wang | 8c | 149.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f6…2171backed Wang | 14c | 145$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…5047backed Wang | 8c | 139.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d22…95b7backed Wang | 15c | 133.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Wang | 19c | 129.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Svitolina | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 108 | 62%67 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…252bbacked Wang | 19c | 123.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…ea3bbacked Svitolina | 80c | 122$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Wang | 22c | 110$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 593 | 48.9%290 W · 303 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Svitolina | 80c | 103.45$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c21…adafbacked Wang | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 14cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…0a16backed Wang | 18c | 99.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 270 | 58.1%157 W · 113 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Wang | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…5557backed Wang | 20c | 71.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…f407backed Wang | 17c | 66.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 99 | 6.1%6 W · 93 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x159c…f662backed Wang | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84a6…4aa8backed Svitolina | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +4.3wins | +0.43per pick | 47cpaid | +137.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Svitolina | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Svitolina | 80c | 12.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.57 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ASB Classic: Elina Svitolina vs Xinyu Wangthis page
- Set Handicap: Svitolina (-1.5) vs Wang (+1.5)Svitolina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.