TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x991e…3190

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
200
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Champions League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 55 out of 100; worst La Liga at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT8337.3%31 W · 52 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 83 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$116.22
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+426.3%+$426.32
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Hornets vs. Rocketsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+138.1%+$138.1
76ers vs. Warriorsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+100%+$100
Celtics vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Nuggets vs. Pistonsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
76ers vs. Clippersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+96.1%+$96.08
Bulls vs. Heatbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+105.3%+$105.31
Hawks vs. Pacersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Pistons vs. Warriorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+122.2%+$122.22
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Rockets vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Magic vs. Heatbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+104.1%+$104.08
Lakers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Raptors vs. Thunderbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+292.3%+$175.38
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$105
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+143.9%+$61.88
Nuggets vs. Bucksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+127.3%+$143.82
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+426.3%+$426.32
Spurs vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Bulls vs. Timberwolvesbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+233.5%+$240.5
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+170.3%+$144.73
Showing 25 of 83 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT3941%16 W · 23 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Brownsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+109.1%+$58.91
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$100.59
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$93
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$126
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$97
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$320.25
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$92
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+256.6%+$402.85
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+85.6%+$169.41
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+164.2%+$252.45
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$103.84
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+141.3%+$272.71
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$112
Bears vs. 49ersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Seahawks vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Texans vs. Chargersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+104.1%+$126.98
Broncos vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$77.05
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+244.8%+$244.83
49ers vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$68
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+178.5%+$197.28
Steelers vs. Lionsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+127.3%+$92.91
Chargers vs. Cowboysbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+108.3%+$90.1
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$83.17
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT2646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.21
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$106
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$103
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$98
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+163.3%+$326.68
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$157
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+156.4%+$200.21
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+117.4%+$69.26
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+100%+$99
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+156.4%+$470.23
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+127.3%+$73.82
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+187.7%+$187.65
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+78.6%+$70.57
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+72.4%+$70.97
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+198.6%+$295.95
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$100.05
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+100%+$75
Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$117
Will Fulham win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+68.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick36cpaid-49.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick42cpaid-57.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-63.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+56.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lynx vs. Mercurybacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$157.74
Aces vs. Feverbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$87
Fever vs. Acesbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Mercury vs. Lynxbacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$102.74
All 4 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+38.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+27.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+35.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-01-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+88.7%+$89
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2025-09-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Madrid vs. Barcelonabacked Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$29
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Sep 24, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Mineiro win on 2025-09-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.