Premier League · resolved market
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8d87e0c593f5792e0954ce0fb1737b93cf97780e635dc204785fbda814dc44c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,584,044
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,552,186
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,584,044 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,659 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7a8…14f8backed Yes | 67c | 550,470$368,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368,883.35 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 44c | 301,355$131,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169,918.1 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…f43ebacked Yes | 63c | 218,826$138,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138,688 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 37c | 183,127$68,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115,109.89 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 32c | 178,442$56,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121,853.32 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 38c | 177,000$68,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108,949.79 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 34c | 130,710$44,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86,268.68 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Yes | 61c | 100,000$61,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,000 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe715…d33abacked Yes | 61c | 93,958$57,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,367.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 38c | 84,614$32,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,219.81 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 39c | 70,000$27,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,700 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 64c | 67,651$43,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,156.9 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 36c | 57,227$20,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,539.4 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 38c | 55,474$20,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,476.11 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked No | 35c | 50,000$17,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,500 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed No | 37c | 41,802$15,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,335.16 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 39c | 40,000$15,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,399.98 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 63c | 35,321$22,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,129.69 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4594…b1acbacked Yes | 63c | 31,420$19,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,794.66 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 37c | 30,613$11,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,396.04 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked No | 38c | 29,050$11,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,011 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 60c | 28,000$16,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,800 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 43c | 27,652$11,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,724.28 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 44c | 27,437$12,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,420.98 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 23c | 25,034$5,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,277.04 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Yes | 62c | 24,665$15,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,292.37 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 37c | 22,765$8,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,341.86 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed No | 51c | 21,819$11,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,717.67 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +6.2wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked Yes | 56c | 20,000$11,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,299.87 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 54c | 18,461$10,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,053.51 | 172 | 34.3%59 W · 113 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 39c | 17,620$6,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,748.2 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 36c | 17,213$6,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,990.64 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed No | 39c | 16,400$6,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,004 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…4f48backed Yes | 63c | 16,346$10,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,360 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dae…4688backed No | 36c | 16,155$5,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,356.48 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.26per pick | 43cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdf00…32bebacked No | 35c | 15,654$5,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,181.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +149.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked No | 36c | 15,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,600 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…079fbacked Yes | 61c | 14,730$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.29per pick | 47cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 63c | 14,038$8,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,823.56 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked No | 35c | 14,000$4,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,139.94 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a65…15b1backed No | 50c | 13,619$6,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,779.09 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 37c | 13,500$4,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,540 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +21.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9bb3backed No | 37c | 12,446$4,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,837.41 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +9.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…2a44backed No | 35c | 12,000$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,800 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5873…f69abacked Yes | 28c | 11,980$3,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,343.72 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 38c | 11,307$4,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,036.38 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d50…1fdebacked Yes | 61c | 11,101$6,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,794.87 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe348…a303backed Yes | 56c | 10,500$5,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,835 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x980d…7763backed Yes | 30c | 10,100$3,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,044.9 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd744…526fbacked Yes | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +46%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 62c | 10,000$6,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,200 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed No | 36c | 10,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,400 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fa…5b59backed Yes | 63c | 10,000$6,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,299.92 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa0…488bbacked Yes | 41c | 9,976$4,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,109.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x072c…f037backed Yes | 51c | 9,798$4,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,997.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed No | 34c | 9,771$3,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,434.77 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 39c | 9,750$3,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,947.47 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +9.8wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x827f…7f59backed Yes | 61c | 9,340$5,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,663 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Yes | 61c | 9,119$5,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,562.37 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed No | 39c | 9,000$3,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,489.99 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 36c | 8,850$3,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,648.07 | 144 | 56.3%81 W · 63 L | +13.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 37c | 8,825$3,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,592.92 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9610…f02cbacked No | 35c | 8,720$3,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,638.21 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +73%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf7e…339abacked Yes | 61c | 8,182$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Yes | 62c | 8,065$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x413f…47f3backed Yes | 61c | 7,416$4,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,528.17 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40e2…b0a7backed No | 36c | 7,000$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,480 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +6.0wins | +0.29per pick | 52cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 38c | 6,566$2,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,071.42 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 38c | 6,560$2,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,067.2 | 111 | 62.2%69 W · 42 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked No | 32c | 6,500$2,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,395 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 60c | 6,499$3,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,887.69 | 233 | 50.2%117 W · 116 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed No | 39c | 6,250$2,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,812.48 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed No | 44c | 6,054$2,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,418.77 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 33c | 6,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,020 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 36c | 5,801$2,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,691.48 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 39c | 5,717$2,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,204.21 | 250 | 52%130 W · 120 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae17…b10dbacked Yes | 61c | 5,669$3,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,482.57 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 36c | 5,609$2,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,589.86 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccdb…ffa9backed No | 36c | 5,556$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,555.56 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 63c | 5,468$3,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,458.53 | 139 | 44.6%62 W · 77 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 38c | 5,417$2,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,378.93 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked No | 38c | 5,332$2,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,305.58 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67e7…52cabacked No | 39c | 5,267$2,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,212.67 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc330…1667backed No | 39c | 5,078$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,078.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…3f31backed Yes | 65c | 5,077$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 39c | 5,060$1,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,106.54 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 35c | 5,047$1,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,280.29 | 189 | 58.7%111 W · 78 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,150 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b25…e597backed No | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +302.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a7…6fa3backed Yes | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -3.5wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x332f…b8b6backed Yes | 59c | 4,950$2,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,920.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked No | 38c | 4,858$1,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,011.93 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 51c | 4,543$2,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,227.05 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed No | 38c | 4,513$1,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,798.16 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 61c | 4,457$2,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,718.74 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6298…4deabacked Yes | 62c | 4,369$2,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,724.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebb4…1374backed No | 37c | 4,332$1,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,714.54 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +7.1wins | +0.18per pick | 35cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf509…67b9backed Yes | 57c | 4,307$2,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,472.6 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef50…e3bdbacked Yes | 50c | 4,203$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.94 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e83…4bd3backed No | 35c | 4,189$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,722.57 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +7.7wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +50%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?this page
- Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.